Record-Shattering February Warmth Bakes Alaska, Arctic 18°F Above Normal

[jc456]

Well?

Well, you notably failed to show any cases of 104F with 75% humidity AT THE SAME TIME.

Your attempted deception there was you trying to pretend "90% humidity in the morning" meant "90% humidity in the afternoon when it was much hotter".

So, my point stands. There are no recorded instances anywhere ever of 104F with 75% humidity.

you asked and I delivered.

You delivered your usual load of deranged fraudulent bullshit, JustCrazy.

Everybody sees it.

facts and nothing but the facts sir.

 

[flacaltenn]

Well Well -- Another Gignormus Weather pissing contest. Let me help..

Let's see who really knows anything about statistics. And whether we can tell if this is Climate or Weather...

First of all --- there are 365 Daily records that can shattered each year all statistically independent of one another.
(366 actually this year since February was almost 3.5% LONGER than normal !!! ) And then there are 12 Monthly records that can be shattered in any year again all independent of one another. Not unusual to have one "sticky period" laying around for "an abnormal amount of time". But THIS FEBRUARY in the far north WAS pretty hot.

How hot was it?????????

That's how hot it was. Here's the quiz kids.

Read me the +/- one sigma variance lines from the 1981 to 2010 mean values. What kind of numbers do you see?
What is the likelihood of those lines being exceeded? And how does that compare to an 18degF deviation from "normal" in February?

Yup -- it went outside the one sigma bars.. . Time to panic? Hold on..

Let's look at another recent year..

Pretty much destroyed those deviations in Jan didn't it..
Discuss... I've got to run. It's El Nino. There was a MASSIVE drought accompanying this winter in Alaska.
Was not a typical event. And probably weather -- not climate.

 

[RollingThunder]

you asked and I delivered.

You delivered your usual load of deranged fraudulent bullshit, JustCrazy.

Everybody sees it.

facts and nothing but the facts sir.

Nope! Just your usual bullshit.

You responded with your irrelevant "facts", and you were answered...

Well, you notably failed to show any cases of 104F with 75% humidity AT THE SAME TIME.

Your attempted deception there was you trying to pretend "90% humidity in the morning" meant "90% humidity in the afternoon when it was much hotter".

So, my point stands. There are no recorded instances anywhere ever of 104F with 75% humidity.

 

[mamooth]

First, you show us the link to any climate model stating 104, 75RH across the globe.

As I never claimed or implied such a thing, why are you telling me to link to it? You don't seem to have any idea of what the topic is.

Second, 95F, 73RH is an AVERAGE in Phnom Penh. So kiss my ass, ignoramous.

So you couldn't find a single case of 104F and 75% RH, and you're throwing out nonsense to cover your retreat.

In case you're too stupid to figure out your error, I'll help you out. You took an average relative humidity for the day, and then pretended it applied to the hottest temperature of the day. Since relative humidity drops as temperature rises, that's totally invalid.

 

[mamooth]

Let's see who really knows anything about statistics. And whether we can tell if this is Climate or Weather...

First of all --- there are 365 Daily records that can shattered each year all statistically independent of one another.

Bzzzt, wrong. Daily weather is _not_ statistically independent. Temperature trends run longer that a day, so a day being warm (or cold) makes it more likely the next day will be warm (or cold).

I guess we found out who knows anything about statistics.

What is the likelihood of those lines being exceeded?

If it's actually random noise with no bias, then 32% for one-sigma.

Let's look at another recent year..

Pretty much destroyed those deviations in Jan didn't it..
Discuss... I've got to run

Sure. The amount of red outside the line is bigger than the blue outsdie the line, hence that also shows a baseline biased towards the warm.

It's El Nino.

That conclusion is not supported by your previous arguments in any way.

There was a MASSIVE drought accompanying this winter in Alaska.
Was not a typical event. And probably weather -- not climate.

But when it happens year after year, as it's been happening ... climate. This is the same scam argument WUWT has recently been trying to pull, ignoring all the previous years of warming, and pretending that scientists are only looking at the last year.

 

[jc456]

you asked and I delivered.

You delivered your usual load of deranged fraudulent bullshit, JustCrazy.

Everybody sees it.

facts and nothing but the facts sir.

