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The only problem is McCain cant get out of the low 40's.
McCain is polling at 44% in RCP.
Here's the possible problems for Obama.
1. 4 out 5 undecideds could very well break for McCain
2. There are some early indications that there may be a significant "Bradley Effect" in Florida and Nevada.
And the Bradley Effect is NOT about racism. It's about fear of being precived as racist when polled.
Not saying McCain is gonna win this thing. What I'm saying is if he does I think it will be because of ! & 2 above.