Tom Paine 1949
Diamond Member
- Mar 15, 2020
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An interesting article on the decline of Saudi power, the oil crisis exacerbated by SA’s price war with Russia, and even the miscalculation of the White House “Middle East advisor” Jared Kushner. As I have said before, Russia will survive this war. The Saudi Crown Prince may not. War in the Persian Gulf is also now a likely outcome, for reasons I have also explained elsewhere.
“The misrule, blunders and war associated with [Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman — MBS] will only continue.... The full repertoire of the crown prince's statecraft was on display in a stormy telephone call he made to Russian President Vladimir Putin on the eve of an Opec meeting last month which ended in a calamitous price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia.
“Mohammed bin Salman can see for himself just how big a mistake that call was. The price of oil has collapsed, storage will rapidly run out, and oil companies face the real prospect of having to cap wells. The oil and gas sector accounts for ... 70% of its export earnings. This has just disappeared...
“MBS is finding out now how weak his cards are. To be fair, before he made that call, he took advice from someone as arrogant and unthinking as he is. US President Donald Trump's son-in-law and Middle East advisor Jared Kushner listened to what the Saudi crown prince was about to do and did not object.
“This explains why Trump's first reaction was to welcome the oil crash. Trump thought for every cent cut from the price of oil, a billion dollars of consumer spending power would be released at home. That was until his attention turned to what the oil price collapse was doing to his own oil industry....
“Mohammed bin Salman is about to find out what happens when the world does not need his oil ...”
Saudi Arabia: What happens when the oil stops
“The misrule, blunders and war associated with [Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman — MBS] will only continue.... The full repertoire of the crown prince's statecraft was on display in a stormy telephone call he made to Russian President Vladimir Putin on the eve of an Opec meeting last month which ended in a calamitous price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia.
“Mohammed bin Salman can see for himself just how big a mistake that call was. The price of oil has collapsed, storage will rapidly run out, and oil companies face the real prospect of having to cap wells. The oil and gas sector accounts for ... 70% of its export earnings. This has just disappeared...
“MBS is finding out now how weak his cards are. To be fair, before he made that call, he took advice from someone as arrogant and unthinking as he is. US President Donald Trump's son-in-law and Middle East advisor Jared Kushner listened to what the Saudi crown prince was about to do and did not object.
“This explains why Trump's first reaction was to welcome the oil crash. Trump thought for every cent cut from the price of oil, a billion dollars of consumer spending power would be released at home. That was until his attention turned to what the oil price collapse was doing to his own oil industry....
“Mohammed bin Salman is about to find out what happens when the world does not need his oil ...”
Saudi Arabia: What happens when the oil stops