Hum Dinger
Gold Member
- Aug 19, 2008
- 12,197
- 4,565
- 315
Reality:
Obama just stole most of the Ukraine out from under Putin's nose.
It's very likely that before this is over, Russia will lose it's only warm water sea port.
Along with that Russia will no longer be able to support the Assad regime in Syria.
Russia will not invade the rest of the Ukraine. If they did, NATO will strongly reinforce the eastern most NATO members and re start the cold war. Russia will also have to fight against a NATO backed guerrilla force in the western Ukraine.
If Russia keeps Crimea, they lose the political majority in the Ukraine and soon they will have NATO on their doorstep.
The best that Russia can do is to leave Crimea and hope to retain some political power in the Ukraine, but that's doubtful - once they've been faced down the pro-western Ukrainians will win the majority of elections. Maybe they can divide the Ukraine in two, but that's doubtful.
In short, Obama is kicking Putin's ass.
Obama just stole most of the Ukraine out from under Putin's nose.
It's very likely that before this is over, Russia will lose it's only warm water sea port.
Along with that Russia will no longer be able to support the Assad regime in Syria.
Russia will not invade the rest of the Ukraine. If they did, NATO will strongly reinforce the eastern most NATO members and re start the cold war. Russia will also have to fight against a NATO backed guerrilla force in the western Ukraine.
If Russia keeps Crimea, they lose the political majority in the Ukraine and soon they will have NATO on their doorstep.
The best that Russia can do is to leave Crimea and hope to retain some political power in the Ukraine, but that's doubtful - once they've been faced down the pro-western Ukrainians will win the majority of elections. Maybe they can divide the Ukraine in two, but that's doubtful.
In short, Obama is kicking Putin's ass.