Nope! Just your usual bullshit.

You responded with your irrelevant "facts", and you were answered...

Well, you notably failed to show any cases of 104F with 75% humidity AT THE SAME TIME.

Your attempted deception there was you trying to pretend "90% humidity in the morning" meant "90% humidity in the afternoon when it was much hotter".

So, my point stands. There are no recorded instances anywhere ever of 104F with 75% humidity.

facts, the real ones, not the pseudoscience ones.

Houston hits record high with 104 degrees - CNN.com

 

[RollingThunder]

Some actual REAL facts and clarity on this issue would be nice.

Perhaps we should listen to the experts....oh, wait...I forgot that doing that is anathema to you anti-science denier cult dingbats....oh, well...tough shit, retards....try learning something real for a change, instead of just pulling rightwingnut myths out of your ass....

The Deadly Combination of Heat and Humidity
The New York Times
By Dr. Robert Kopp, Dr. Matthew Huber and Jonathan Buzan
JUNE 6, 2015

Credit - David Jien

THE most deadly weather-related disasters aren’t necessarily caused by floods, droughts or hurricanes. They can be caused by heat waves, like the sweltering blanket that’s taken over 2,500 lives in India in recent weeks.

Temperatures broke 118 degrees in parts of the country. The death toll is still being tallied, and many heat-related deaths will be recognized only after the fact. Yet it’s already the deadliest heat wave to hit India since at least 1998 and, by some accounts, the fourth- or fifth-deadliest worldwide since 1900.

These heat waves will only become more common as the planet continues to warm.

They don’t just affect tropical, developing countries; they’re a threat throughout the world. The July 1995 heat wave in the Midwest caused over 700 deaths in Chicago. The August 2003 heat wave in western Europe led to about 45,000 deaths. The July-August 2010 heat wave in western Russia killed about 54,000 people.

But as anyone who’s spent a summer in the eastern United States knows, it’s not just the heat; it’s also the humidity. Together, they can be lethal, even if the heat doesn’t seem quite so extreme.

Scientists measure the combination using a metric known as wet-bulb temperature. It’s called that because it can be measured with a thermometer wrapped in a wet cloth, distinguishing it from the commonly reported dry-bulb temperature, measured in open air. Wet-bulb temperature can also be calculated from relative humidity, surface pressure and air temperature.

It’s essentially a measure of how well you can cool your skin by sweating, which is how humans stay alive in the worst heat. But high humidity can defeat that cooling system; it makes the heat that much more dangerous.

The wet-bulb temperature is not typically reported. While dangerous levels depend on a person’s activity level and clothing, wet-bulb temperature offers a stark measure of risk in a warming world that will experience more extreme combinations of both heat and humidity.

Temperature and wet-bulb temperature are not in a one-to-one relationship; both higher temperatures and higher humidities increase wet-bulb temperature. For instance, during the Chicago heat wave, on July 13, 1995, the maximum wet-bulb temperature of 85 degrees occurred at noon when the temperature was 99 degrees. But when it hit 106 degrees at 5 p.m., the wet-bulb temperature was 83 degrees. The former was more dangerous.

A human’s core temperature is about 98.6 degrees, but the skin temperature of the trunk is about 4 to 9 degrees colder, depending on how warm it is and how active a person is. But sweating, which helps keep the core body temperature constant, becomes increasingly ineffective in increasingly humid air, and it can never cool the skin to below the wet-bulb temperature.

A person who is physically active at a wet-bulb temperature of 80 degrees will have trouble maintaining a constant core temperature and risks overheating. A sedentary person who is naked and in the shade will run into the same problem at a wet-bulb temperature of 92 degrees. A wet-bulb temperature of 95 degrees is lethal after about six hours.

In the Indian state of Andhra Pradesh, the highest wet-bulb temperatures of the latest heat wave have peaked around 86 degrees — levels approaching the worst of the 1995 Midwest heat wave, which set records in the United States for humid heat.

Heat waves are the natural disasters easiest to tie to climate change. Statistical analyses and climate modeling indicate that the 2010 Russian heat wave was about five times more likely to have occurred in 2010 than it would have been in the cooler 1960s. An analysisconducted after the 2003 European heat wave concluded that it was twice as likely as it would have been before the Industrial Revolution. A recent study in the journal Nature Climate Change found that the 1.5 degrees of global warming since the start of the Industrial Revolution had quadrupled the probability of moderate heat extremes.

