The Blue Phantom Has Returned

[MeBelle]

Ironic that you cannot recall your correct username, but you' prefer now to "stick to historical analysis"

At any rate, we now have a new poll analyst. Their latest has been evaluating Rassmusen's Hillary vs. any possible R candidate. The fact they find Rassmusen skews every poll taken does nothing to prevent them from believing the poll's accuracy when it confirms their own political partisanship.

I am not sure I have credibility to speak on this matter given my last failure. In my previous analysis I entered Rasmussen's bias into my calculations and I was still off by double digits. My math was dead on and correct...all historical signs and trend supported my math. I was totally wrong. I cannot speak with any authority on such questions or analyses anymore

I think I am reading a genuine admission of failed predictions without the requisite condemnation of the media or voter fraud.

Refreshing.

Hmmmm, IIRC his move off the board had to do with an employment situation

 

[BluePhantom]

Ironic that you cannot recall your correct username, but you' prefer now to "stick to historical analysis"

At any rate, we now have a new poll analyst. Their latest has been evaluating Rassmusen's Hillary vs. any possible R candidate. The fact they find Rassmusen skews every poll taken does nothing to prevent them from believing the poll's accuracy when it confirms their own political partisanship.

I am not sure I have credibility to speak on this matter given my last failure. In my previous analysis I entered Rasmussen's bias into my calculations and I was still off by double digits. My math was dead on and correct...all historical signs and trend supported my math. I was totally wrong. I cannot speak with any authority on such questions or analyses anymore

I think I am reading a genuine admission of failed predictions without the requisite condemnation of the media or voter fraud.

Refreshing.

Yeah I think you got it, LL. I don't know how anyone can rationalize that degree of failed analysis. LOL. If anyone tries they are so full of crap I can smell them from here. I made a prediction. I was totally wrong. End of story. I own it. My mistake. And because of that I don't speak authoritatively anymore when it comes to poll analysis. I think that fair. Don't you?

 

[BluePhantom]

I am not sure I have credibility to speak on this matter given my last failure. In my previous analysis I entered Rasmussen's bias into my calculations and I was still off by double digits. My math was dead on and correct...all historical signs and trend supported my math. I was totally wrong. I cannot speak with any authority on such questions or analyses anymore

I think I am reading a genuine admission of failed predictions without the requisite condemnation of the media or voter fraud.

Refreshing.

Hmmmm, IIRC his move off the board had to do with an employment situation

BELLE!!!!! I HAVE MISSED YOU SO MUCH!!!! How have you been?

 

[MeBelle]

Looky..he even made a thread!


http://www.usmessageboard.com/the-flame-zone/262216-the-phantom-eats-crow.html

In the flame zone ...

 

[MeBelle]

I think I am reading a genuine admission of failed predictions without the requisite condemnation of the media or voter fraud.

Refreshing.

Hmmmm, IIRC his move off the board had to do with an employment situation

BELLE!!!!! I HAVE MISSED YOU SO MUCH!!!! How have you been?

Hmmm, Two years...lots to talk about...

 

[BluePhantom]

Looky..he even made a thread!


http://www.usmessageboard.com/the-flame-zone/262216-the-phantom-eats-crow.html

In the flame zone ...

LOL...who? Me?

 

[BluePhantom]

Hmmmm, IIRC his move off the board had to do with an employment situation

BELLE!!!!! I HAVE MISSED YOU SO MUCH!!!! How have you been?

Hmmm, Two years...lots to talk about...

We have a lot of catching up to do. I have missed you all so much. There is sio much to talk about. ((((HUGS)))) I am sorry I disappeared.

 

[LoneLaugher]

I am not sure I have credibility to speak on this matter given my last failure. In my previous analysis I entered Rasmussen's bias into my calculations and I was still off by double digits. My math was dead on and correct...all historical signs and trend supported my math. I was totally wrong. I cannot speak with any authority on such questions or analyses anymore

I think I am reading a genuine admission of failed predictions without the requisite condemnation of the media or voter fraud.

Refreshing.

Yeah I think you got it, LL. I don't know how anyone can rationalize that degree of failed analysis. LOL. If anyone tries they are so full of crap I can smell them from here. I made a prediction. I was totally wrong. End of story. I own it. My mistake. And because of that I don't speak authoritatively anymore when it comes to poll analysis. I think that fair. Don't you?

It is.

 

[BluePhantom]

I think I am reading a genuine admission of failed predictions without the requisite condemnation of the media or voter fraud.

Refreshing.

Yeah I think you got it, LL. I don't know how anyone can rationalize that degree of failed analysis. LOL. If anyone tries they are so full of crap I can smell them from here. I made a prediction. I was totally wrong. End of story. I own it. My mistake. And because of that I don't speak authoritatively anymore when it comes to poll analysis. I think that fair. Don't you?

