I think this game will be closer than people think, but I do believe the Colts will win.
The problem with the Colts is that they are one-dimensional on offense. Can one guy carry the team on his back? Maybe, if that guy is Peyton Manning, arguably the greatest NFL player of all time.
The way you beat the Colts is to get inside Manning's head and get pressure on him. He will make mistakes if you scheme well and put someone in his face. He will throw picks. If the Jets can do this, they can win. If they don't, they have no hope.
The game is not going to come down to the corners, no matter how good they are, because it isn't the number 1 match-up that matters. Or the number 2 match-up. It is the number 3 and 4 guys. It doesn't matter how good Revis is. What matters is how good the nickel and dime corners are, and how good the LBs can cover Clark. If Reggie Wayne is covered, no matter, Manning will hit his second, third or forth option if he is given time. Those guys aren't good enough to cover the rookie Colt receivers whom you'd never heard of before because Manning will lay it in their hands and away from the defense.
However, if the Jets can blitz and put pressure on Manning, he will throw balls up. That is the Jets only chance, because they won't score more than 16 against a better defense than San Diego. In fact, I would be surprised if the Jets offense scored more than 10 points. The Jets defense and special teams are going to have put some points on the board if they are going to win.
As a Vikings fan (or as a Saints fan), I would much rather play the Jets than the Colts in the Super Bowl. The Vikings have as good of a defense as the Jets and a much better offense, moreso than the differences between the Vikings and the Colts. But I don't think that is going to happen.
The problem with the Colts is that they are one-dimensional on offense. Can one guy carry the team on his back? Maybe, if that guy is Peyton Manning, arguably the greatest NFL player of all time.
The way you beat the Colts is to get inside Manning's head and get pressure on him. He will make mistakes if you scheme well and put someone in his face. He will throw picks. If the Jets can do this, they can win. If they don't, they have no hope.
The game is not going to come down to the corners, no matter how good they are, because it isn't the number 1 match-up that matters. Or the number 2 match-up. It is the number 3 and 4 guys. It doesn't matter how good Revis is. What matters is how good the nickel and dime corners are, and how good the LBs can cover Clark. If Reggie Wayne is covered, no matter, Manning will hit his second, third or forth option if he is given time. Those guys aren't good enough to cover the rookie Colt receivers whom you'd never heard of before because Manning will lay it in their hands and away from the defense.
However, if the Jets can blitz and put pressure on Manning, he will throw balls up. That is the Jets only chance, because they won't score more than 16 against a better defense than San Diego. In fact, I would be surprised if the Jets offense scored more than 10 points. The Jets defense and special teams are going to have put some points on the board if they are going to win.
As a Vikings fan (or as a Saints fan), I would much rather play the Jets than the Colts in the Super Bowl. The Vikings have as good of a defense as the Jets and a much better offense, moreso than the differences between the Vikings and the Colts. But I don't think that is going to happen.
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