justoffal
Diamond Member
- Jun 29, 2013
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Founded by the Chinese but now separatist the Taiwanese face a true paradox of future identity.
At one time I thought it was inevitable that Taiwan would simply be reabsorbed into the Chinese mainland. Now I'm not so sure. The flavor of freedom has broken loose on the Taiwanese people and they have the example of Hong Kong to see what the CCP thinks of free choice.
Now being bolstered by Western military aid Taiwan will be a tough nut to crack even for an up-and-coming superpower like China.
Aside from the fact that the Chinese population is roughly 60 times greater than the Taiwanese population.... China has made a miraculous leap forward in military might over the past decade.
Even the United States would have to think twice about engaging them directly. However Taiwan is an island.... And at this point well defended. Would China be willing to pay the heavy price it would most certainly cost to take it by force?
This isn't too different from when the United States declared its independence from England. The one big difference being that this Goliath is a whole hell of a lot bigger than the English Goliath was to the colonials....
If China decided to use it's rather impressive naval military might to blockade Taiwan completely...
I am at a loss to say how exactly anyone could do anything about it.
Enter stage left Japan and the United States and maybe Australia and the Philippines and you might have a strong argument for breaking such a blockade. Would that start world war 3?
I don't know.
At one time I thought it was inevitable that Taiwan would simply be reabsorbed into the Chinese mainland. Now I'm not so sure. The flavor of freedom has broken loose on the Taiwanese people and they have the example of Hong Kong to see what the CCP thinks of free choice.
Now being bolstered by Western military aid Taiwan will be a tough nut to crack even for an up-and-coming superpower like China.
Aside from the fact that the Chinese population is roughly 60 times greater than the Taiwanese population.... China has made a miraculous leap forward in military might over the past decade.
Even the United States would have to think twice about engaging them directly. However Taiwan is an island.... And at this point well defended. Would China be willing to pay the heavy price it would most certainly cost to take it by force?
This isn't too different from when the United States declared its independence from England. The one big difference being that this Goliath is a whole hell of a lot bigger than the English Goliath was to the colonials....
If China decided to use it's rather impressive naval military might to blockade Taiwan completely...
I am at a loss to say how exactly anyone could do anything about it.
Enter stage left Japan and the United States and maybe Australia and the Philippines and you might have a strong argument for breaking such a blockade. Would that start world war 3?
I don't know.