Climate Sensitivity per the IPCC

[EMH]

Crick is good at putting up failed modeling charts and calling them fact even when they are outed as having 10 times more warming than the empirically observed evidence shows. Circks Fantasy world along with the UN and the IPCC.. all a power and control grab with no basis in science.

Crick insists FUDGE is DATA. If he doesn't he would lose his taxpayer funded "job" cut and pasting fudge and fraud online...

 

[Billy_Bob]

This topic comes up now and then and I thought it might be handy to have some reference material. This first post is the glossary entries under "Climate Sensitivity"

Climate sensitivity The change in the surface temperature
in response to a change in the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2)
concentration or other radiative forcing. See also Climate feedback
parameter.
Earth system sensitivity
The equilibrium surface temperature response of the coupled
atmosphere–ocean–cryosphere–vegetation–carbon cycle system to
a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration
is referred to as Earth system sensitivity. Because it allows ice sheets
to adjust to the external perturbation, it may differ substantially from
the equilibrium climate sensitivity derived from coupled atmosphere–
ocean models.
Effective equilibrium climate sensitivity
An estimate of the surface temperature response to a doubling of
the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration that is evaluated
from model output or observations for evolving non-equilibrium
conditions. It is a measure of the strengths of the climate feedbacks at
a particular time and may vary with forcing history and climate state,
and therefore may differ from equilibrium climate sensitivity.
Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS)
The equilibrium (steady state) change in the surface temperature
following a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2)
concentration from pre-industrial conditions.
Transient climate response (TCR)
The surface temperature response for the hypothetical scenario
in which atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) increases at 1% yr–1
from pre-industrial to the time of a doubling of atmospheric CO2
concentration (year 70).
Transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions (TCRE)
The transient surface temperature change per unit cumulative carbon
dioxide (CO2) emissions, usually 1000 GtC. TCRE combines both
information on the airborne fraction of cumulative CO2 emissions
(the fraction of the total CO2 emitted that remains in the atmosphere,
which is determined by carbon cycle processes) and on the transient
climate response (TCR).

"The Earth’s Energy Budget, Climate Feedbacks and Climate Sensitivity", Chapter 7 of "The Physical Science Basis" in the IPCC's Assessment Report 6 is the place to cover this topic. If you don't already have one, you can download a copy of the entire document at:

AR6 Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis — IPCC

Chapter 7 begins on page 923. Climate Feedbacks are discussed in section 7.4, beginning on page 967. Estimate of ECS and TCR are discussed in section 7.5, beginning on page 992

DO you even have a clue what these people are saying? You really do not. If we take all of the active parts of the atmosphere and remove their actions, then take the rest and credit it to CO2 it is less than 0.024 Deg C when we were expecting a 2.1 deg C rise from CO2 alone. They blew up their own premise in the document and when you do the math it exposes the lies your touting. Their own document does not support their suppositions.

 

[Billy_Bob]

IPCC is an independent bunch of non specialists set up to confuse and bamboozle stupid Sheeple .
And they do . Just read this thread .

IF you can baffle them with Brilliance, baffle them with bull shit.. and that is what the IPCC document is... Bull Shit.

 

[jc456]

IF you can baffle them with Brilliance, baffle them with bull shit.. and that is what the IPCC document is... Bull Shit.

I’m still waiting for one scientist who is in the IPCC

 

[Billy_Bob]

I’m still waiting for one scientist who is in the IPCC

The paper is convoluted on purpose. IT is meant to give no clear direction or proof of their claims. It is purely a political document. It is meant to give cover to their control of the populace game and the destruction of western values.

 

[EMH]

I’m still waiting for one scientist who is in the IPCC

No actual scientists, but many who are very good at making....

 

[EMH]

The paper is convoluted on purpose. IT is meant to give no clear direction or proof of their claims. It is purely a political document. It is meant to give cover to their control of the populace game and the destruction of western values.

That's all they ever need. Nobody questions it in the media or in politics.

Heck, nobody will even ask the question as to how Co2 melted NA and froze Greenland at the same time...

 

[ReinyDays]

Oh, do tell us. How does S-B work into this?

This should be hilarious.

This is how we model climate ... starting with Planck's Radiation Law from which SB is derived ... the Earth RE-RADIATES all the energy she receives from the Sun, this energy follows the Laws of Thermodynamics ... which means surface temperature is proportional to the fourth root of solar irradiation ... as close to an ideal greybody radiator as to make no difference ...

Climatology 301 ... where ya been? ...

 

[EMH]

This is how we model climate ... starting with Planck's Radiation Law from which SB is derived ... the Earth RE-RADIATES all the energy she receives from the Sun, this energy follows the Laws of Thermodynamics ... which means surface temperature is proportional to the fourth root of solar irradiation ... as close to an ideal greybody radiator as to make no difference ...

Climatology 301 ... where ya been? ...

This is the data


Highly correlated satellite and balloon data shows NO WARMING in the atmosphere despite rising Co2

During the past million years, Greenland froze while North America thawed


Theory that Co2 influences Earth Climate Change = REJECTED

 

[ReinyDays]

This is the data


Highly correlated satellite and balloon data shows NO WARMING in the atmosphere despite rising Co2

During the past million years, Greenland froze while North America thawed


Theory that Co2 influences Earth Climate Change = REJECTED

Do you have a scientific citation that confirms there's no warming ... radiosonde data is usually considered to thin to make broad global conclusions ... and NONE of what you've posted here has anything to do with SB ...

