http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/how-did-everyone-get-2016-wrong-presidential-election-231036
Geoff Garin, a veteran Democratic pollster who worked for the pro-Clinton super PAC Priorities USA, said many surveys had under-sampled non-college-educated whites, a group that Trump appealed to. He also argued there had been on over-emphasis on the belief that the country’s rising demographic diversity would put Clinton over the top.
“There was too great a belief that demographics are destiny, and that demographics would lead to a certain outcome,” he said. “The reality turned out to be much different that."
“The pollsters have lost a lot of credibility and won't be believed on anything soon," said Jonathan Barnett, a Republican National Committeeman from Arkansas who supported Trump. "The way they poll doesn't work anymore."
___________________________________________________________________________
It will take a long time for some of us to believe anything pollsters say. I looked at some of the early numbers that gave Trump the advantage in areas of trust and confidence and I began to see that Hillary's standing was not as strong as the pollsters say.
Geoff Garin, a veteran Democratic pollster who worked for the pro-Clinton super PAC Priorities USA, said many surveys had under-sampled non-college-educated whites, a group that Trump appealed to. He also argued there had been on over-emphasis on the belief that the country’s rising demographic diversity would put Clinton over the top.
“There was too great a belief that demographics are destiny, and that demographics would lead to a certain outcome,” he said. “The reality turned out to be much different that."
“The pollsters have lost a lot of credibility and won't be believed on anything soon," said Jonathan Barnett, a Republican National Committeeman from Arkansas who supported Trump. "The way they poll doesn't work anymore."
___________________________________________________________________________
It will take a long time for some of us to believe anything pollsters say. I looked at some of the early numbers that gave Trump the advantage in areas of trust and confidence and I began to see that Hillary's standing was not as strong as the pollsters say.