In work one of us (Robert Kopp) led for the Risky Business Project, we found that over the period from 1981 to 2010, the average American experienced about four dangerously humid days, with wet-bulb temperatures exceeding 80 degrees. By 2030, that level is expected to more than double, to about 10 days per summer. Manhattanites are expected to experience nearly seven uncomfortably muggy weeks in a typical summer, with wet-bulb temperatures exceeding 74 degrees, about as many as residents of Washington have experienced recently.

That increase over the next couple of decades is locked in by the greenhouse gases we’ve already emitted and by our current energy system. Since we can’t avoid it now, we must make our communities more resilient to heat and humidity extremes. One step is to expand access to air-conditioning for those who can’t afford it. We must also improve cooling in stiflingly hot factories and warehouses, strengthen public health systems, improve public warnings when heat and humidity are dangerously high, and be willing to shift outdoor work schedules.

Of course, air-conditioning poses its own problems. Air-conditioners use a lot of electricity, and generating it with our current power system along with the leakage of coolants from these machines will add to the heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere.

Still, as a society, we can influence the weather of the future by the decisions we make today. If we choose not to reduce emissions of heat-trapping gases and instead continue to rely upon fossil fuels, the average American could expect to see about 17 dangerously humid days in a typical summer in 2050 and about 35 in 2090.

Some summers would have days so stiflingly muggy that a healthy individual would suffer heat stroke in less than an hour of moderate, shaded activity outside. And carrying on this way through the 22nd century locks in a trajectory where summer outdoor conditions could become physiologically intolerable for humans and livestock in the eastern United States — and in regions currently home to more than half the planet’s population.

But this fate is not yet locked in. Moderate reductions in emissions of heat-trapping gases — sufficient to stop global emissions growth by 2040 and bring emissions down to half their current levels by the 2070s — can avoid those paralyzing extremes and limit the expected late-century experience of the average American to about 18 dangerously humid days a year. And strong reductions — bringing global emissions to zero by the 2080s — can cap the growth of humidity extremes by the midcentury.

Climate change is increasing the risks to our health, our economy and our environment. Communities need to prepare. But as world leaders get ready for the United Nations climate change conference in Paris this December, it’s also important to recognize that shifting to carbon-free energy will reduce the risks we will face from extreme heat and humidity. As India’s tragic heat wave shows, these risks cannot be ignored.

*****
Dr. Robert Kopp is Associate Director of the Rutgers Energy Institute.
Dr. Matthew Huber is a Professor of Earth Science at the University of New Hampshire, where Jonathan Buzan is a Ph.D. candidate.

 

[westwall]

Gotta love climate change. Already had a backyard BBQ, and it's only March.

Proving that there maybe something to it.

No, it just proves that you love to confuse weather with climate as all of you warmists do. The fact that GISS has been cooking the books also seems to fly right over your head.

 

[Old Rocks]

Mr. Westwall, the post preceding yours pretty well destroyed your contention.

 

[RollingThunder]

The fact that GISS has been cooking the books.......

.....And there's the walleyed troll's usual delusional crackpot conspiracy theory insanity....right on schedule.....

 

[jc456]

Some actual REAL facts and clarity on this issue would be nice.

Perhaps we should listen to the experts....oh, wait...I forgot that doing that is anathema to you anti-science denier cult dingbats....oh, well...tough shit, retards....try learning something real for a change, instead of just pulling rightwingnut myths out of your ass....

The Deadly Combination of Heat and Humidity
The New York Times
By Dr. Robert Kopp, Dr. Matthew Huber and Jonathan Buzan
JUNE 6, 2015

Credit - David Jien

THE most deadly weather-related disasters aren’t necessarily caused by floods, droughts or hurricanes. They can be caused by heat waves, like the sweltering blanket that’s taken over 2,500 lives in India in recent weeks.

Temperatures broke 118 degrees in parts of the country. The death toll is still being tallied, and many heat-related deaths will be recognized only after the fact. Yet it’s already the deadliest heat wave to hit India since at least 1998 and, by some accounts, the fourth- or fifth-deadliest worldwide since 1900.

