Mikhail Bridges makes game winning plays at the end to put the Knicks up 2-0.

[leftwinger]

I used to bet Sports back in the day when I had to travel to Vegas or Mexico to bet. So I'd save up and pick a couple games and bet big. I did OK even taking into account travel expenses. I don't think it's possible to come out ahead betting lots of games, props and basketball is especially tough because the scoring is so prolific and erratic. Be careful the losses can rack up fast.

understood. There was a learning curve the first two years. Lost a lot when I looked back.. Now I usually bet 2-3 $10 bets on TV games. Trying to maybe build a parlay with good odds. Maybe hedge the bet to break even as the game unfolds.

I bet most NCAAB games and came out ahead. Still living on that money but it is going down too fast on NBA games.

Sort of as a hobby. Cheaper than parking, tickets, $100 beer and hot dogs, 3-hour travel to one slow boring game sitting with suspected woke Leftist all around like the fags at the SF games. I am huge rationalizer and procrastinator with alchohol and drug problems too in the olden days too. lol! if its' bad, I can fall into it.

I admit, I get a rush betting and watching, it is an addiction. When I need one more bucket by ANYBODY with 15sec left and they drain a 3pt at the buzzer yahoo. I had OKC and BOS bets G1 all locked up ($100s coming to me) then they somehow both went to OT and lost all bets. Yes that is a reverse-rush. Making me give the finger at the picture of Jesus "why do you kill the little man!"

 

[leftwinger]

understood. There was a learning curve the first two years. Lost a lot when I looked back.. Now I usually bet 2-3 $10 bets on TV games. Trying to maybe build a parlay with good odds. Maybe hedge the bet to break even as the game unfolds.

I bet most NCAAB games and came out ahead. Still living on that money but it is going down too fast on NBA games.

Sort of as a hobby. Cheaper than parking, tickets, $100 beer and hot dogs, 3-hour travel to one slow boring game sitting with suspected woke Leftist all around like the fags at the SF games. I am huge rationalizer and procrastinator with alchohol and drug problems too in the olden days too. lol! if its' bad, I can fall into it.

I admit, I get a rush betting and watching, it is an addiction. When I need one more bucket by ANYBODY with 15sec left and they drain a 3pt at the buzzer yahoo. I had OKC and BOS bets G1 all locked up ($100s coming to me) then they somehow both went to OT and lost all bets. Yes that is a reverse-rush. Making me give the finger at the picture of Jesus "why do you kill the little man!"

OH....added. I seldom feel I know enough to "guarantee" any one big bet. In the beginning I "knew it all". Every time I bet $25-$250 on a sure thing....something went weirdly wrong and I lost it all. Like a blocked FG or off the post at 9sec left from 26yds. In game that should not have even been close....according to the "experts".

 

[sealybobo]

Lakers always get the top big man available

Wilt, Kareem, Shaq, Lebron

Luka, Lebron and Gianni?

Remember when Kobe, Shaq, Gary Payton, Karl Malone, Bryon Russell, Derek Fisher, Horace Grant and Rick Fox lost to my Piston's in 2004?

Do you think Lebron and Luca will win a championship if Gianni joins them? I don't. You would think it would but I would hope not.

Remember when Durant went to Golden State? I hated that. It worked out for them. They won twice with him.

Shit. Gianni going to the Lakers should end up with a championship. But so would NY. And NY has more Greeks than Cali.

 

[sealybobo]

Have you noticed the OFFENSE guy can ram into the DEFENSE guy almost as hard as possible want nowdays? Pushing them right in the chest often with arms to get clear also? Has this slowly evolved or did I miss the rule changes during my 25 yr. NBA strike. I only came back to bet.

btw: as you might expect, betting is hard. They offer over/under 55.5 pts per quarter for example. So many little bets lost by 1/2 point (they score 28-27). You can also create parlay odds (+225 or so) BOS wins 1Q and under 55.5 total points. When you bet total points scored you are depending on both teams to play normally. If they miss all shots and get 17 points in a quarter? UGH. You expected them to get close to avg 28 pts per quarter? 25pts per quarter per team is sort of baseline.

NEW on NBA: Before the games start you can bet single teams over under totals per quarter (IND over 28.5 at CLEVE Q1). Parlay creations are not allowed in this pre-game stuff so your odds are -110 range. OKC over/under 31.5Q1 30.5Q2 et. the numbers move around. Predicting 4th quarter is very difficult. If they have big lead.....of course they run clock. Don't score as much. Tight game...they are more careful also.

BOS - NY is very hard to bet. Wildly up/down. Lost most bets on BOS and OKC games G1 G2.

I did a search for how many times you have mentioned the NBA. From 2016 you have 3 pages worth of posts. Here's one I thought was particularly racist. You said

"don't know for sure, but not married? Maybe you would rather call black old man male Muslim slut, getting around. She was just one of many. They always know.........

