lafayette
Gold Member
- Apr 15, 2024
- 4,261
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- #1
The below is a thing a friend of mine wrote on the elections of 2024. For your consideration:
'Iāve read a fair amount of commentary about why Trump won the election but havenāt seen much about the āsuper yearā phenomena, which has been underway since late 2023 where a remarkably high percentage (over 80%) of incumbents are overturned by voters in their respective countries, affecting over half the population of the world. In some cases, decades-long control has been overturned.'
'Why? Angst over pandemic-triggered Inflation with blame placed on elites. It doesnāt matter if incumbents are left or right. Either way, they get ousted due to economic frustration of the voters.
Trump's election fits well into this pattern, and it likely wouldnāt have mattered which party was in power. It would probably have been overturned, Republican or Democrat.'
https://www.usnews.com/.../the-super-year-of-elections...
Another note about the margins in the election as the vote counts near finalization: How do Trumpās margins compare historically?
The size of the vote count margins come in at 44th out of the last 51 elections (since 1824). More Americans voted for someone other than Trump than voted for him, with Trump failing to capture 50% of the vote.'
'Iāve read a fair amount of commentary about why Trump won the election but havenāt seen much about the āsuper yearā phenomena, which has been underway since late 2023 where a remarkably high percentage (over 80%) of incumbents are overturned by voters in their respective countries, affecting over half the population of the world. In some cases, decades-long control has been overturned.'
'Why? Angst over pandemic-triggered Inflation with blame placed on elites. It doesnāt matter if incumbents are left or right. Either way, they get ousted due to economic frustration of the voters.
Trump's election fits well into this pattern, and it likely wouldnāt have mattered which party was in power. It would probably have been overturned, Republican or Democrat.'
https://www.usnews.com/.../the-super-year-of-elections...
Another note about the margins in the election as the vote counts near finalization: How do Trumpās margins compare historically?
The size of the vote count margins come in at 44th out of the last 51 elections (since 1824). More Americans voted for someone other than Trump than voted for him, with Trump failing to capture 50% of the vote.'