These heat waves will only become more common as the planet continues to warm.

They don’t just affect tropical, developing countries; they’re a threat throughout the world. The July 1995 heat wave in the Midwest caused over 700 deaths in Chicago. The August 2003 heat wave in western Europe led to about 45,000 deaths. The July-August 2010 heat wave in western Russia killed about 54,000 people.

But as anyone who’s spent a summer in the eastern United States knows, it’s not just the heat; it’s also the humidity. Together, they can be lethal, even if the heat doesn’t seem quite so extreme.

Scientists measure the combination using a metric known as wet-bulb temperature. It’s called that because it can be measured with a thermometer wrapped in a wet cloth, distinguishing it from the commonly reported dry-bulb temperature, measured in open air. Wet-bulb temperature can also be calculated from relative humidity, surface pressure and air temperature.

It’s essentially a measure of how well you can cool your skin by sweating, which is how humans stay alive in the worst heat. But high humidity can defeat that cooling system; it makes the heat that much more dangerous.

The wet-bulb temperature is not typically reported. While dangerous levels depend on a person’s activity level and clothing, wet-bulb temperature offers a stark measure of risk in a warming world that will experience more extreme combinations of both heat and humidity.

Temperature and wet-bulb temperature are not in a one-to-one relationship; both higher temperatures and higher humidities increase wet-bulb temperature. For instance, during the Chicago heat wave, on July 13, 1995, the maximum wet-bulb temperature of 85 degrees occurred at noon when the temperature was 99 degrees. But when it hit 106 degrees at 5 p.m., the wet-bulb temperature was 83 degrees. The former was more dangerous.

A human’s core temperature is about 98.6 degrees, but the skin temperature of the trunk is about 4 to 9 degrees colder, depending on how warm it is and how active a person is. But sweating, which helps keep the core body temperature constant, becomes increasingly ineffective in increasingly humid air, and it can never cool the skin to below the wet-bulb temperature.

A person who is physically active at a wet-bulb temperature of 80 degrees will have trouble maintaining a constant core temperature and risks overheating. A sedentary person who is naked and in the shade will run into the same problem at a wet-bulb temperature of 92 degrees. A wet-bulb temperature of 95 degrees is lethal after about six hours.

In the Indian state of Andhra Pradesh, the highest wet-bulb temperatures of the latest heat wave have peaked around 86 degrees — levels approaching the worst of the 1995 Midwest heat wave, which set records in the United States for humid heat.

Heat waves are the natural disasters easiest to tie to climate change. Statistical analyses and climate modeling indicate that the 2010 Russian heat wave was about five times more likely to have occurred in 2010 than it would have been in the cooler 1960s. An analysisconducted after the 2003 European heat wave concluded that it was twice as likely as it would have been before the Industrial Revolution. A recent study in the journal Nature Climate Change found that the 1.5 degrees of global warming since the start of the Industrial Revolution had quadrupled the probability of moderate heat extremes.

In work one of us (Robert Kopp) led for the Risky Business Project, we found that over the period from 1981 to 2010, the average American experienced about four dangerously humid days, with wet-bulb temperatures exceeding 80 degrees. By 2030, that level is expected to more than double, to about 10 days per summer. Manhattanites are expected to experience nearly seven uncomfortably muggy weeks in a typical summer, with wet-bulb temperatures exceeding 74 degrees, about as many as residents of Washington have experienced recently.

That increase over the next couple of decades is locked in by the greenhouse gases we’ve already emitted and by our current energy system. Since we can’t avoid it now, we must make our communities more resilient to heat and humidity extremes. One step is to expand access to air-conditioning for those who can’t afford it. We must also improve cooling in stiflingly hot factories and warehouses, strengthen public health systems, improve public warnings when heat and humidity are dangerously high, and be willing to shift outdoor work schedules.

Of course, air-conditioning poses its own problems. Air-conditioners use a lot of electricity, and generating it with our current power system along with the leakage of coolants from these machines will add to the heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere.

Still, as a society, we can influence the weather of the future by the decisions we make today. If we choose not to reduce emissions of heat-trapping gases and instead continue to rely upon fossil fuels, the average American could expect to see about 17 dangerously humid days in a typical summer in 2050 and about 35 in 2090.