What about Elon? He's not married and has lots of bastards.

 

[MarathonMike]

OH....added. I seldom feel I know enough to "guarantee" any one big bet. In the beginning I "knew it all". Every time I bet $25-$250 on a sure thing....something went weirdly wrong and I lost it all. Like a blocked FG or off the post at 9sec left from 26yds. In game that should not have even been close....according to the "experts".

My Dad was a compulsive gambler (horses). When I was still a teenager he introduced me to a professional gambler at the track one day. The guy showed me his book, it was amazing. He had timing numbers and notes from practice runs of the horses he was following. He would wait sometimes a week to make a bet and then he would bet thousands on his horse to win. place and show. And this was over 40 years ago! I didn't analyze games the way he did but that was the model I followed.

 

[odanny]

In game that should not have even been close....according to the "experts".

The "experts" burn you more often than not. Here is the rule for betting that works for me: Look for convergence, I have read and watched the touts consistently get picks wrong, and if I follow their advice alone I more often lose than win.

You find bets you already trust and then find these same experts to confirm something you already know. They are not good for much else than this, and you will lose more than win if relying on them for anything.

 

[MarathonMike]

When I was betting I did well on college football betting favorites to cover spreads that I felt went big enough. I also like the "Over" bet because once you've covered, you won. No bad beats at the end of the game Yay! I never listened to experts or "bought" sure thing bets from pro analysts.

 

[leftwinger]

I did a search for how many times you have mentioned the NBA. From 2016 you have 3 pages worth of posts. Here's one I thought was particularly racist. You said

"don't know for sure, but not married? Maybe you would rather call black old man male Muslim slut, getting around. She was just one of many. They always know.........

What about Elon? He's not married and has lots of bastards.

I told you I quit the NBA ~2000 when they cheated SAC vs the Lakers. I had even gone to SAC playoff games in the cheap end zome deck.

And LA (kobey) vs. The Warriors they literally rigged the end of game to get LA into the playoffs. Don't remember the year. But it was blatant, on CA TV.

I used to love the NBA up to then. I came back on Jimmy Butler & MIA beating MIL etc. That last second miracle to force OT.

Other than that? I watched some playoff only elimination games last minutes of 4th quarters GS jungle ball vs. CLEVE.

The discrepancy and craziness of foul calls is maddening back then. Is it better now? The traveling, steps, palming, carrying the ball is off charts. They literally shift pivot foot. They run carrying the ball, no call.

Gambling *mostly on points) brought me back now watching more.

Get off me!

 

[leftwinger]

The "experts" burn you more often than not. Here is the rule for betting that works for me: Look for convergence, I have read and watched the touts consistently get picks wrong, and if I follow their advice alone I more often lose than win.

You find bets you already trust and then find these same experts to confirm something you already know. They are not good for much else than this, and you will lose more than win if relying on them for anything.

Yes I quit all believing in them at all. I go to state sheets to see how the scored. But it is reg season NBA. Playoffs is another world.

That said I won some bets over last two yrs on IND and OKC to score high in playoffs. If that was all I did....but it is not. I do NFL NCAAB. Tried MLB but lost all lost 100% of bets.

If it's on my TV I dabble as hobby. I know.

 

[leftwinger]

Two things I know work better for me. Bet the better teams. Bet high scoring team to score.

Try to go small. Bet IND over 28.5 Q1. If I could I would watch and wait till the best spot (odds) or obvious and hit submit. I di better Q2&Q3 when they warmed up and a flow is observed.

If you Bet Q1 over. 59.5 .you got two teams you need to do their part. Same for under 51.5, if one team too lazy to play hard D? They go over. Good NBA teams score 28-29 pts avg per QTR. But then playoffs ugh! Different. Like MLB playoff pitching.

NBA betting does not offer as much "per team" live bets. But on Q1 total points (both teams) they do. Up to 1/2 of a quarter you can jump in late if you like it.

If they are "blowing it out" at 3-5 min they will move the over up to 63.5 or drop it to 48.5 if no points happening. Then you can't take the under Q1 and feel safe.

Basically a computer is running ahead of you figuring points per minute. By the time I use the calculator to predict...they are done. TV games lag real time always. Even that varies. Your phone site kags too I bet? But it is always ahead of TV.

 

[leftwinger]

Say you felt real good about MINN to win tonight & over 211. Right now+300. If the game starts and GS is blowing them out 23-7 it might change to +800? But you might also want to switch to UNDER. Nothing is easy.

This is not 1975 with a bookie working nights at Albertsons. Not a casino window standing in line.

It is instant on your phone. Yes it takes guts to hit submit bet button. Pretend you bet $100. Do you still like your choice? Gulp.

