task0778
Diamond Member
JP Morgan energy analysts recently reported that crude could reach $380 a barrel. This would be triggered by a sharp curtailment of Russian exports. And, in turn, this would be caused by the friction between the West and Russia over the war in Ukraine. Bloomberg reported on the research which forecasts Russia could cut five million barrels of production a day without crippling its own economy.
High gas prices could hurt drivers and oil companies, experts say
Gas prices primarily rely on oil prices. Other components include refinery costs, transportation, and state and federal taxes. President Biden and some state governors have suggested a temporary suspension of these taxes would help consumers.
Oil prices at $380 would push gas prices above $10 a gallon, and perhaps toward $15. The U.S. economy could not take the shock, and whatever recession might be ahead would deepen. The problem in Europe could be close to identical.
I put a ? in the title cuz I think this much of an increase isn't likely. Possible maybe, but not likely cuz at that price the oil industry will see more people and money invested and the price will moderate before it gets that high. Congress sure as hell won't stand in the way, especially after the GOP takes back control of both the House and the Senate. Hopefully at that point enough democrats including Biden realize that the stranglehold the enviros have on the Far Left isn't enough to save them in future elections and there might be some mitigation in the war on fossil fuels, or at least a temporary truce.
$380/barrel is a pretty steep climb for about $100, I don't know what those guys at JP Morgan are looking at, but people will adjust. More public transit, less commuting as more people work at home, and more walking or biking, all of that could happen. I don't know that the increase on EVs and renewable energy will happen all that fast though, the current power grid can't be changed that fast and BTW there's a huge expense involved that the democrats and the enviros aren't talking about. And even so, this country will still need fossil fuels for quite some time.
High gas prices could hurt drivers and oil companies, experts say
Gas prices primarily rely on oil prices. Other components include refinery costs, transportation, and state and federal taxes. President Biden and some state governors have suggested a temporary suspension of these taxes would help consumers.
Oil prices at $380 would push gas prices above $10 a gallon, and perhaps toward $15. The U.S. economy could not take the shock, and whatever recession might be ahead would deepen. The problem in Europe could be close to identical.
America Braces For $380 Oil
Oil prices, at just above $100 a barrel, have driving gas prices above $5 based on a gallon of regular nationwide. In some states, the number is closer to $6 a gallon.Oil prices also affect other parts of the economy. Jet fuel price spikes have cut into airline profits. Oil is used in...
247wallst.com
I put a ? in the title cuz I think this much of an increase isn't likely. Possible maybe, but not likely cuz at that price the oil industry will see more people and money invested and the price will moderate before it gets that high. Congress sure as hell won't stand in the way, especially after the GOP takes back control of both the House and the Senate. Hopefully at that point enough democrats including Biden realize that the stranglehold the enviros have on the Far Left isn't enough to save them in future elections and there might be some mitigation in the war on fossil fuels, or at least a temporary truce.
$380/barrel is a pretty steep climb for about $100, I don't know what those guys at JP Morgan are looking at, but people will adjust. More public transit, less commuting as more people work at home, and more walking or biking, all of that could happen. I don't know that the increase on EVs and renewable energy will happen all that fast though, the current power grid can't be changed that fast and BTW there's a huge expense involved that the democrats and the enviros aren't talking about. And even so, this country will still need fossil fuels for quite some time.