Yet more 2010 bellwether news coming from both Virginia and the Mountain West states region...
"Western Democrats have enjoyed stunning successes over the last three elections."
Now, however, amid a fierce conservative backlash against President Obama's agenda, Democrats face an escalating challenge to defend those advances in 2010. All signs show the momentum shifting toward Republicans in a region that has traditionally resisted the sort of assertive federal initiatives that Obama has offered on issues from the economic stimulus to health care. "Here in the West, there is a really strong concern about overly intrusive government policies," said Nicole McCleskey, a New Mexico-based Republican pollster. "I think there's a sense that maybe we overcorrected a little in the last election, we maybe went too far to that [Democratic] side, and now we are seeing the bounce-back."
The most immediate threat for Democrats, though, may be less economic than ideological. Mountain state Democrats benefited earlier in this decade from linking activist government to such kitchen-table concerns as schools and traffic, but Obama's agenda on everything from health care to climate change has ignited more ideologically charged debates about Washington's role and reach. And that has revived a grassroots anti-Washington constituency that was largely dormant during the Democratic advance.
It's not clear that Democrats can hold the region's swing voters and avoid an uprising from conservatives while attempting to implement their party's national priorities. Democrats, after all, also lost ground across these states during Clinton's presidency, and their gains since 2002 came as they were resisting Bush's ideas -- not spotlighting their own.
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And in Virginia...
Virginia has been kind to Democrats as of late. Eight years ago, Democrat Mark Warner captured the governors mansion. Four years later, his lieutenant governor, Tim Kaine, succeeded him. In 2006, Jim Webb took one of the states U.S. Senate seats away from the GOP. Last year, Mr. Warner took the other as Barack Obama became the first presidential candidate of his party to carry the state in 44 years.
But now the Democratic tide is ebbing in Virginia. In January Mr. Obama's approval rating was 62%, according to a Survey USA. By August it had fallen to 42%. This has important political implications both in Virginia and nationally.
In six weeks, Virginia will elect a governor, and Republican Bob McDonnell, a former state attorney general, leads Democrat R. Creigh Deeds, a state senator with a moderate-to-liberal record, in every poll by a small margin. A recent poll by the nonpartisan Clarus Research Group gives him a five-point lead.
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National Journal Magazine - Dems Lose Footing In The Mountain West
Fred Barnes: Virginia Moves Back to the Right - WSJ.com
"Western Democrats have enjoyed stunning successes over the last three elections."
Now, however, amid a fierce conservative backlash against President Obama's agenda, Democrats face an escalating challenge to defend those advances in 2010. All signs show the momentum shifting toward Republicans in a region that has traditionally resisted the sort of assertive federal initiatives that Obama has offered on issues from the economic stimulus to health care. "Here in the West, there is a really strong concern about overly intrusive government policies," said Nicole McCleskey, a New Mexico-based Republican pollster. "I think there's a sense that maybe we overcorrected a little in the last election, we maybe went too far to that [Democratic] side, and now we are seeing the bounce-back."
The most immediate threat for Democrats, though, may be less economic than ideological. Mountain state Democrats benefited earlier in this decade from linking activist government to such kitchen-table concerns as schools and traffic, but Obama's agenda on everything from health care to climate change has ignited more ideologically charged debates about Washington's role and reach. And that has revived a grassroots anti-Washington constituency that was largely dormant during the Democratic advance.
It's not clear that Democrats can hold the region's swing voters and avoid an uprising from conservatives while attempting to implement their party's national priorities. Democrats, after all, also lost ground across these states during Clinton's presidency, and their gains since 2002 came as they were resisting Bush's ideas -- not spotlighting their own.
_____
And in Virginia...
Virginia has been kind to Democrats as of late. Eight years ago, Democrat Mark Warner captured the governors mansion. Four years later, his lieutenant governor, Tim Kaine, succeeded him. In 2006, Jim Webb took one of the states U.S. Senate seats away from the GOP. Last year, Mr. Warner took the other as Barack Obama became the first presidential candidate of his party to carry the state in 44 years.
But now the Democratic tide is ebbing in Virginia. In January Mr. Obama's approval rating was 62%, according to a Survey USA. By August it had fallen to 42%. This has important political implications both in Virginia and nationally.
In six weeks, Virginia will elect a governor, and Republican Bob McDonnell, a former state attorney general, leads Democrat R. Creigh Deeds, a state senator with a moderate-to-liberal record, in every poll by a small margin. A recent poll by the nonpartisan Clarus Research Group gives him a five-point lead.
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National Journal Magazine - Dems Lose Footing In The Mountain West
Fred Barnes: Virginia Moves Back to the Right - WSJ.com