There is a 39% chance of a Recession occurring this year

[Luckyone]

Will Trump cause a recession in 2025? Here’s what betting markets are predicting​

Polymarket, one the leading predictors, says there is a 37% chance America will slip into a recession in 2025. Kalshi, another leading predictor, says there’s a 42% chance. Both numbers have rise sharply in the past week.

Who or what is Polymarket?

Understanding Polymarket And Prediction Markets​

Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to how a thermometer measures current temperature rather than predicting it.

Simply stated, Polymarket is not predicting anything, meaning that they cannot be accused of being biased. What they report is what the thinking is overall at this time, among the populace.

By the way, the Title says 39% chance and the link above says 37%. The reason for that is that the article is from November 24th and the 39% is from the current number given on their website: Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

 

[Rambunctious]

Funny how libs are all of a sudden worried about the economy...

 

[MisterBeale]

Funny how libs are all of a sudden worried about the economy...

There are two economies.

That of the investor, saver and big institutions.





. . . and then everyone else.

If the market takes a hit, but the cost of living for everyday Americans goes down, the folks in power will be fine.


If not? The folks in power will suffer at the mid-terms.





The DNC seemed more interested in the market than everyday realities. They lost because of it IMO.

 

[luiza]

Will Trump cause a recession in 2025? Here’s what betting markets are predicting​

Polymarket, one the leading predictors, says there is a 37% chance America will slip into a recession in 2025. Kalshi, another leading predictor, says there’s a 42% chance. Both numbers have rise sharply in the past week.

Who or what is Polymarket?

Understanding Polymarket And Prediction Markets​

Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to how a thermometer measures current temperature rather than predicting it.

View attachment 1086267

Simply stated, Polymarket is not predicting anything, meaning that they cannot be accused of being biased. What they report is what the thinking is overall at this time, among the populace.

By the way, the Title says 39% chance and the link above says 37%. The reason for that is that the article is from November 24th and the 39% is from the current number given on their website: Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Baked into the system even before Election time .

But carry on Troll Botting , Mucky.
Let's all see a novice Troll in action .

Is it the Company Bull Shite Topic for the week?
Has your Office given you good follow up material to support your further Trolling ?

Also look at the subject from the rear end Mucky Bum.

 

[martybegan]

Will Trump cause a recession in 2025? Here’s what betting markets are predicting​

Polymarket, one the leading predictors, says there is a 37% chance America will slip into a recession in 2025. Kalshi, another leading predictor, says there’s a 42% chance. Both numbers have rise sharply in the past week.

Who or what is Polymarket?

Understanding Polymarket And Prediction Markets​

Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to how a thermometer measures current temperature rather than predicting it.

View attachment 1086267

Simply stated, Polymarket is not predicting anything, meaning that they cannot be accused of being biased. What they report is what the thinking is overall at this time, among the populace.

By the way, the Title says 39% chance and the link above says 37%. The reason for that is that the article is from November 24th and the 39% is from the current number given on their website: Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

There is a 100% chance you will pretend there is a recession even if one doesn't happen.

 

[mudwhistle]

Will Trump cause a recession in 2025? Here’s what betting markets are predicting​

Polymarket, one the leading predictors, says there is a 37% chance America will slip into a recession in 2025. Kalshi, another leading predictor, says there’s a 42% chance. Both numbers have rise sharply in the past week.

Who or what is Polymarket?

Understanding Polymarket And Prediction Markets​

Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to how a thermometer measures current temperature rather than predicting it.

View attachment 1086267

Simply stated, Polymarket is not predicting anything, meaning that they cannot be accused of being biased. What they report is what the thinking is overall at this time, among the populace.

By the way, the Title says 39% chance and the link above says 37%. The reason for that is that the article is from November 24th and the 39% is from the current number given on their website: Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

I guess the fed needs to lower rates then, don't you think?

 

[Woodznutz]

We've been on the edge of recession since Covid.

 

[Woodznutz]

Funny how libs are all of a sudden worried about the economy...

When the economy is bad: "We gotta print more money so people can buy more shiny stuff."

When the economy is good? We gotta print more money so people can buy more shiny stuff."

It seems that the libs don't think we have enough shiny stuff.

 

[Luckyone]

Funny how libs are all of a sudden worried about the economy...

Under Trump? You betcha!

What he is doing is catalytical in nature. With the stock market in an uptrend during the past 15 years (including Obama and Biden) but seeing volatility during Trump's first term and now the volatility has come back and not because of a virus pandemic but an incompetence pandemic, it has gotten the libs worried (all of a sudden because under Biden there was no threat of that occurring).

It is understandable why the conservatives are not worried. They believe the lies stated by Trump and totally disregard the facts.

Hey, what is new, right?

 

[my2¢]

Everybody worries about the economy. The countries will figure it out and all sides will claim victory.

 

[Rambunctious]

Under Trump? You betcha!

What he is doing is catalytical in nature. With the stock market in an uptrend during the past 15 years (including Obama and Biden) but seeing volatility during Trump's first term and now the volatility has come back and not because of a virus pandemic but an incompetence pandemic, it has gotten the libs worried (all of a sudden because under Biden there was no threat of that occurring).

It is understandable why the conservatives are not worried. They believe the lies stated by Trump and totally disregard the facts.

Hey, what is new, right?

So a lousy economy under a democrat is ok but not under a republican?.... LMAO

 

[Luckyone]

So a lousy economy under a democrat is ok but not under a republican?.... LMAO

Bottom line and reality is that the stock market went up under Biden and the economy was fine. Now, you are seeing the stock market highly volatile and the numbers for the economy shifting to the downside.

That is all FACT

 

[Luckyone]

One thing that I see so much with Trump supporters are facts and realities ignored and even thrown away

It is much like 2+2=4 and Trump saying "no, 2+2=3" and Trump supporters saying "I believe Trump. You lefties are wrong, and Trump will prove it. You'll see!"

 

[Rambunctious]

The stock market will fluctuate as it did under Biden and it will always... but the people have more money to shop with already... food prices are lowering as we speak...
When the market took a hit under Biden you said the market is not the economy...

 

[Rambunctious]

Bottom line and reality is that the stock market went up under Biden and the economy was fine. Now, you are seeing the stock market highly volatile and the numbers for the economy shifting to the downside.

That is all FACT

Market is up today the DOW is 500 pts up and climbing...

 

[Woodznutz]

Bottom line and reality is that the stock market went up under Biden and the economy was fine. Now, you are seeing the stock market highly volatile and the numbers for the economy shifting to the downside.

That is all FACT

The stock market is an indicator of how the stock market is doing. The economy, not so much.

 

[citygator]

Funny how libs are all of a sudden worried about the economy...

People worry about their house burning down when someone sets fire to it. Check this out:

 

[Woodznutz]

People worry about their house burning down when someone sets fire to it. Check this out:

View attachment 1086336

Too bad to be true.

 

[Rambunctious]

People worry about their house burning down when someone sets fire to it. Check this out:

View attachment 1086336

When your policies lose Jobs you need to try and create more... but when you only do that when elections are coming you don't do anyone any favors...

 

[luiza]

One thing that I see so much with Trump supporters are facts and realities ignored and even thrown away

It is much like 2+2=4 and Trump saying "no, 2+2=3" and Trump supporters saying "I believe Trump. You lefties are wrong, and Trump will prove it. You'll see!"

Excellent post showing how Troll Bot Mucky handles criticism .

He simply ignores it and comes up with some irrelevant attempted analogy so that his Mass Formation Psychosis is undisturbed .

Come on Mucky . Wake up .