The Great Hurricane Drought of 2025

[Sunsettommy]

And if you are on the East Coast watch out for a storm inbound.

Why are you being an ass?

I told you that I follow this and more than just the NOAA website in following the storms well aware of what is going on.

 

[Zincwarrior]

Why are you being an ass?

I told you that I follow this and more than just the NOAA website in following the storms well aware of what is going on.

Did I PM you alone? No, so go **** yourself.

 

[Sunsettommy]

Did I PM you alone? No, so go **** yourself.

LOL, now you decline into the insults.....

You keep insinuating that I don't know what is going on in the Atlantic hell I STARTED the freaking thread with hard evidence that it is running below average in the same freaking Atlantic Ocean and still is today which you ignore over and over a classic sign of a science illiterate.

Even with the two new storms added in it is still running below average to date at 77%

LINK

You are pathetic.

 

[Sunsettommy]

Just saw the update on the Tropical Storm Humberto that will be a hurricane soon then expected to intensify rapidly into a C4 storm but not expected to make landfall as it is expected to be pushed away hard by the off shore air flow.

This could be a year of ZERO landfalling hurricanes.

The soon to be a Tropical Depression will make landfall in the Carolina stated by Tuesday.

I get this information via subscribed website.

 

[ReinyDays]

CRISIS ... CATASTROPHE ... DANGER DANGER DANGER ...

TWO MASSIVE HURRICANES EASTBOUND AND DOWN ... oh wait wait wait ... no no no ..

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E is a KILLER ... everyone from Nicaragua to Newfoundland need to prepare for CATEGORY 7 WINDS ... 410 to 565 mph ... EF9 damage expected ... 150 foot storm surge from New Zealand to Iceland ...

=====

I'm being sarcastic in case you didn't notice ...
God bless Jerry Reed ...

 

[Sunsettommy]

Now it looks like the two storms will NOT make landfall at all and the older one isn't a hurricane anymore, thus zero landfalls so far this season.

Another bad new for climate cultists who have a talent for being wrong in everything.

 

[ReinyDays]

Now it looks like the two storms will NOT make landfall at all and the older one isn't a hurricane anymore, thus zero landfalls so far this season.

Another bad new for climate cultists who have a talent for being wrong in everything.

Tropical Storm Barry was bad enough I should think ... 116 dead in just Kerr County ...

 

[Sunsettommy]

NO landfalling hurricanes this year......, nothing for climate cultists to scream over this year.

Bwahahahahahahahahahahaahhaah!!!

 

[Rogue AI]

NO landfalling hurricanes this year......, nothing for climate cultists to scream over this year.

Bwahahahahahahahahahahaahhaah!!!

Wind farms are sucking the power out of storms before they materialize or something equally implausible yet greenish.

 

[EMH]

NO landfalling hurricanes this year......, nothing for climate cultists to scream over this year.

Bwahahahahahahahahahahaahhaah!!!

Much better.

No breakout in cane activity = oceans not warming

 

[ReinyDays]

Even tropical cyclones are afraid of Trump's wrath ...

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/211445.shtml?

 

[Mushroom]

Another failed warmest/alarmist failure as the Hurricanes are poor this year and few tropical development, the water temperature isn't problem at all which more than warm enough.

Thought I would post what NOAA claimed at the start of the year to give some perspective in what was claimed.

NOAA predicts above-normal 2025 Atlantic hurricane season

May 22, 2025 — Forecasters within NOAA’s National Weather Service predict above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin this year.

NOAA’s outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which goes from June 1 to November 30, predicts a 30% chance of a near-normal season, a 60% chance of an above-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.

The agency is forecasting a range of 13 to 19 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 6-10 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3-5 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA has a 70% confidence in these ranges.

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season

Now this year there have been 13 named storms, and 5 hurricanes.

Scraping the absolute bottom of their predictions is pretty much a failure. As those numbers of named storms and hurricanes are actually what is expected in most years.

Between 1991 and 2020, the average number of named storms per year is actually 14. And the average number of hurricanes is 7. So in reality, 2025 is below average.

And remember the claim is "3-5 major hurricanes" (category 3 or higher). The total count so far is two at Category 5, two at category 4, and a single category 1. So for that it's right in the middle of the prediction, yet below average for the 1991-2020 average.

Yet another swing and a miss. I simply can not even comprehend how somebody can predict "above normal", when their prediction barely falls within the historical averages.

 

[Mushroom]

Quite a change for the climate scientists who used to say that climate change would mean lots more hurricanes?

Scientifically, it is true.

However, when talking about our current continental placements it is still just a fraction of what has been seen in the past. And even during the Little Ice Age, we saw some absolutely massive storms. But the differences in even the last decades or centuries are simply as much science as sticking your finger outside, and if it gets wet saying it is raining.

