Here's what I m seeing. Trump's handling of the virus crisis has been quick and decisive. His political-outsider status has positioned him well to tackle the plague head on. He is leading the world in how to stop the pathogen in its tracks. It isn't just the US that is watching Trump, it is the world and he has taken charge in a way that make his detractors look like deranged, salivating schizophrenics on street corners.
As always, Trump has accepted the challenge at hand by pulling the sword from the stone. No one else could have done this. Lesser leadership would have already retreated into excuses and failed outright. There are no world-renowned health experts leaking criticisms of Trump but instead they are supportive of his policies.
2020 belongs to Trump.
You could have put a hamster in Trump's place and it would have done a better job than he did in responding to the virus. I'm hard pressed to come up with more ways that he and his administration could have fucked the response up any more than they did. But he has his loyal apologists. I gotta hand it to you Trump supporters. You make the People's Temple followers and the Branch Davidians look sane by comparison.
His overall job approval numbers haven't moved very much in the last couple of months. The Real Clear Politics spread is about 52% disapproval to 44% approval. But here's the section you have to pay attention to. Wisconsin, statistical tie where just three months ago he was up by 3 percentage points. Underwater in Pennsylvania and Michigan (which doesn't appear on the chart because right now it's out of the margin of error). Florida and perhaps even Texas within reach.
Sorry, his re-election is not even remotely assured. And I'd wait until after the shit settles over the next couple of months when the American people start looking to apportion blame for the clusterfuck that ended up shutting down the nation. I wonder who they're going to look at first to blame? I'll give you three guesses, and the first two are wrong.