All polls are designed to influence public opinion, not to report on it.
Pay me to do a poll, tell me what result you want and I will find a "random sample" to support that result.
Its a game, people. wake up.
Sure, to some extend polls can influence an election. Hell, that appears to be Trump's only strategy.
However, some polls are more accurate than others and Rasmussen is on the low, low end of accuracy when it comes to presidential polling. As I mentioned before, the polls in 2012 were pretty accurate but for many wingnuts they had to create an entire conspiracy that Romney was actually in the lead and they began misreading/weighing valid poll results to help them sleep at night.
I for one don't put much stock in any general election polling, with that being said, I'd completely discount Rasmussen until he creates a more positive track record when it comes to presidential elections.
You are missing the point. There is no way that a sample of 1000 out of a population of 330,000,000 can ever have any statistical validity.
I fully understand how the pollsters claim to proportionally represent all demographics in their 1000 sample, but its mathematical bullshit.
Believe them or don't believe them, just recognize that their purpose is to influence the voters, not to report on how they are thinking.
I'm gonna take a wild stab here and guess that you've never actually studied statistics.....
Would that be right?
That would be very wrong. I am quite sure that I understand the math of statistics much better than you do.
Go to your local library and check out a stat 101 textbook and look up representative sampling.
The pollsters are scamming you with their bullshit that their tiny samples proportionally represent every demographic in the USA.
Sure, to some extend polls can influence an election. Hell, that appears to be Trump's only strategy.
However, some polls are more accurate than others and Rasmussen is on the low, low end of accuracy when it comes to presidential polling. As I mentioned before, the polls in 2012 were pretty accurate but for many wingnuts they had to create an entire conspiracy that Romney was actually in the lead and they began misreading/weighing valid poll results to help them sleep at night.
I for one don't put much stock in any general election polling, with that being said, I'd completely discount Rasmussen until he creates a more positive track record when it comes to presidential elections.
You are missing the point. There is no way that a sample of 1000 out of a population of 330,000,000 can ever have any statistical validity.
I fully understand how the pollsters claim to proportionally represent all demographics in their 1000 sample, but its mathematical bullshit.
Believe them or don't believe them, just recognize that their purpose is to influence the voters, not to report on how they are thinking.
I'm gonna take a wild stab here and guess that you've never actually studied statistics.....
Would that be right?
It will always depend on what 1000 you pick. The pollsters could easily skew any stat by picking a sample that either reflects their own bias or satisfies an agenda.
Real pollsters will provide explanations for their methodologies......Random sampling means exactly that......
Sure, to some extend polls can influence an election. Hell, that appears to be Trump's only strategy.
However, some polls are more accurate than others and Rasmussen is on the low, low end of accuracy when it comes to presidential polling. As I mentioned before, the polls in 2012 were pretty accurate but for many wingnuts they had to create an entire conspiracy that Romney was actually in the lead and they began misreading/weighing valid poll results to help them sleep at night.
I for one don't put much stock in any general election polling, with that being said, I'd completely discount Rasmussen until he creates a more positive track record when it comes to presidential elections.
You are missing the point. There is no way that a sample of 1000 out of a population of 330,000,000 can ever have any statistical validity.
I fully understand how the pollsters claim to proportionally represent all demographics in their 1000 sample, but its mathematical bullshit.
Believe them or don't believe them, just recognize that their purpose is to influence the voters, not to report on how they are thinking.
I'm gonna take a wild stab here and guess that you've never actually studied statistics.....
Would that be right?
It will always depend on what 1000 you pick. The pollsters could easily skew any stat by picking a sample that either reflects their own bias or satisfies an agenda.
Real pollsters will provide explanations for their methodologies......Random sampling means exactly that......
The pollsters claim that their 1000 sample proportionally represents every demographic in America (330,000,000 people). That is simply not possible. There are many more than 1000 different demographics in the USA, so even using one from each demographic would not be statistically meaningful.
Its a game, play it if you like, but you would be better off at the roulette wheel.