I absolutely shake my head when people try to make claims based on years or decades, when we have records going back hundreds of years and longer. I keep hearing that states like California are seeing less rainfall because of "Global Warming", yet we know for a fact that rainfall is actually up fractions of an inch over what they were over three hundred years ago.

The "drought" there has not a damned thing to do with "climate change", it's simple over population and the changing of the definition by the IPCC to include man caused over consumption into the definition of "drought". That is why that area has the same rainfall as it did a century ago, but there was no drought then. The population was ¼ of what the population is today. Rain actually increased fractionally (about 0.05%), but there are now 4 people trying to use that water for every 1 person trying to use it a century ago.

But it has not a damned thing to do with "climate change". This is why my tongue in cheek response whenever anybody starts screaming about "droughts", my answer is to kill off around 60% of the global population. Suddenly, all of those "droughts" will vanish overnight.

 

[ReinyDays]

Scientifically, it is true.

However, when talking about our current continental placements it is still just a fraction of what has been seen in the past. And even during the Little Ice Age, we saw some absolutely massive storms. But the differences in even the last decades or centuries are simply as much science as sticking your finger outside, and if it gets wet saying it is raining.

I absolutely shake my head when people try to make claims based on years or decades, when we have records going back hundreds of years and longer. I keep hearing that states like California are seeing less rainfall because of "Global Warming", yet we know for a fact that rainfall is actually up fractions of an inch over what they were over three hundred years ago.

The "drought" there has not a damned thing to do with "climate change", it's simple over population and the changing of the definition by the IPCC to include man caused over consumption into the definition of "drought". That is why that area has the same rainfall as it did a century ago, but there was no drought then. The population was ¼ of what the population is today. Rain actually increased fractionally (about 0.05%), but there are now 4 people trying to use that water for every 1 person trying to use it a century ago.

But it has not a damned thing to do with "climate change". This is why my tongue in cheek response whenever anybody starts screaming about "droughts", my answer is to kill off around 60% of the global population. Suddenly, all of those "droughts" will vanish overnight.

Still no landfalling hurricanes this year in the USA ... first time this has happened since 2015 ... at this rate, we can say this is a common event ... 10% chance per year? ...

We haven't seen a good "64" flood since ... well ... 1964 ... we're overdue ...

 

[EMH]

And even during the Little Ice Age,

Where were you during "Little Ice Age?"

Was North America gaining or losing ice during "Little Ice Age."


Using "interglacials" and "Little Ice Age" is CO2 FRAUD bullshit.

Thread 'Apparently we really need a "debate" over the term ICE AGE because y'all are all wrong...'

Jun 23, 2023

What is an ICE AGE?

Most apparently still believe it is a terrifying horror movie event where Earth all at once freezes up. The data has never supported such a scenario. Since 2010, there has been a massive effort to re-write Earth climate history into a series of rapid "glaciations" and ice retreats, as if "Day After Tomorrow" movie is accurate... LOL!!! What was North American Ice Age before 2010 is now spun into a series of rapid "ice ages" where it took a mere 75k years for the "ice age" to start in Northern Canada and put 2.5 mile thick glaicers on Chicago. This is "Milankovich"...

• EMH
• Replies: 338
• Forum: Environment

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[EMH]

The total count so far is two at Category 5,

We'll see if Kash and FBI let that lie stand.

What hit Jamaica was Cat 1, not 5.

The other "Cat 5" was called Cat 5 way out in the ocean only briefly, and likely was another fraud for a larger fraud desperately in need of "talking points."

Why Are We Seeing More Category 5 Hurricanes?

In order to form, Category 5 hurricanes require a “perfect storm” of factors.

time.com

Hurricane Melissa Is the Third Category 5 Storm This Year—That’s Only Happened Once Before

This is only the second time we’ve had more than two Category 5 storms in a single Atlantic hurricane season

www.scientificamerican.com

 

[Sunsettommy]

From the NOAA today,

HA HA HA HA HA HA HA, another failed prediction year we are going to die in because it is slightly warmer than 20 years ago...

 

[ReinyDays]

Are we calling the season over yet ...

Atlantic storms 2025 = 12 ... average 14 ...
East Pacific storms 2025 = 18 ... average 17 ...
Central Pacific storms 2025 = 4 ... average 4 ...

That's "normal" and "average" ... THERE, I ruined it for everyone ...

 

[ding]

Are we calling the season over yet ...

Atlantic storms 2025 = 12 ... average 14 ...
East Pacific storms 2025 = 18 ... average 17 ...
Central Pacific storms 2025 = 4 ... average 4 ...

That's "normal" and "average" ... THERE, I ruined it for everyone ...

There you have it. More atmospheric CO2 does not lead to more storms.

 

[EMH]

More atmospheric CO2 does not lead to more storms.

It doesn't cause any "warming" either

Sincerely


highly correlated satellite and ballon data
surface air pressure