Some summers would have days so stiflingly muggy that a healthy individual would suffer heat stroke in less than an hour of moderate, shaded activity outside. And carrying on this way through the 22nd century locks in a trajectory where summer outdoor conditions could become physiologically intolerable for humans and livestock in the eastern United States — and in regions currently home to more than half the planet’s population.

But this fate is not yet locked in. Moderate reductions in emissions of heat-trapping gases — sufficient to stop global emissions growth by 2040 and bring emissions down to half their current levels by the 2070s — can avoid those paralyzing extremes and limit the expected late-century experience of the average American to about 18 dangerously humid days a year. And strong reductions — bringing global emissions to zero by the 2080s — can cap the growth of humidity extremes by the midcentury.

Climate change is increasing the risks to our health, our economy and our environment. Communities need to prepare. But as world leaders get ready for the United Nations climate change conference in Paris this December, it’s also important to recognize that shifting to carbon-free energy will reduce the risks we will face from extreme heat and humidity. As India’s tragic heat wave shows, these risks cannot be ignored.

*****
Dr. Robert Kopp is Associate Director of the Rutgers Energy Institute.
Dr. Matthew Huber is a Professor of Earth Science at the University of New Hampshire, where Jonathan Buzan is a Ph.D. candidate.

so you agree with me that we have seen 104 F and 75% Humidity. So you agree with my facts. hmmmmmmm

 

[RollingThunder]

Some actual REAL facts and clarity on this issue would be nice.

Perhaps we should listen to the experts....oh, wait...I forgot that doing that is anathema to you anti-science denier cult dingbats....oh, well...tough shit, retards....try learning something real for a change, instead of just pulling rightwingnut myths out of your ass....

The Deadly Combination of Heat and Humidity
The New York Times
By Dr. Robert Kopp, Dr. Matthew Huber and Jonathan Buzan
JUNE 6, 2015

Credit - David Jien

THE most deadly weather-related disasters aren’t necessarily caused by floods, droughts or hurricanes. They can be caused by heat waves, like the sweltering blanket that’s taken over 2,500 lives in India in recent weeks.

Temperatures broke 118 degrees in parts of the country. The death toll is still being tallied, and many heat-related deaths will be recognized only after the fact. Yet it’s already the deadliest heat wave to hit India since at least 1998 and, by some accounts, the fourth- or fifth-deadliest worldwide since 1900.

These heat waves will only become more common as the planet continues to warm.

They don’t just affect tropical, developing countries; they’re a threat throughout the world. The July 1995 heat wave in the Midwest caused over 700 deaths in Chicago. The August 2003 heat wave in western Europe led to about 45,000 deaths. The July-August 2010 heat wave in western Russia killed about 54,000 people.

But as anyone who’s spent a summer in the eastern United States knows, it’s not just the heat; it’s also the humidity. Together, they can be lethal, even if the heat doesn’t seem quite so extreme.

Scientists measure the combination using a metric known as wet-bulb temperature. It’s called that because it can be measured with a thermometer wrapped in a wet cloth, distinguishing it from the commonly reported dry-bulb temperature, measured in open air. Wet-bulb temperature can also be calculated from relative humidity, surface pressure and air temperature.

It’s essentially a measure of how well you can cool your skin by sweating, which is how humans stay alive in the worst heat. But high humidity can defeat that cooling system; it makes the heat that much more dangerous.

The wet-bulb temperature is not typically reported. While dangerous levels depend on a person’s activity level and clothing, wet-bulb temperature offers a stark measure of risk in a warming world that will experience more extreme combinations of both heat and humidity.

Temperature and wet-bulb temperature are not in a one-to-one relationship; both higher temperatures and higher humidities increase wet-bulb temperature. For instance, during the Chicago heat wave, on July 13, 1995, the maximum wet-bulb temperature of 85 degrees occurred at noon when the temperature was 99 degrees. But when it hit 106 degrees at 5 p.m., the wet-bulb temperature was 83 degrees. The former was more dangerous.

