Indeed, it is almost impossible to make the case that stocks are starting another major move up here. We have, in no certain order:
1) A collapse in corporate earnings
2) The collapse in US GDP
3) The European banking crisis back
4) The European sovereign crisis back (Portugal’s 10 year spiked above 8%)
5) China’s hard landing (electrical consumption is up just 2.3%)
6) A Fed that is literally beginning to mutiny with calls to end QE growing louder by the week
Against this backdrop, stocks are undoubtedly in a bubble. Today, the S&P 500 is sitting a full 30% above its200-weekly moving average. We have NEVER been this overextended above this line at any point in the last 20 years.
Indeed, if you compare where the S&P 500 is relative to this line, we’re even MORE overbought that we were going into the 2007 peak at the top of the housing bubble.
We all know how bubbles end: BADLY.
This time will be no different. The last time a major bubble of these proportions burst, we fell to break through this line in a matter of weeks.
We then plunged into one of the worst market Crashes of all time.
By today’s metrics, this would mean the S&P 500 falling to 1,300 then eventually plummeting to new lows.
This is not doom and gloom. This is a fact. The Fed has created an even bigger bubble than the 2007 one.
The time to prepare for this is not once the collapse begins, but NOW, while stocks are still rallying. Stocks take their time moving up, but when they crash it happens VERY quickly.
With that in mind, I’ve already urged my Private WealthAdvisory clients to start prepping. We’ve opened six targeted trades to profit from the stock bubble bursting.
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article41378.html