So we have come back around to the lack of comprehension of what a model is?
You will pardon me but condesension from an idiot doesn't bother me and is actually sort of pitiful. I not only understand what a model is, but can detect whether a model works or it doesn't. There are, of course, models that work. They work because they are based on hard, empirical evidence and as such, are able to reproduce what happens in the real world. Climate models, are not and don't work for exactly that reason.
These are models;
F=Σ(mi*ai)
yi = a+ b*xi+εi
m*(d^/dx^2)(x(t))=-∇V*x(t)
Profit = (1-tax_rate)((price-unit_cost)*qty-interest)
Yep, and can you now describe the hard, empirical evidence upon which they are based?
Yes I do; and it is based on hard, real world empirical proof that the roads will lead to where I intend to go. The roads I intend to follow do in fact pass by the geographical locations I intend to go and if one. or more is experiencing a blockage due to traffic or maintenance, the alternates are also proven to go where they go based on hard, undeniable, unequivocal, emprical, real world proof that if followed, they will take me where I want to go.
Where is the hard, undeniable, unequivocal, empirical real world proof that a small increase in atmospheric CO2 will cause global climate change?
In the most reudementary, and juvenile sense of the word. If you believe a drawing to be a model, then it is entirely clear why you are unable to grasp that climate models are failures.
Yes, and have you ever followed the results of those models from day to day and week to week? Have you ever actually counted the number of successes vs failures in the projections of those models? Weather is easy compared to climate and yet, weather models fail on a routine basis. The failure rate of weather models causes me to take thier predictions with a grain of salt and never make hard plans based on their predictions more than 24 hours out and even then with the knowledge that they may well be wrong. Therefore, when you make the claim that climate models which are trying to model a far more complex system based on even less actual data, and far more assumption than weather models are accurate, I simply must laugh in your face.
Tell me, if they are all based on finite element analyse and physics models, why is there such a wide variance in their output? If I model a chemical reaction for example, based on real world chemical properties I will get an output that will match what really happens...and if I write 100 models based on that same set of physics, then they will all give me the same output. If the climate models are based on real world physics, why is their output so varied? Real world physics is predictable and repeatable..why then so many answers from so many models if they are based on what happens in the real world?
Actually they are a joke and the very fact that their output is so varied is evidence that the modellers do not have a very good grasp of what is actually happening in the global climate. That being the case, why should model output be taken with anything more than a grain of salt and a knowing smile?
Precisely your problem. You are all over the place and unable to provide the specific proof that a small increase in atmospheric CO2 will result in a temperature increase. You have been asked specifically how much of the fraction of a degree of temperature rise in the past 100 years is due to man's CO2 output and are unable to give an answer and specific examples? You have been asked how much of the claimed global temperature increase is due to factors like the heat island effect and you are unable to give an answer and specific examples. You have been asked why so many alterations have been made to the surface temperature record and you have been unable to give an answer or specific examples.
I am not making the claim that CO2 is the control knob for the global climate and therefore am not required to give any specific examples. I am required to ask specific questions and form my position based on the answers to those questions. Your inability to give specific answers, and back up your point with actual proof suggests that your position is not well grounded in reality and till my questions can be answered specifically, and backed up with actual proof, I must remain skeptical of your position.
My posts are questions that you can not answer....simple as that.
Which is precisely why you are all over the board posting this and that when you could simply provide the proof to support your position if it existed. How many times have you been asked for one bit of hard data to support the claim that x amount of increase in the atmospheric CO2 concentration will result in x temperature increase? Clearly you can't provide that information so you run here and there posting this and that in an obvious attempt to cover the fact that you can't provide the proof that you have been asked for.
I am asking questions that you can not answer and in your frustration at being unable to answer, and your embarassment at being caught out as a fraud, you project your inadequacy on me. Yes, you have an inadequate science education. If you had an adequate education, you would be asking the same questions as I am. You would be asking the very questions that you know your opposition can not answer and wondering why they hold their position when they can't answer those very questions.
And it is possible, by asking questions to know which areas others are NOT expert in. You have provided a great deal of information regarding what you don't know in the questions you have not been able to answer and the gyrations you have engaged in in an attempt to deflect attention from your inabilty to answer those very questions.
That's the rub for deniers. They have no concept of credibility. They have no tools to distinguish between scientists and politicians. They believe that whoever claims what they want to be true, is closest to right.
The rub is that you start talking crediblity when you can't answer the specific questions, and requests for proof that have been put to you. Since you can't answer, your credibility is in question and again, you project your issues onto me.
So why not practice what you preach and admit that you can not answer the specific questions or provide the requested proof?