Polls Show Obama Lead

[blackhawk]

No it's not my idea of a debate. It is posting polls so people can comment if they like. That's all.

As of 8/18/12

LINK

Wow according to that map Obama has 284 and the win yet the real clear politics map says something quite different go figure.
RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

But all the electoral college maps I've seen have Obama ahead pretty significantly and the electoral college is what counts. His national lead is anywhere from 2-4 points depending on the polls you look at but the national vote doesn't mean much unless the electoral college reflects a turnaround and Romney lead.

And all of those electoral college maps have swing states which are going to be the states that decide the election and all the polling I have seen in those states shows they are very close most only show a 1 point difference a couple a 3 point difference I believe. I don't see either candidate sweeping these swing states I see it coming down to either Florida or Ohio to decide it and Ohio has Obama ahead by +1.8 and Florida has it Obama +1 basically tied.

 

[hortysir]

It is remaining pretty steady for Obama.

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3.4 points ahead with a 3 pt. MoE

A dead heat for an incumbent that's being outspent is trouble.


See ya in November

 

[beretta304]

Gallup Presidential Election Trial Heat Results: Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney

 

[P@triot]

Pissing off the entire military, especially the elite special forces who have the deepest respect and admiration from the entire nation, is certainly not going to help the radical marxist get re-elected...

Ex-SEALs And CIA Agents Unite To Stop Leaks | OPSEC | TheBlaze.com

 

[JakeStarkey]

Almost all of the entire respect their chain of command, Rottweiler, including Obama, and disrespect the failure of swiftboating the president for his courageous decision.

Americans, as a whole, know that you guys are the ones who hate America, Rottweiler, or you would not be telling lies.

 

[Katzndogz]

obama gets reelected because democrats see North Carolina, Wisconsin, Colorado and Florida as swing states that will eventually go to obama.

 

[Liability]

obama gets reelected because democrats see North Carolina, Wisconsin, Colorado and Florida as swing states that will eventually go to obama.

NC and WI will go to the GOP. Colorado? Who knows? Mal lives there.

Florida is going to surprise lots of libs.

 

[NYcarbineer]

obama gets reelected because democrats see North Carolina, Wisconsin, Colorado and Florida as swing states that will eventually go to obama.

Obama has to lose 91 electoral votes from 2008 before he loses the election.

Those four states total 63.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

I think all 57 states are in play and are Romney's to lose

 

[Liability]

I think all 57 states are in play

If we correct for the polls' intentional over-sampling of Democratics, I believe around 50 of the 57 States are solidly pro-Romney.

 

[P@triot]

obama gets reelected because democrats see North Carolina, Wisconsin, Colorado and Florida as swing states that will eventually go to obama.

NC and WI will go to the GOP. Colorado? Who knows? Mal lives there.

Florida is going to surprise lots of libs.

How do people figure that a state (Wisconsin) that twice has elected Scott Walker since 2010 is going to go to Obama??? I think it's fairly obvious that Obama is going to get slaughtered in Wisconsin.

 

[P@triot]

I think all 57 states are in play and are Romney's to lose

 

[PoliticalChic]

It is remaining pretty steady for Obama.

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"Overall (12 Swing States):
Romney – 47% (45)
Obama – 46% (47)
Undecided – 6% (8)

Overall Obama Job Approval: 43/51
Obama Favorability Rating: 47/49
Romney Favorability Rating: 45/48

Colorado:
Obama – 49% (45)
Romney – 46% (44)
Undecided – 5% (11)
Obama Job Approval: 45/48
Obama Favorability Rating: 46/50
Romney Favorability Rating: 46/50

Virginia:
Romney – 48% (44)
Obama – 45% (46)
Undecided – 8% (10)
Obama Job Approval: 42/52
Obama Favorability Rating: 46/49
Romney Favorability Rating: 47/48

Ohio:
Romney – 46% (45)
Obama – 44% (48)
Undecided – 10% (7)
Obama Job Approval: 42/52
Obama Favorability Rating: 45/50
Romney Favorability Rating: 42/52

Florida:
Romney – 48% (48)
Obama – 47% (45)
Undecided – 5% (7)
Obama Job Approval: 42/52
Obama Favorability Rating: 46/49
Romney Favorability Rating: 45/48

Survey of 1,000 likely voters (overall numbers) and 600 likely voters in each of the four highlighted states was conducted Aug 13-14. Overall numbers have a margin of error of ±3.1% at a .50 proportion; individual state numbers have a margin of error of ±4.0% at a .50 proportion. Numbers from their July poll are in parentheses."
Poll Watch: Purple Strategies Swing States Survey | Race 4 2012


Sleep tight.

 

[hortysir]

An incumbent shouldn't be this close

 

[EriktheRed]

An incumbent shouldn't be this close

An incumbent also shouldn't have a lead at all with unemployment being what it is. But he does.

 

[hortysir]

An incumbent shouldn't be this close

An incumbent also shouldn't have a lead at all with unemployment being what it is. But he does.

Not really, because what ever lead there is, is all within the MoE

 

[EriktheRed]

An incumbent shouldn't be this close

An incumbent also shouldn't have a lead at all with unemployment being what it is. But he does.

Not really, because what ever lead there is, is all within the MoE

Whether you want to call it one or not, his numbers are better than one would expect, which just goes to show that the normal rules aren't applying this time around.

 

[hortysir]

We'll see

 

[PoliticalChic]

An incumbent shouldn't be this close

An incumbent also shouldn't have a lead at all with unemployment being what it is. But he does.

Not really, because what ever lead there is, is all within the MoE

That's America collectively (excuse the expression) saying 'what the heck was I thinkin' back in '08????'

 

[courseofhistory]

These interactive electoral college possiblities are kind of fun.

The Road to 270 (repubs)

The Road to 270 (dems)

Probability of Reaching 270 (same links)

Democrats 89%

Republicans 10%

Neither (Tie) < 1%