Information isnt Advocacy
- Aug 5, 2010
- Reaction score
- Peaking out from the redwoods
Why are you so dedicated to minimizing this very serious disease? What's in it for you? You have no loved ones over 60?Iceland reports 802 confirmed cases and 2 deaths. That works out to a death rate of 0.24%.An entire city in Italy and the country of Iceland are testing 100% of their citizens. 50% of those with the virus are asymptomatic. STAY. THE. FUCK. HOME!!!!!That's the point the article is making. We don't know how many people have actually caught the bug. All we know is how many cases the CDC is porting, which is based on tests of people who already show the symptoms. That's a small fraction of the people who actually get the bug.This is what I've been saying all along, and the TDS morons have been trying to ignore. Their claims that the Wuhan flu is more deadly than the Swine flu is based on psuedo-science. It's based on figures that are clearly biased.
Is coronavirus less fatal than early predictions suggested?
Coronavirus is an icky disease that takes a cruel toll on the elderly, the sick, and the unlucky. In this modern era, we can outwit many things that once routinely killed people, but the Grim Reaper is still out there and he’ll eventually get all of us. Scary headlines have hinted that coronavirus is now the Grim Reaper's preferred method.
Media reports have told us that coronavirus is significantly more deadly than the flu, which annually kills 30,000 to 60,000 Americans. Based on the speed with which it killed in China, Italy, Iran, and Spain, it looked as if the American death toll could easily top two million people annually. While that’s small potatoes compared to past pandemics (e.g., the Plague of Justinian, the Black Death, the Spanish Influenza), it’s a staggering toll in modern America. Any actions seemed worthwhile to America from turn into a viral slaughterhouse.
But that might not be what's happening.
At the Wall Street Journal (behind a paywall), Eran Bendavid and Jay Bhattacharya, two medical professors at Stanford, propose that we’re using the wrong math and that we are still missing the numbers we need to do the math correctly. However, by extrapolating from available data, one can argue that coronavirus’s mortality rate is significantly lower than the early estimates.
According to the doctors, “The true fatality rate is the portion of those infected who die, not the deaths from identified positive cases.” When calculating the mortality rate, while we know the numerator (the number who have died), we’re using the wrong denominator. If the denominator is only those sick enough to get the test in the first place, that small number will return a much higher mortality rate.
The real denominator should be the total number of people who catch this contagious virus.
The real statistic that no one has calculated yet is the ratio of ACTUAL Chinese Kung Flu cases to the number of confirmed ones. My guess is that its probably a large number as this CV bug doesn't really create much symptoms in most of the infected people.
You shot down your own post, moron.