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Here is an analysis by the nonpartisan Legislative Analyst's Office: The 2023-24 Budget: The California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation
This report was linked in the OP link.
Number of Empty Prison Beds in Operation Projected to Grow to Nearly 20,000 by 2027
As discussed above, the Governor’s proposals would leave about 15,000 empty beds in the near term. As shown in Figure 4, the projected long‑term decline in the prison population suggests that, after the proposed deactivations are completed, the state could have nearly 20,000 empty prison beds—comprising about 20 percent of the state’s total prison capacity. This means that the state could be in a position to deactivate around five additional prisons by 2027, while still remaining roughly 2,500 people below the federal court‑ordered population limit.
Sure, a "projected decline" when you have a state ran by Dimocrats and their platform is to incarcerate fewer people.
This is how it will go. They'll close some prisons, and then down the road while DA's are steadily refusing to lock people up who should be locked up, the state will announce their plans to close prison worked, since they have all these empty beds. The truth of course is that it wasn't criminal behavior that changed, it was simply they were not always locking criminals up.