Meanwhile, China is pushing its own trade group, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, which includes 16 nations accounting for 39% of global GDP. While that deal isn’t as ambitious in promoting free trade as TPP, it bolsters China’s economic influence.
The irony is that by leaving TPP Mr. Trump is letting China extend its mercantilism, which promotes its “national champions,” more broadly at the expense of the U.S.
The U.S. simply doesn’t have the economic leverage to force Asian nations to make big concessions in bilateral agreements. Perhaps it did in the 1980s, when Mr. Trump’s understanding of world trade seems to have stopped. Then the U.S. was the destination market for the bulk of Asia’s production. Countries have many other destinations for goods and services, and companies are focused on trade within the rapidly growing region. Complex supply chains have made bilateral trade deals less important, and mulilateral rules often trump bilateral trade terms.
Trump’s Pacific Trade Tear