CNN Poll- all tied up, 49%-49% - Dem sample at +11

[Trajan]

+11

Seems kind of high to me, crack pipe high.

The sample they used is higher than the breakdown was in 2008's election, what the heck are they thinking?

sample used now-

D/R/I= 41/30/29

2008 turn out ?

D/R/I was 39/32/29

heres their data, page 29;


http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/11/04/top16.pdf

CNN Poll: 49 percent for both Obama and Romney - UPI.com


Romney, according to the poll too, has a 22 point lead among Independents....and that translates into a tie?


IF Romney wins, I suspect that some of the blow back will fall upon the multitude of media polls especially and late comer orgs who used improperly balanced sampling.

The media gladly, to keep the Hindenburg Obama election effort in the air, IMHO, ( and as part of the very same orgs providing the polls as well) carried that water willingly, tainted by delusion.

 

[decker]

+11

Seems kind of high to me, crack pipe high.

The sample they used is higher than the breakdown was in 2008's election, what the heck are they thinking?

sample used now-

D/R/I= 41/30/29

2008 turn out ?

D/R/I was 39/32/29

heres their data, page 29;


http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/11/04/top16.pdf

CNN Poll: 49 percent for both Obama and Romney - UPI.com


Romney, according to the poll too, has a 22 point lead among Independents....and that translates into a tie?


IF Romney wins, I suspect that some of the blow back will fall upon the multitude of media polls especially and late comer orgs who used improperly balanced sampling.

The media gladly, to keep the Hindenburg Obama election effort in the air, IMHO, ( and as part of the very same orgs providing the polls as well) carried that willingly water tainted by delusion.

that is a worry that with such a big dem sample the dems still don,t lead in that poll

must give romney people lots of confidence

 

[skookerasbil]

C'mon.....there is far more excitement for Obama this time around!!!

 

[decker]

C'mon.....there is far more excitement for Obama this time around!!!

doubt it. he need good turnout on tuesday to have a chance

 

[Charles_Main]

+11

Seems kind of high to me, crack pipe high.

The sample they used is higher than the breakdown was in 2008's election, what the heck are they thinking?

sample used now-

D/R/I= 41/30/29

2008 turn out ?

D/R/I was 39/32/29

heres their data, page 29;


http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/11/04/top16.pdf

CNN Poll: 49 percent for both Obama and Romney - UPI.com


Romney, according to the poll too, has a 22 point lead among Independents....and that translates into a tie?


IF Romney wins, I suspect that some of the blow back will fall upon the multitude of media polls especially and late comer orgs who used improperly balanced sampling.

The media gladly, to keep the Hindenburg Obama election effort in the air, IMHO, ( and as part of the very same orgs providing the polls as well) carried that willingly water tainted by delusion.

If turn out is anywhere near the plus 3% for Republicans that Rass and Gallup are predicting. Obama is not only going to lose, he is going to lose big.

 

[OohPooPahDoo]

+11

My father in law is a registered Democrat but he has voted Republican for the past 30 years.


Party registration is often just not relevant.

 

[decker]

+11

Seems kind of high to me, crack pipe high.

The sample they used is higher than the breakdown was in 2008's election, what the heck are they thinking?

sample used now-

D/R/I= 41/30/29

2008 turn out ?

D/R/I was 39/32/29

heres their data, page 29;


http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/11/04/top16.pdf

CNN Poll: 49 percent for both Obama and Romney - UPI.com


Romney, according to the poll too, has a 22 point lead among Independents....and that translates into a tie?


IF Romney wins, I suspect that some of the blow back will fall upon the multitude of media polls especially and late comer orgs who used improperly balanced sampling.

The media gladly, to keep the Hindenburg Obama election effort in the air, IMHO, ( and as part of the very same orgs providing the polls as well) carried that willingly water tainted by delusion.

If turn out is anywhere near the plus 3% for Republicans that Rass and Gallup are predicting. Obama is not only going to lose, he is going to lose big.

fair point. if romney win pa or mi he win by a landslide

 

[Charles_Main]

+11

My father in law is a registered Democrat but he has voted Republican for the past 30 years.


Party registration is often just not relevant.

Keep telling yourself that.

By the way, If you dad has been registering as a Dem, But voting republican for 30 years. He is an idiot.

 

[Rat in the Hat]

C'mon.....there is far more excitement for Obama this time around!!!

You're right.

Obama favored in his ancestral Kenyan village