I bet $17 & $25 on BOS last two nights. Had the under till it went OT...then also lost BOS to win (parlay). Almost a repeat last night.

Those were my "pretty sure" bets. Normally just $5 or $10 sprinkled around. Even that takes guts. You don't want to lose them all and need a new deposit. Feels like the walk if shame to the ATM.

You can't make any money betting a lot of -110 bets same amount. The 10% will bleed you down. Win 9 but lose ten.

Mike has right idea. Bet a few big ones each year. Hit 2 of three be happy. But I can't quit fooling around as a hobby! Not yet.

If I had real guts I would pick heavy home NFL favorites and bet $1000 to win $100 as an example. Win ten in a row for $1000. But when one goes sour, $1000 is lost. You can build parlays with 5-8 favorites and get positive odds sometimes. But they all have to hit.

 

[leftwinger]

These experts are trying their best to get you to bet individual players like Naz Ried over under 11.5 pts.

So far I have resisted player bets. I dont know how he's feeling? Is his foot hurting?

They also took away that before game team points betting option on this GS game or forever? They don't say. They owe you nothing.

 

[leftwinger]

Crappy box score first half GS at MINN G1. unsual low first half.

Tonight bet is at 48.5 Q1 '& Q2. Ridiculously low. Looks good jump in over with MINN to win Q1. Lol!

Need GS to join the party! Right now 13-0 MINN 4min in. UGH!

 

[leftwinger]

Game 1. Ugh!

 

[MarathonMike]

Say you felt real good about MINN to win tonight & over 211. Right now+300. If the game starts and GS is blowing them out 23-7 it might change to +800? But you might also want to switch to UNDER. Nothing is easy.

This is not 1975 with a bookie working nights at Albertsons. Not a casino window standing in line.

It is instant on your phone. Yes it takes guts to hit submit bet button. Pretend you bet $100. Do you still like your choice? Gulp.

I bet $17 & $25 on BOS last two nights. Had the under till it went OT...then also lost BOS to win (parlay). Almost a repeat last night.

Those were my "pretty sure" bets. Normally just $5 or $10 sprinkled around. Even that takes guts. You don't want to lose them all and need a new deposit. Feels like the walk if shame to the ATM.

You can't make any money betting a lot of -110 bets same amount. The 10% will bleed you down. Win 9 but lose ten.

Mike has right idea. Bet a few big ones each year. Hit 2 of three be happy. But I can't quit fooling around as a hobby! Not yet.

If I had real guts I would pick heavy home NFL favorites and bet $1000 to win $100 as an example. Win ten in a row for $1000. But when one goes sour, $1000 is lost. You can build parlays with 5-8 favorites and get positive odds sometimes. But they all have to hit.

I don't know you at all, but I've known plenty of compulsive gamblers over the years and you sound like you could have that tendency. It can get a hold of you just like a drug addiction. Just sayin......

 

[leftwinger]

I don't know you at all, but I've known plenty of compulsive gamblers over the years and you sound like you could have that tendency. It can get a hold of you just like a drug addiction. Just sayin......

I'm trying to watch it. Used the same $100 stake since NCAA TMT. Up to $200 down to nearly $10 once. $38 available tonight. Lost $100 on BOS and OKC games. Both were a lock both games with 3 min to go.

I've bet a lot over 2-3 yrs. Total losses are a bit over 10%. I am really trying not to go crazy. Even $10 bets give me the same agony as $100 bets I found out.

I have to have some sort of fun?

 

[leftwinger]

Winner on top loser on bottom. +$8. This is what I've been doing on NBA mostly. I'm not lying. No MLB NHL. So this is it.

Maybe I try 3rd quarter? 51.5 last I looked.

 

[odanny]

I almost never live bet, it's a slippery slope, a great way to throw good money after bad.

However, I thought Ant Man would go off, and he is busting again, will he break his slump in the 4th? So I live bet him to get 20 points, only because I had no bets placed previously on this game. If he gets 20 my $15 gets me back $47 (His total when the game started was O/U 28.5 pts.)

 

[odanny]

Coach called out Ant Man for doing nothing in Game 1, and he has not answered the call.

 

[leftwinger]

I almost never live bet, it's a slippery slope, a great way to throw good money after bad.

However, I thought Ant Man would go off, and he is busting again, will he break his slump in the 4th? So I live bet him to get 20 points, only because I had no bets placed previously on this game. If he gets 20 my $15 gets me back $47 (His total when the game started was O/U 28.5 pts.)

He hurt his ankle but looks ok with 10 pts end of 3rd.
You are right. You can end up chasing losses on Live bets. Hedging, trying to get it back to even, whatever.


I just hit $$7 win $20 3rd quarter. I usually quit on 4th quarters too weird. GS hit the rim at the buzzer off backboard from over half court. Would have beat my bet! No curry still not safe.