A human’s core temperature is about 98.6 degrees, but the skin temperature of the trunk is about 4 to 9 degrees colder, depending on how warm it is and how active a person is. But sweating, which helps keep the core body temperature constant, becomes increasingly ineffective in increasingly humid air, and it can never cool the skin to below the wet-bulb temperature.

A person who is physically active at a wet-bulb temperature of 80 degrees will have trouble maintaining a constant core temperature and risks overheating. A sedentary person who is naked and in the shade will run into the same problem at a wet-bulb temperature of 92 degrees. A wet-bulb temperature of 95 degrees is lethal after about six hours.

In the Indian state of Andhra Pradesh, the highest wet-bulb temperatures of the latest heat wave have peaked around 86 degrees — levels approaching the worst of the 1995 Midwest heat wave, which set records in the United States for humid heat.

Heat waves are the natural disasters easiest to tie to climate change. Statistical analyses and climate modeling indicate that the 2010 Russian heat wave was about five times more likely to have occurred in 2010 than it would have been in the cooler 1960s. An analysisconducted after the 2003 European heat wave concluded that it was twice as likely as it would have been before the Industrial Revolution. A recent study in the journal Nature Climate Change found that the 1.5 degrees of global warming since the start of the Industrial Revolution had quadrupled the probability of moderate heat extremes.

In work one of us (Robert Kopp) led for the Risky Business Project, we found that over the period from 1981 to 2010, the average American experienced about four dangerously humid days, with wet-bulb temperatures exceeding 80 degrees. By 2030, that level is expected to more than double, to about 10 days per summer. Manhattanites are expected to experience nearly seven uncomfortably muggy weeks in a typical summer, with wet-bulb temperatures exceeding 74 degrees, about as many as residents of Washington have experienced recently.

That increase over the next couple of decades is locked in by the greenhouse gases we’ve already emitted and by our current energy system. Since we can’t avoid it now, we must make our communities more resilient to heat and humidity extremes. One step is to expand access to air-conditioning for those who can’t afford it. We must also improve cooling in stiflingly hot factories and warehouses, strengthen public health systems, improve public warnings when heat and humidity are dangerously high, and be willing to shift outdoor work schedules.

Of course, air-conditioning poses its own problems. Air-conditioners use a lot of electricity, and generating it with our current power system along with the leakage of coolants from these machines will add to the heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere.

Still, as a society, we can influence the weather of the future by the decisions we make today. If we choose not to reduce emissions of heat-trapping gases and instead continue to rely upon fossil fuels, the average American could expect to see about 17 dangerously humid days in a typical summer in 2050 and about 35 in 2090.

Some summers would have days so stiflingly muggy that a healthy individual would suffer heat stroke in less than an hour of moderate, shaded activity outside. And carrying on this way through the 22nd century locks in a trajectory where summer outdoor conditions could become physiologically intolerable for humans and livestock in the eastern United States — and in regions currently home to more than half the planet’s population.

But this fate is not yet locked in. Moderate reductions in emissions of heat-trapping gases — sufficient to stop global emissions growth by 2040 and bring emissions down to half their current levels by the 2070s — can avoid those paralyzing extremes and limit the expected late-century experience of the average American to about 18 dangerously humid days a year. And strong reductions — bringing global emissions to zero by the 2080s — can cap the growth of humidity extremes by the midcentury.

Climate change is increasing the risks to our health, our economy and our environment. Communities need to prepare. But as world leaders get ready for the United Nations climate change conference in Paris this December, it’s also important to recognize that shifting to carbon-free energy will reduce the risks we will face from extreme heat and humidity. As India’s tragic heat wave shows, these risks cannot be ignored.

*****
Dr. Robert Kopp is Associate Director of the Rutgers Energy Institute.
Dr. Matthew Huber is a Professor of Earth Science at the University of New Hampshire, where Jonathan Buzan is a Ph.D. candidate.

so you agree with me that we have seen 104 F and 75% Humidity. So you agree with my facts. hmmmmmmm

You have no "facts", you poor retarded troll. Your posts are total bullshit. You are too stupid to understand the evidence you're shown, as you are demonstrating right now.

 

[TyroneSlothrop]

Beyond record hot, February was 'astronomical' and 'strange'
WASHINGTON — Earth got so hot last month that federal scientists struggled to find words, describing temperatures as "astronomical," ''staggering" and "strange." They warned that the climate may have moved into a new and hotter neighborhood.

