Today the auto industry is running fast to compete in electric car development. Such competition is spurred on by the Federal Government's, "rules mandating lower carbon emissions and greater fuel economy". The next POTUS will have an opportunity to keep the pedal to the metal in future development or kill it when the window opens in 2017 to change the standards.
Thus we an assume the election of a Republican will increase the odds by tens that the government will set aside the current rules and set back the R&D by a decade or more.
A second consideration is the motivation of OPEC to reduce the cost of a barrel of oil. Is this an effort to manipulate the politics by allowing a Republican Administration to push for a change, as the cost of gas has been going down, as the number of alternative vehicles has increased.
If so, can we expect the costs of that gallon to rise once the rules are changed?
Food for thought.
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/13/business/automakers-keep-rolling-out-electric-vehicles.html?_r=0
NOBODY is capable of "setting back R&D on electric vehicles".. It is a COMMODITY item now.
The elimination of CAFE standards and legislation requiring or rewarding the production of electric vehicles would most certainly slow their growth. That is precisely what happened when Republicans stopped the CAFE program in years past.
It would slow the growth of the MARKET ACCEPTANCE ---- but not the technology.. You ARE PAYING people to buy a sub-optimal vehicle. When you juice the standards so that the only way you can MEET CAFE is to DITCH fossil ICE vehicles --- you are doing NOTHING to push solutions to the problems of EVs..
Because it's the same technology used in HYBRID vehicles as well. Which are now a permanent feature of the manufacturer's fleet offerings. And HYBRIDS are a much better consumer solution that will result in MUCH higher enviro gains..
Hybrids could continue to be a successful product without further gains. There have been no substantial improvements in hybrid technology on any front since they were first introduced. Hybrids are a better
consumer solution because they are cheaper than full electric, have much longer range and can be refueled in minutes vice hours. They will NOT result in higher environmental gains than full electrics.
Again -- you're not doing the math.. If you have an market ACCEPTED solution (which is a Hybrid design) and you can sell 100 times MORE of those without MASSIVE subsidies and MANDATES -- the environment is gonna be better off. Hybrids are actually cleaner than EVs on most grid generation systems anyways.
You don't MANDATE techno progress.
It's been done successfully on several fronts and not by pretending to be CEO or engineers but by setting goals with incentives. The CAFE program, crash resistance, seat belts, crash-resistant bumpers, safety glass, safer interiors, catalytic convertors: all the results of industrial development in the face of government mandates.
Mandates HAVE NO incentives. Other than to avoid PUNISHMENT and permission to stay in business. I'm constantly amazed at what you don't seem to know. OR what you know -- and discount in order to make an argument,. MOST of the stuff you listed as MANDATES was stuff ALREADY in PRODUCTION at one or more auto companies before the "mandate".. Did not require massive LEAPS in technology. With fingers crossed and fairy dust and unicorns at the ready... It DID determine winners and losers in the marketplace tho -- as patents and intellectual property had to be acquired and traded to meet these mandates.
You got the Prez of Chrysler-Fiat publicly stating "" PLEASE don't buy our EVehicles. We lose a ton of money on each one. And they are only there to make the politicians happy""..
He was talking about Fiat 500e, which cannot be sold for what it costs to manufacture them BECAUSE PEOPLE WON'T PAY THAT MUCH FOR A FIAT 500. But Tesla is able to make a profit selling a far superior vehicle. Even the gasoline powered Fiat 500 is generally regarded as a piece of shit by most reviewers. I suspect that might be the core problem.
Tesla ain't making a profit yet. And they are selling trophy cars to Millionaires who have the extra garage space. MANDATES for companies like Chrysler/Fiat who make cars for "regular one/two car people" are just gonna produce crap. Superior is great if you can afford 3 cars.
That's a very true assessment of what happens when politicians PRETEND to be scientists, engineers, entrepreneurs.
Like Inhofe with AGW?
And the spectacle of pushing of things like ethanol mandates even further after witnessing the awful side effects.
What awful side effects?
You are totally dense... Go ask Al Gore....
By pushing MANDATES -- you get SUB-OPTIMAL solutions, that just waste money, manufacturing efficiency and consumer money. .Like those god awful Compact fluorescents that should have WAITED for LEDs.
With that excuse you can put anything off forever.
No --- not at all. You just don't understand what the process is for techno innovation. Like that Roman Emperor that MANDATES that the galley ships go faster by NEXT YEAR --- MANDATES will divert investment from BETTER SOLUTIONS --- into patchwork compromises to please authority....
