How Much Did Comey Hurt Clinton’s Chances?
So will the latest Comey letter help Clinton? That’s also hard to say, and any change will really come too late to be picked up upon by most polls. It’s also plausible that the headlines themselves aren’t particularly helpful to Clinton, even if the news itself is. The Washington Post’s current web headline, for instance, is “FBI Director Comey says agency won’t recommend charges over Clinton email,” which reminds readers that Clinton was being investigated by the FBI for her email practices. Still, betting markets show Clinton’s probability of winning the election improving by about 3 percentage points on the news.
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I take it from Nate that Hillary will now win.
So will the latest Comey letter help Clinton? That’s also hard to say, and any change will really come too late to be picked up upon by most polls. It’s also plausible that the headlines themselves aren’t particularly helpful to Clinton, even if the news itself is. The Washington Post’s current web headline, for instance, is “FBI Director Comey says agency won’t recommend charges over Clinton email,” which reminds readers that Clinton was being investigated by the FBI for her email practices. Still, betting markets show Clinton’s probability of winning the election improving by about 3 percentage points on the news.
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I take it from Nate that Hillary will now win.