It is.

I am so glad you approve. lol

 

[Ropey]

Perhaps if you could remember that you username was Bluephantom you would have more luck signing in?

I smell a rat.

Bluephantom came down with a mysterious illness brought on by eating under cooked crow shortly after Obama was reelected.

BTW Welcome Syrenn.

Yep.

 

[Ropey]

MeBelle can't welcome this one in the tavern anymore, so 'welcome back'.

 

[Statistikhengst]

I figured it out!!!! The Phantom is back!!!!! Thank you Samson!!!!

Welcome [MENTION=46168]Statistikhengst[/MENTION]

Whutt?!?!?




Not me, dude, not me.

There is only one Statistikhengst out there, and that's me.

Now, let's go sock-hunting.

 

[Statistikhengst]

LOL Samson....all my endless threads on statistical analysis of election polls is what you are referring to. I really thought I had that nailed...I couldn't have been more wrong. I have spent a lot of time trying to figure out where my calculations went bad. What I will say now is...I was totally wrong. I take the blame...I take responsibility. My bad and my credibility on statistical analysis is now shot.

But that you refer to it means you know who I am and that means there's not a rat to smell. I am the Phantom and although I was wrong about my predictions it doesn't mean I am not who I say I am.

In the future I will stick to historical analysis.

Deal?

Ironic that you cannot recall your correct username, but you' prefer now to "stick to historical analysis"

At any rate, we now have a new poll analyst. Their latest has been evaluating Rassmusen's Hillary vs. any possible R candidate. The fact they find Rassmusen skews every poll taken does nothing to prevent them from believing the poll's accuracy when it confirms their own political partisanship.

 

[Wolfsister77]

I remember you but barely. You used to post in the Tavern all the time when I first signed up and then disappeared. Welcome back.

 

[Wolfsister77]

If you want to know who the mods and admins are, hit home in the upper left of your screen, go all the way to the bottom where it says view forum leaders, and click on that, then PM a mod of your choice if needed.

 

[boedicca]

I suggest you PM MrZartok. I'm sure he'll get right on the case to sort out your account.

 

[Ropey]

Or ask dillo to pm around. He's up for the task.

 

[Ropey]

BELLE!!!!! I HAVE MISSED YOU SO MUCH!!!! How have you been?

Hmmm, Two years...lots to talk about...

We have a lot of catching up to do. I have missed you all so much. There is sio much to talk about. ((((HUGS)))) I am sorry I disappeared.

 

[jillian]

LOL Samson....all my endless threads on statistical analysis of election polls is what you are referring to. I really thought I had that nailed...I couldn't have been more wrong. I have spent a lot of time trying to figure out where my calculations went bad. What I will say now is...I was totally wrong. I take the blame...I take responsibility. My bad and my credibility on statistical analysis is now shot.

But that you refer to it means you know who I am and that means there's not a rat to smell. I am the Phantom and although I was wrong about my predictions it doesn't mean I am not who I say I am.

In the future I will stick to historical analysis.

Deal?

Ironic that you cannot recall your correct username, but you' prefer now to "stick to historical analysis"

At any rate, we now have a new poll analyst. Their latest has been evaluating Rassmusen's Hillary vs. any possible R candidate. The fact they find Rassmusen skews every poll taken does nothing to prevent them from believing the poll's accuracy when it confirms their own political partisanship.

I am not sure I have credibility to speak on this matter given my last failure. In my previous analysis I entered Rasmussen's bias into my calculations and I was still off by double digits. My math was dead on and correct...all historical signs and trend supported my math. I was totally wrong. I cannot speak with any authority on such questions or analyses anymore

it was all that "unsewed polls" data. always listen to nate silver.

welcome back!

 

[BluePhantom]

Ironic that you cannot recall your correct username, but you' prefer now to "stick to historical analysis"

At any rate, we now have a new poll analyst. Their latest has been evaluating Rassmusen's Hillary vs. any possible R candidate. The fact they find Rassmusen skews every poll taken does nothing to prevent them from believing the poll's accuracy when it confirms their own political partisanship.

I am not sure I have credibility to speak on this matter given my last failure. In my previous analysis I entered Rasmussen's bias into my calculations and I was still off by double digits. My math was dead on and correct...all historical signs and trend supported my math. I was totally wrong. I cannot speak with any authority on such questions or analyses anymore

it was all that "unsewed polls" data. always listen to nate silver.

welcome back!

JILLIAN!!!!!!! I HAVE MISSED YOU SO MUCH!!!! I HAVE SO MUCH TO TELL YOU!! (yes I am yelling because I am excited). HOW HAVE YOU BEEN?!?!?!?

Oh and Nate Silver can still bite me. LOL