Well the facts are foreign financed debts are hard to shake without balkanization as the FSU, former Yugoslavia and former Czechoslovakia illustrate. Eurasia and the Americas have certain common problems:
Less than ZPG or growing old without growing rich as the Chinese put it. The US is one of the exceptions to this rule. Much of Eurasia's educated youth would like to flee this situation and a critical chunk of them do by going to Canada, Australia and New Zealand. But given the dependence of CANZ on raw material exports to China, Korea and Japan a Far East slowdown will be destabilizing for all three of those countries. This will transmit problems to the US because of our ties to all three countries.
Ethnic divisions due to the borders of countries bearing no resemblance to language and racial divisions. The US is doing relatively well on this one, much better than the UK and somewhat better than Canada. However some level of nationalist divisions is true in most of Eurasia already and to a lesser extent here in the Americas. That too will feed back into the US.
But the biggie is the debt level and foreign ownership of much of that debt. Given a ringside seat to see the relative performance of different solutions to the worldwide nationalist/demographic debt crisis, the US will choose relatively peaceful Balkanization as the best means out of trouble. Balkanization will permit each state or group of states to use any semi-reasonable formula to calculate their share of the national debt or about a 90% haircut for the creditors.
The US may or may not reunify but NAFTA membership will be retained by essentially all successor states.
The United States isn't going to break up. Those nations you cited - Yugoslavia, USSR, Czechoslovakia - were countries of highly distinct ethnic groups who spoke different languages, worshiped different religions, had different histories, and many of whom loathed each other, cited grievances that went back many centuries, were accidents of history, and/or were subjugated peoples.
Countries don't break up because of debt. Countries repudiate debt.
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