And folks are damn tired of being told that they have to freeze and swelter with poorly energy conservation measures. That THEY are supposed to pull 1W chargers out of the wall to conserve -- so that their neighbor can pull down 1,400 Watts overnight to charge their "earth-saving" EV..
I don't know what you were actually trying to say with "poorly energy conservation measures", but folks raising their thermostats in the summer and lowering them in the winter saves significant and meaningful amounts of energy AND LOWERS THEIR BILLS. There is no legislation pushing that behavior. If you want to keep your thermostat at 68 all Summer and 78 all Winter, feel free, but you'll get to pay the price.
Again you are totally dense.. You cannot BUY a heat pump that works when it's less than 40degs outside anymore and is still efficient. The MANDATES have removed all alternate choices from the market. You have to be deaf and dumb to miss all the legislation and REGULATION behind what you THINK is voluntary. Energy star regulation has produced shitty products that barely work. Washing machines that require 2 cycles to get clothes clean. Toilets that have to be flushed TWICE to do their job.. There is a massive NEGAWATT campaign to make energy RARE and EXPENSIVE rather than a plan to make electricity CHEAP and PLENTIFUL. And the ludicrous idea that you are gonna add 20 or 30% grid generation to charge your "coal-fired plug-ins" is a sad commentary on MANDATES in general..
Sorry, but there is no jig and nothing is up.
And unless there's a commitment to make electricity PLENTIFUL and CHEAP instead of RARE and EXPENSIVE -- that MANDATING a move of 1/3 of the USA energy use in transportation from fossil to electricity is fairy tales and unicorns because there ARE NO ALTERNATIVES to RELIABLE generation on the electric grid. It's NOT wind or solar that is gonna supply the INCREASED capacity for your wet EV dreamworld.
Ask Mr Locke. How do you bring the price of a commodity down? Reduce demand and increase supply.
Sure thing BullWinkle --- and how does my pulling 1W chargers out of the wall allow my neighbor to tap out 1400W over night to feed his 80 mile range plug-in?? Does that REDUCE DEMAND or INCREASE SUPPLY?
And by MANDATING EV sales NOW -- the govt is gonna be actually RETARDING other technologies that COULD be far more efficient and environmentally friendly. Like Fuel Cell run on hydrogen. In fact, the Korean car companies (and many Japanese car makers) are LEAP-FROGGING the development away from silly battery-charged EVs to Fuel Cell vehicles as we speak. .
I hate to break this one on you, but fuel cell-powered cars ARE EVs. The following link is a listing of all the federal and state incentive programs that would apply to fuel cell cars TODAY
If the required dates on the mandates can not be met for superior Fuel Cell solutions --- that technology and the companies that pursue them with excellent engineering in mind will suffer. Because the EMPEROR who fancy's himself a technowizard will KILL long term development of superior ideas with arbitrary deadlines that bear NO relationship to the actual state of technology. . Like I said --- don't allow political hacks to design your world,....
http://www.afdc.energy.gov/laws/search?loc[]=AL&loc[]=AK&loc[]=AZ&loc[]=AR&loc[]=CA&loc[]=CO&loc[]=CT&loc[]=DE&loc[]=DC&loc[]=FL&loc[]=GA&loc[]=HI&loc[]=ID&loc[]=IL&loc[]=IN&loc[]=IA&loc[]=KS&loc[]=KY&loc[]=LA&loc[]=ME&loc[]=MD&loc[]=MA&loc[]=MI&loc[]=MN&loc[]=MS&loc[]=MO&loc[]=MT&loc[]=NE&loc[]=NV&loc[]=NH&loc[]=NJ&loc[]=NM&loc[]=NY&loc[]=NC&loc[]=ND&loc[]=OH&loc[]=OK&loc[]=OR&loc[]=PA&loc[]=RI&loc[]=SC&loc[]=SD&loc[]=TN&loc[]=TX&loc[]=UT&loc[]=VT&loc[]=VA&loc[]=WA&loc[]=WV&loc[]=WI&loc[]=WY&loc[]=US&tech[]=HY
Don't let politicians design your world,. They are ALWAYS decades behind and hopeless clueless about picking winning and losing technologies.. .
The cars we drive today have better fuel economy and are dramatically safer - due almost ENTIRELY to government mandates. In the not too distant future, we will see automobile accident fatalities fall to near zero due to autonomous vehicles, inter-vehicle communication and other technologies driven by government mandates.Your contentions fail.