Hurricanelover
Diamond Member
- Oct 4, 2021
- 3,494
- 4,047
- 1,938
My opinion looking at the data as of today
The bad
Florida isn't within 7% for harris. Certain Trump.
Georgia is 3-4% more white and the turn out in the rurals is fucking Amazing. 2-3% for Trump.
NC is slipping away...1-2% for Trump.
Arizona the republicans have a 80k lead and we're nearing a 1/3rd of 2020 vote. There's no way in hell Harris will win it on election night.
Nevada is gone for Harris. 2020 Biden had a 50k lead at this point,,,while Harris is down nearly 24k.
It will come down to the rust belt and Neb 2....
The good
Mi is safe Harris. Female/male ratio matches 2020!
Pa the return rate for democrats is slowing fast so they'll be lucky to get 400k firewall. The thing is republicans are voting early and so there's hope that the democrats will have a good election day to win it. I say 70% chance of Harris winning it.
Wi probably 8% for Harris as the midwest seems to be favorable for harris. As in the wave to the south isn't creepen in.
Neb-2 is leading by 4k votes for democrats. Seems to be quite favorable.
Probably 270 for Harris.
source for information » 2024 Early Voting UF Election Lab
The bad
Florida isn't within 7% for harris. Certain Trump.
Georgia is 3-4% more white and the turn out in the rurals is fucking Amazing. 2-3% for Trump.
NC is slipping away...1-2% for Trump.
Arizona the republicans have a 80k lead and we're nearing a 1/3rd of 2020 vote. There's no way in hell Harris will win it on election night.
Nevada is gone for Harris. 2020 Biden had a 50k lead at this point,,,while Harris is down nearly 24k.
It will come down to the rust belt and Neb 2....
The good
Mi is safe Harris. Female/male ratio matches 2020!
Pa the return rate for democrats is slowing fast so they'll be lucky to get 400k firewall. The thing is republicans are voting early and so there's hope that the democrats will have a good election day to win it. I say 70% chance of Harris winning it.
Wi probably 8% for Harris as the midwest seems to be favorable for harris. As in the wave to the south isn't creepen in.
Neb-2 is leading by 4k votes for democrats. Seems to be quite favorable.
Probably 270 for Harris.
source for information » 2024 Early Voting UF Election Lab
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