- May 20, 2009
- 144,459
- 66,848
- 2,330
What about Gary Johnson ?The Dems will stay will Hil, of course.I am gonna go out on a limb and present another scenario as to what may happen: the Clinton campaign, knowing that it cannot win Utah, through a totally legal whisper campaign, could convince it's loyal Democratic voters to simply go to the polls and decide to vote for Evan McMullin instead. With Gary Johnson still at between 7-8%, if the Clinton (D) voters do this, then Trump will indeed be robbed of those 6 EV. But the effect is wider than you think. In neighboring Idaho, in ID-02, which has a substantial Mormon population, for the first time EVER in polling by CD from that state, I and mean, EVER, Clinton is ahead of Trump in ID-02, narrowly (Emerson poll, landlines only, heavy mathematical conservative bias). Trump is going to easily win Idaho, but not be the customary +36 to +40 for an Elephant, more like +22 to +25, a sure sign of an impending national landslide defeat.
I, as a statistics guy, were I working on her team, would encourage Hillary to do just what I suggest as a possible scenario. And I want to remind: it is totally legal. Hillary could live with only getting 4% of the vote in Utah, she is already way above Obama's statistic in California and may even hit +30 (Obama won with +23 in '12), which will easily translate to about +4 million raw votes in margin. So, losing Utah with the lowet losing % a Democrat ever experienced is not going to hurt her at all: but it WILL hurt Trump.
Democrats in Utah?
Mwhahahaha!
About 27% of them are. And if they swing toward McMullin, then Mwhahahahahah!!!
But many of the mainstream LDS are voting for McMullin.