The basic tenet of MMT is the idea that the United States government can spend money it doesn’t have by simply borrowing and/or printing more money. The problem with this is inflation, if you pump more money into the economy without a corresponding increase in production of goods and services then the result is rising inflation. And the truth is that the US Gov't does a very poor job of spending money to effectively produce more goods and services, instead they focus on the politics of where to spend money. Since that situation is highly unlikely to change, MMT will not work in practice. Realistically, you simply cannot spend your way to prosperity over the long haul.
The basic tenet of MMT is the idea that the United States government can spend money it doesn’t have by simply borrowing and/or printing more money.
No, not really.
The basis of MMT is accounting and sectoral balances.
The problem with this is inflation, if you pump more money into the economy without a corresponding increase in production of goods and services then the result is rising inflation.
Not necessarily. Inflation is a complex phenomenon.
Graph and download economic data for M2/Gross Domestic Product from Q1 1947 to Q2 2023 about GDP, USA, M2, and monetary aggregates.
fred.stlouisfed.org
Notice how the m2 money to gdp went from 0.5 in 2007 to 0.7 in 2019 and inflation was low.
Yes, then we got covid, lockdowns, supply chain problems, and an increase in money supply.... then, naturally we had inflation... worldwide, supply chains broke down during the lockdown, demand went up after it ended and we got inflation. In normal circumstances inflation can be monitored and spending controlled before it gets out of hand.
And the truth is that the US Gov't does a very poor job of spending money to effectively produce more goods and services, instead they focus on the politics of where to spend money.
Yes, this is a real problem, which is not exclusive of US government. But I see it as a problem related to planning, governance, corruption, and accountability, not as an intrinsic problem of governments.
The biggest flaw of MMT is that it can only look at the "money" part of the economy and it is utterly ill-prepared to cope with the resource part. It is mostly an accounting framework for economics. So all the flashy things its advocates claim can be achieved require other schools of the economy to be sustained. MMT is just about accounting and monetary flows. It can't really say what to do with the money created by banks and the central bank, because it is a purely monetary framework. However, it will tell you what will happen if you alter the monetary flows or if you reduce the amount of money... and even at that there are disagreements due to the behavioral nature of economics.
At one point I argued with Warren Mosler that FED hikes would create a recession because it would trigger private debt deflation and a contraction of money supply.
He answered:
"I see no evidence of that? The increased deficit spending adds that many net financial assets and income that supports the private credit structure."
... I guess we'll find out soon enough.