This was not just another of the drumbeat of 10 straight broken monthly global heat records, triggered by a super El Nino and man-made global warming. February 2016 obliterated old marks by such a margin that it was the most above-normal month since meteorologists started keeping track in 1880, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

 

[IsaacNewton]

Record-Shattering February Warmth Bakes Alaska, Arctic 18°F Above Normal
Record-Shattering February Warmth Bakes Alaska, Arctic 18°F Above Normal

by Joe Romm Mar 13, 2016 1:05 pm

CREDIT: NASA

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How hot was it last month globally? It was so hot that the famed Iditarod sled race in Alaska brought in extra snow from hundreds of miles away by train.

It was so hot that NASA now reports that last month beat the all-time global record for hottest February by a stunning 0.85°F, when such records are usually measured in hundredths of a degree.

Global mean surface temperature (anomaly from 1951-1980 mean). NASA data (h/t Tamino). Red dot is February.

It was so hot last month that large parts of the Arctic averaged more than 18°F (10°C) above normal. Not only did last month easily set the record for lowest February Arctic sea ice extent, as the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) reported, but Arctic sea ice growth has been almost flat for over a month during a time when it normally soars to its annual maximum.

It was so hot that February had the single biggest recorded monthly temperature anomaly (deviation from the 1951-1980 average temperature) — a whopping 2.4°F (1.35°C) above the average temperature for the month. The previous record deviation from the average — 2.0°F (1.13°C) — you may recall, was set in January.
----

It is becoming clear that global warming + the nino is doing some extreme stuff. We need to all agree as it is obvious.

Leave the denier cult to their fantasies.

Humanity will be forced to face this very soon, and because there was a loud bunch of losers that kept action from taking place sooner many people will die and the cost to even try to correct the CO2 problem will dwarf anything the human race has ever seen.

 

[flacaltenn]

Let's see who really knows anything about statistics. And whether we can tell if this is Climate or Weather...

First of all --- there are 365 Daily records that can shattered each year all statistically independent of one another.

Bzzzt, wrong. Daily weather is _not_ statistically independent. Temperature trends run longer that a day, so a day being warm (or cold) makes it more likely the next day will be warm (or cold).

I guess we found out who knows anything about statistics.

What is the likelihood of those lines being exceeded?

If it's actually random noise with no bias, then 32% for one-sigma.

Let's look at another recent year..

Pretty much destroyed those deviations in Jan didn't it..
Discuss... I've got to run

Sure. The amount of red outside the line is bigger than the blue outsdie the line, hence that also shows a baseline biased towards the warm.

It's El Nino.

That conclusion is not supported by your previous arguments in any way.

There was a MASSIVE drought accompanying this winter in Alaska.
Was not a typical event. And probably weather -- not climate.

But when it happens year after year, as it's been happening ... climate. This is the same scam argument WUWT has recently been trying to pull, ignoring all the previous years of warming, and pretending that scientists are only looking at the last year.

32% is pretty good odds -- aint' it Squidward??

Doesn't matter to "record making" that the inter-day weather is somewhat coherent and correlated. You could have busted the records for 22 and 24th LAST year. And THIS YEAR -- you fools get to brag about the 23rd...
New opportunities every day...

But the bottom line in Alaska -- the REAL STORY in terms of CLIMATE --- is something that NOAA is NOT telling you.. And that is -- that those sigma bars on variance are GOING DOWN over the past couple decades on both temperature excursions and precipt. It's barely noticeable in those graphs, but I've seen the evidence.

Now why would the weather in Alaska be getting MORE predictable in a place where where blooming GW is supposed to be making it more UNpredictable and hostile??

 

[Billy_Bob]

I'm not going to waste my time teaching you statistics, so I'll keep it short and simple for you to grasp.

YOU DO NOT HAVE A BASELINE OF ANYTHING EXCEPT CHERRY PICKED YEARS. YOUR CHART IS USELESS.

Excellent catch! I wonder how they determined the optimum temperature for the earth given its fluctuations of 12 deg C variation in just the last 450 thousand years..

