There is a 39% chance of a Recession occurring this year

[krichton]

So a lousy economy under a democrat is ok but not under a republican?.... LMAO

How many jobs have been lost in the last month plus under Trump? How many jobs will continue to be lost? How many jobs were lost under Biden? What is Biden's jobs record? Under Biden we had the strongest market in history. Inflation due to covid and the war in Ukraine was brought under control the last 2 years. Saying our economy was lousy or disastrous under Biden is nothing more than a really poor right wing talking point that doesn't reflect reality. It's just a tool to riey up low information voters. Biden did not intentionally or unintentionally do anything to push our way towards a recession. Trump on the other hand is doing everything in his power to race us towards it and you think democrat fears are manufactured? lol

‘U.S. growth is exceptional’: World Bank hails America as powering global economy

The wider world, the bank’s deputy chief economist fears, “might become stuck in the slow lane.”

www.marketwatch.com

https://thehill.com/business/4715951-world-bank-impressive-us-economy-is-powering-the-world/

 

[Woodznutz]

You are not a trader/investor, right>

I hate to say this, but you have no idea of what you are saying. Companies prosper and go up in price when the economy is doing well and vice versa. Do some research before you make such a stupid comment

Please.

"The stock market is often considered as a tool to analyze the performance of the economy. It is used as an indicator to show the performance of the sectors concerning the economy. The stock market is a leading economic indicator and can impact GDP or gross domestic product. However, the stock market reflects the circumstances of the largest companies in the economy, which can lead to a disconnect between the stock market and the overall economy."

jetir.org+2

 

[Luckyone]

Please.

"The stock market is often considered as a tool to analyze the performance of the economy. It is used as an indicator to show the performance of the sectors concerning the economy. The stock market is a leading economic indicator and can impact GDP or gross domestic product. However, the stock market reflects the circumstances of the largest companies in the economy, which can lead to a disconnect between the stock market and the overall economy."

jetir.org+2

wrong

 

[Woodznutz]

wrong

Sigh.

 

[Luckyone]

Sigh.

I have been a stock analyst for 48 years and was trained by the best (Merrill Lynch and Pru-Bache).

Where you are making an error is in comparing the economy with the results of what all industries and individuals are doing. There is no doubt that small companies are failing and that overall, most people are doing badly.

Nonetheless, the economy is the total of what the country is doing and the big companies are doing fantastic and that means the economy (as a total of what the country is doing) is doing well.

We all see the unfairness of it all but we need to go with the definition of a successful economy

Here is the AI definition of a good economy

How is a good economy defined?

An economy is basically the production of goods and services. A “good” economy is one that has the most freedom to access the ability to produce goods and services and distribute it out.

 

[Rambunctious]

How many jobs have been lost in the last month plus under Trump? How many jobs will continue to be lost?

Government jobs.... the federal government is too big and bloated and wasteful and we are in debt. to the tune of 37 trillion dollars... you can't just sit and watch it destroy America you have to make cuts...
For every government job that gets cut two more jobs will open in the private sector...
As far as jobs under Biden.... he took four years to just recoup the jibs lost from covid shutdowns... a monkey could have done that....

 

[otto105]

Government jobs.... the federal government is too big and bloated and wasteful and we are in debt. to the tune of 37 trillion dollars... you can't just sit and watch it destroy America you have to make cuts...
For every government job that gets cut two more jobs will open in the private sector...
As far as jobs under Biden.... he took four years to just recoup the jibs lost from covid shutdowns... a monkey could have done that....

What do you base that statement on?

 

[Rambunctious]

What do you base that statement on?

37 trillion dollars in debt.....

 

[Luckyone]

37 trillion dollars in debt.....

When Trump left office, the national debt was $27 trillion. Does that mean that there was fraud and waste under Trump as well?

 

[otto105]

37 trillion dollars in debt.....

How?

 

[Rambunctious]

When Trump left office, the national debt was $27 trillion. Does that mean that there was fraud and waste under Trump as well?

There was covid to deal with and people needed to be made whole from the shut downs.... what's Joe's excuse?... all he did as waste our tax dollars on his illegal pets... and migrant slaves.... he fed them and housed them on our dime and when the storms came he had no money to help the victims..... that's criminal....

 

[Rambunctious]

How?

Cuts must be made... the government is too big.... what do you mean HOW?.... lmao

 

[otto105]

Cuts must be made... the government is too big.... what do you mean HOW?.... lmao

We're a growing nation (population and GDP until shitler!) and naturally the size of government grows with it.

You want a small hands government that can be taken over by the robber barons like musk.

 

[Luckyone]

There was covid to deal with and people needed to be made whole from the shut downs.... what's Joe's excuse?... all he did as waste our tax dollars on his illegal pets... and migrant slaves.... he fed them and housed them on our dime and when the storms came he had no money to help the victims..... that's criminal....

You are funny. You use Covid as an excuse for Trump but Covid hit the Biden administration even worse and yet you do not give him the same excuse you give to Trump?

 

[Rambunctious]

You are funny. You use Covid as an excuse for Trump but Covid hit the Biden administration even worse and yet you do not give him the same excuse you give to Trump?


View attachment 1086734

Trump had covid and vaccines to deal with... he had to help the people who were harmed by the shut down....

 

[Rambunctious]

We're a growing nation (population and GDP until shitler!) and naturally the size of government grows with it.

You want a small hands government that can be taken over by the robber barons like musk.

No one believes that BS... people love Musk... did you know he offered to go and bring home the two astronauts that were stranded at the space station?... and did you know Biden turned him down in a private meeting?....

 

[Fort Fun Indiana]

Will Trump cause a recession in 2025? Here’s what betting markets are predicting​

Polymarket, one the leading predictors, says there is a 37% chance America will slip into a recession in 2025. Kalshi, another leading predictor, says there’s a 42% chance. Both numbers have rise sharply in the past week.

Who or what is Polymarket?

Understanding Polymarket And Prediction Markets​

Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to how a thermometer measures current temperature rather than predicting it.

View attachment 1086267

Simply stated, Polymarket is not predicting anything, meaning that they cannot be accused of being biased. What they report is what the thinking is overall at this time, among the populace.

By the way, the Title says 39% chance and the link above says 37%. The reason for that is that the article is from November 24th and the 39% is from the current number given on their website: Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

39%

Ha, better take the over.

 

[Luckyone]

Trump had covid and vaccines to deal with... he had to help the people who were harmed by the shut down....

Pure biased bullshit you deliver. You are not worth the time to communicate with.

 

[krichton]

37 trillion dollars in debt.....

Didn't Trump add 8.4t onto the deficit when he left office?

 

[krichton]

Government jobs.... the federal government is too big and bloated and wasteful and we are in debt. to the tune of 37 trillion dollars... you can't just sit and watch it destroy America you have to make cuts...
For every government job that gets cut two more jobs will open in the private sector...
As far as jobs under Biden.... he took four years to just recoup the jibs lost from covid shutdowns... a monkey could have done that....

Ok. Then show me the actual waste, show me the fraud, where is it?

The cuts are being made in preparation for adding 4.7t to the deficit in the form of tax cuts for the rich. That's why this is being done, no other reason.

History has shown that once jobs are lost, it's actually very difficult to get them all back. Biden is batting a 1000% in that regard.