McCain's bounce already over, Obama regains lead

[Ravi]

That was fast.

Washington Post-ABC News (washingtonpost.com)

 

[editec]

Looks pretty close to me.

Washington Post-ABC News (washingtonpost.com)

3. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) and (John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE - REGISTERED VOTERS Other Neither Would not No Obama McCain (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
9/7/08 47 46 1 1 1 4
8/22/08 49 43 * 3 2 3
7/13/08 50 42 1 3 1 2
6/15/08 49 45 1 3 1 3
5/11/08 51 44 * 2 1 1
4/13/08 49 44 * 3 3 2
3/2/08 53 40 * 2 1 3
2/1/08 47 48 1 1 1 2
1/19/07 47 45 * 3 1 4

 

[Jon]

Mmm....McCain's leading that poll. Do I need to ask you again about your reading abilities?

Also, it seems that the people voting for Obama in that poll are more likely to change their minds.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama

 

[Ravi]

Mmm....McCain's leading that poll. Do I need to ask you again about your reading abilities?

Also, it seems that the people voting for Obama in that poll are more likely to change their minds.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama

doh!

3. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) and (John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE - REGISTERED VOTERS

Obama 47
McCain 46

 

[Skull Pilot]

if a poll is within the margin of error, you cannot say either candidate has the lead. the best you can do is say it is a statistical dead heat.

you all should know that.

and have you noticed that there are polls of registered voters and likely voters. they are not the same thing.

http://iusbvision.wordpress.com/2008/09/07/usa-today-poll-among-likely-voters-mccain-leads-obama-by-10-this-changes-everything/

you can't compare the 2 polls. apples and oranges and all that.

 

[Ravi]

if a poll is within the margin of error, you cannot say either candidate has the lead. the best you can do is say it is a statistical dead heat.

you all should know that.

That's true, but yesterday McSame had a ten point lead.

 

[CrimsonWhite]

That was fast.

Washington Post-ABC News (washingtonpost.com)

You have lost your mind!

RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama

McCain is up 2.9 on Obama over the spread. That is what matters. For those that cannot count, that is 4 points in 2 days. Stick that in your pipe and smoke it.

 

[CrimsonWhite]

That's true, but yesterday McSame had a ten point lead.

In one poll. Not the one you posted, but another. The spread is what matters.

 

[Skull Pilot]

That's true, but yesterday McSame had a ten point lead.

you're comparing a poll of registered voters to a poll of likely voters. again not the same thing.

 

[Jon]

doh!

3. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats) and (John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans), for whom would you vote?
NET LEANED VOTE - REGISTERED VOTERS

Obama 47
McCain 46

Doh!

NET LEANED VOTE - LIKELY VOTERS
Obama -47
McCain - 49

This is what matters, likely voters. People who aren't going to vote are useless in polling data.

Which is why on RCP, they show the same poll in McCain's favor by +2.

 

[Missourian]

That was fast.

Washington Post-ABC News (washingtonpost.com)

LOL USA Today/Gallup STILL McCain + 10.

Real Clear Politics McCain +3.


Nice try tho.

 

[Jon]

That's true, but yesterday McSame had a ten point lead.

Not in the ABC poll. Are you that illiterate?

Also, I want to point out that in the ABC poll, McCain holds leads in white catholics, married women, and, most importantly, independents. These are all swing voters. Last month white women preferred Obama 50 to 42 over McCain, now its 53 to 41 in McCain's favor. Obama was also more likely to bring change (59-27), that number is now 51-39.

He's also overwhelmingly selected as the better commander-in-chief by a margin of nearly 3 to 1. He's also seen as more honest and trustworthy.

 

[Ninja]

Ravi pwned... And pwned... And pwned... AGAIN!

 

[Ravi]

It's fun watching you wingnuts fall all over yourselves.

 

[Jon]

It's fun watching you wingnuts fall all over yourselves.

It's more fun for us watching you make a fool of yourself, which you do on a daily basis, or more.

 

[Ninja]

LOL USA Today/Gallup STILL McCain + 10.

Real Clear Politics McCain +3.


Nice try tho.

That's gonna leave a mark!

 

[Skull Pilot]

It's fun watching you wingnuts fall all over yourselves.

no less fun than watching a moonbat flying in circles

 

[Ninja]

no less fun than watching a moonbat flying in circles

Ravi's in a holding pattern