I'm inclined to believe we are more like October 1987 than October 1932. I'm no economist, but I certainly do NOT believe the BP Gulf Oil Spill is equivalent to the Dust Bowl. The DB wasn't a few months long event. It dragged out years and years....and it nearly destroyed this country agriculturally and economically.
The BP event will cetainly take years of recovery time, but the largest part of the damage has been contained in just a few short months, rather than years. Also, the BP event was MAN MADE, *not* a natural disaster like the DB.
Yeah, I'm thinking October 1987, and I am someone who has been severely impacted by both natural disaster (Atlanta floods 2009) and job elimination (man made 2009). So there ya have it....I have every reason to hope, pray and believe that these life-destroying events are over and we're on the way back up, but I don't see it just yet.
I do believe there is much more pain to come, as it hasn't really been spread far and wide just yet. Look at the Washington DC/NOVA area. No pain there to speak of. Yet.
Hell, we don't even have a misery index yet like we did in the Carter years. When THAT happens, I'll start looking for "recovery" around the corner.