A problem I have with the idea in general is that there are simply so many people who are terrified of finance, and they appear to be willing to trade return for simplicity, so it's easy to scare them off the idea.Joe I've skimmed over your plan from the site linked in your sig.Seems my news was bad for you.....People who put money in should get every cent back.
It should be ended so that no one contributes any longer.
All the ancillary liberal leaches who never paid into the system should be cut off immediately and a repayment plan created for them to return the money.
I want to be fair to the people who were fooled.....
I have bad news for you. That would be your parents and grandparents. The original collector of Social Security was Ida Mae Fuller. She paid $25 and collected more than $22000. How are you going to get that money back. She wasn't the only one. The typical retiree couple in 1960 collected $8 of benefits for every $1 contributed. How are you going to get that money back.
They were paid with money collected from current retirees in exchange for the promise of more benefits. People have talked about the coming crisis practically since inception.
If you end the contribution who will pay existing retires? Mind you at this point, many will not ever collect what they contributed in real terms.
I am only advocating for return of what was paid in to people, and getting refunds from those who did not pay in.....
I advocate killing the tax, in its entirety....
I advocate letting the free market take care of it....
Simple, non complicated solution, centered on the individual, not the .gov....
It is not bad news any more than proposing that the tooth fairy replaces Social Security. If you end the tax, there is enough to pay existing retirees about a dime for every dollar owed. That leaves zero for returning 'what was paid in' for those people 16 to 62. If you return money where is it going to come from, dollars from heaven?
Having had this exchange before, we will trade notes and you will finally say just print the money. You want this to be an easy problem. Everyone does. My news is bad but I suspect that you aren't paying attention.
(I'm afraid "skimming over" is about the best I can do. I think I have some kind of weird internet ADD that prohibits me from spending too much time on stuff when I'm staring at a screen)
Anyway, I'm a CFP and I'm curious (of course) about how you have the funds invested in your plan. It looks like you have the funds invested in treasury debt, which makes sense given the fact that it would be (comparably) more stable while still providing better long term returns.
Have you considered putting some of those funds to work in equities, using the "target date" fund approach that decreases risk exposure with age? I suspect you have - what is your opinion on that strategy for this?
.
That is a blast from the past. That piece is about 5 years old, and I sent to the Journal of American Economics. They passed.
The gist is that we can make the system more efficient by allowing people to pick their flavor of risk. Today risk is one size fits all. If we introduce risk into the equation, some will stay put in a trade of lower return but guaranteed. For others, they will trade the certainty of return for the ability to invest their SS in the stock market. Social Security owns the principal and the worker owns the income stream of the resulting investment. Essentially, SS can participate in the market with a covered put on the downside.
The concept requires a fiduciary intermediary say fidelity to invest the money so that the president of say Enron doesn't invest in his own company. That intermediary is free to invest per the client's request. When the worker reaches retirement, the money is converted by to US treasuries creates interest for the retiree, and eventually go back to SS when the retiree dies.
At retirement the money is converted to Treasuries to protect the SS system from poor investment. The target funds could generate a higher return, but it is risk that SS as the principal owner would absorb.
I appreciate your reading...
So, how to deal with that. Typically, the target date funds are down to around 30% to 35% equities at retirement age, and that would be too much for something like this. So rather than putting it on individuals to make decisions, the funds could start at around 90% equities at age 21 and get down to maybe 10% by age 55 or so, maybe even less, and then just be in fixed income. Then those who always scream about market risk wouldn't have a case.
Just thinking out loud here, you may want to take a peek at how fixed indexed annuities work, too. They have zero downside risk, invest in bonds and stock options, and can average 4.0% to 5.0% over time. They would be a market alternative, take risk out of it, and still return more than SS is now.
.