I have yet to get an alarmist to show me how they derived their "NORMAL global average temperature"

 

[Billy_Bob]

Record-Shattering February Warmth Bakes Alaska, Arctic 18°F Above Normal
Record-Shattering February Warmth Bakes Alaska, Arctic 18°F Above Normal

by Joe Romm Mar 13, 2016 1:05 pm

CREDIT: NASA

Share 830
Tweet
How hot was it last month globally? It was so hot that the famed Iditarod sled race in Alaska brought in extra snow from hundreds of miles away by train.

It was so hot that NASA now reports that last month beat the all-time global record for hottest February by a stunning 0.85°F, when such records are usually measured in hundredths of a degree.

Global mean surface temperature (anomaly from 1951-1980 mean). NASA data (h/t Tamino). Red dot is February.

It was so hot last month that large parts of the Arctic averaged more than 18°F (10°C) above normal. Not only did last month easily set the record for lowest February Arctic sea ice extent, as the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) reported, but Arctic sea ice growth has been almost flat for over a month during a time when it normally soars to its annual maximum.

It was so hot that February had the single biggest recorded monthly temperature anomaly (deviation from the 1951-1980 average temperature) — a whopping 2.4°F (1.35°C) above the average temperature for the month. The previous record deviation from the average — 2.0°F (1.13°C) — you may recall, was set in January.
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It is becoming clear that global warming + the nino is doing some extreme stuff. We need to all agree as it is obvious.

Leave the denier cult to their fantasies.

Humanity will be forced to face this very soon, and because there was a loud bunch of losers that kept action from taking place sooner many people will die and the cost to even try to correct the CO2 problem will dwarf anything the human race has ever seen.

Oh look another AGW moron who cant look at facts to see that most of our current interracial, known as the Holocene, was WARMER that it is today..

The shear idiocy of the left wit drones is stunning.. Simply showing the facts exposes them as liars and deceivers..

 

[Billy_Bob]

Well Well -- Another Gignormus Weather pissing contest. Let me help..

Let's see who really knows anything about statistics. And whether we can tell if this is Climate or Weather...

First of all --- there are 365 Daily records that can shattered each year all statistically independent of one another.
(366 actually this year since February was almost 3.5% LONGER than normal !!! ) And then there are 12 Monthly records that can be shattered in any year again all independent of one another. Not unusual to have one "sticky period" laying around for "an abnormal amount of time". But THIS FEBRUARY in the far north WAS pretty hot.

How hot was it?????????

That's how hot it was. Here's the quiz kids.

Read me the +/- one sigma variance lines from the 1981 to 2010 mean values. What kind of numbers do you see?
What is the likelihood of those lines being exceeded? And how does that compare to an 18degF deviation from "normal" in February?

Yup -- it went outside the one sigma bars.. . Time to panic? Hold on..

Let's look at another recent year..

Pretty much destroyed those deviations in Jan didn't it..
Discuss... I've got to run. It's El Nino. There was a MASSIVE drought accompanying this winter in Alaska.
Was not a typical event. And probably weather -- not climate.

BINGO!

Shifting flow pattern due to El Niño oceanic conditions which are now receding as snow and cold have again returned to Alaska..

WEATHER!

My niece is enjoying the new 1-3 feet of new snow this week..

 

[IsaacNewton]

Ignore the denier cult. They are like flat-earthers. They will believe their bullshit no matter what evidence is available. Because the reality is too scary for some.

 

[skookerasbil]

Im laughing.............

The public has been hearing these alarmist screams for 30 years now. And?

But tell you what........people in New York City and Boston are getting whalloped with 10 inches of snow on Monday and its almost April!!

In the real world, one snowstorm in late March in the northeast makes all the alarmist hysteria go away in a non0-second. Because that's the way it works in the real world, much the chagrin of the AGW k00ks. Its lose, lose and..........

When will the public give a crap?

I'll tell you when..........when people see THIS >>>

[URL='http://s42.photobucket.com/user/baldaltima/media/Alaska%20in%20Jan.png.html'][/URL]



.....happening in northern Alaska in mid January for 3 weeks!!!


NOT A MOMENT SOONER


Only the AGW nutters haven't yet figured out that reality is 95% perception. Fortunately, the rest of the world has!!!