Your stated logic is wrong, though your conclusions are correct ... it IS an obvious fantasy that climate is changing, but there are better reasons to conserve energy ... protect your own wallet, no one else will ...

 

[jc456]

Do you have a scientific citation that confirms there's no warming ... radiosonde data is usually considered to thin to make broad global conclusions ... and NONE of what you've posted here has anything to do with SB ...

Your stated logic is wrong, though your conclusions are correct ... it IS an obvious fantasy that climate is changing, but there are better reasons to conserve energy ... protect your own wallet, no one else will ...

where would one find this data?

 

[ActionJackson]

This topic comes up now and then and I thought it might be handy to have some reference material. This first post is the glossary entries under "Climate Sensitivity"

Climate sensitivity The change in the surface temperature
in response to a change in the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2)
concentration or other radiative forcing. See also Climate feedback
parameter.
Earth system sensitivity
The equilibrium surface temperature response of the coupled
atmosphere–ocean–cryosphere–vegetation–carbon cycle system to
a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration
is referred to as Earth system sensitivity. Because it allows ice sheets
to adjust to the external perturbation, it may differ substantially from
the equilibrium climate sensitivity derived from coupled atmosphere–
ocean models.
Effective equilibrium climate sensitivity
An estimate of the surface temperature response to a doubling of
the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration that is evaluated
from model output or observations for evolving non-equilibrium
conditions. It is a measure of the strengths of the climate feedbacks at
a particular time and may vary with forcing history and climate state,
and therefore may differ from equilibrium climate sensitivity.
Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS)
The equilibrium (steady state) change in the surface temperature
following a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2)
concentration from pre-industrial conditions.
Transient climate response (TCR)
The surface temperature response for the hypothetical scenario
in which atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) increases at 1% yr–1
from pre-industrial to the time of a doubling of atmospheric CO2
concentration (year 70).
Transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions (TCRE)
The transient surface temperature change per unit cumulative carbon
dioxide (CO2) emissions, usually 1000 GtC. TCRE combines both
information on the airborne fraction of cumulative CO2 emissions
(the fraction of the total CO2 emitted that remains in the atmosphere,
which is determined by carbon cycle processes) and on the transient
climate response (TCR).

"The Earth’s Energy Budget, Climate Feedbacks and Climate Sensitivity", Chapter 7 of "The Physical Science Basis" in the IPCC's Assessment Report 6 is the place to cover this topic. If you don't already have one, you can download a copy of the entire document at:

AR6 Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis — IPCC

Chapter 7 begins on page 923. Climate Feedbacks are discussed in section 7.4, beginning on page 967. Estimate of ECS and TCR are discussed in section 7.5, beginning on page 992

Summer is approaching to the surface of southern Utah is getting hotter. Come next October ... the surface will begin to cool. Been happening that way since the earth came into existence.

 

[jc456]

Summer is approaching to the surface of southern Utah is getting hotter. Come next October ... the surface will begin to cool. Been happening that way since the earth came into existence.

These dummasses don't know the earth actually tips while it rotates. I think they still think it's flat and the entire planet is the same temperature. They repeat it frequently about global temperature. Looking at the makeup of the planet, one could never conclude one temperature.

 

[Orangecat]

Crick of Shot goes down in flames again.

 

[ActionJackson]

These dummasses don't know the earth actually tips while it rotates. I think they still think it's flat and the entire planet is the same temperature. They repeat it frequently about global temperature. Looking at the makeup of the planet, one could never conclude one temperature.

True ... but their lies are lucrative! Create fear followed by raise taxes followed by a new mansion at Martha's Vineyard.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

This is how we model climate ... starting with Planck's Radiation Law from which SB is derived ... the Earth RE-RADIATES all the energy she receives from the Sun, this energy follows the Laws of Thermodynamics ... which means surface temperature is proportional to the fourth root of solar irradiation ... as close to an ideal greybody radiator as to make no difference ...

Climatology 301 ... where ya been? ...

Hmmmm, doesn't Jupiter emit TWICE the energy it receives from the Sun?

 

[jc456]

Hmmmm, doesn't Jupiter emit TWICE the energy it receives from the Sun?

UCSB Science Line

 

[luiza]

DATA is DATA.

Painting up another fudge chart does not change THE DATA...

Wish that were true .
To increase notional warming for example they simply biased readings to towns and cities , abandoning outside of urban data collection points .

 

[luiza]

Hmmmm, doesn't Jupiter emit TWICE the energy it receives from the Sun?

Our Jovian friends have never disguised their own needs. And they can be criminally wasteful .

 

[EMH]

Do you have a scientific citation that confirms there's no warming ... radiosonde data is usually considered to thin to make broad global conclusions ... and NONE of what you've posted here has anything to do with SB ...

Your stated logic is wrong, though your conclusions are correct ... it IS an obvious fantasy that climate is changing, but there are better reasons to conserve energy ... protect your own wallet, no one else will ...

There is DATA and there is FUDGE.

You apparently do not understand the difference...

Key claim against global warming evaporates

Satellite and weather balloon data used to argue that climate models were wrong and that global warming isn't really happening turns out to be based on faulty analyses, according to three new studies.

www.nbcnews.com

satellite and weather balloon data have actually suggested the opposite, that the atmosphere was cooling.

Scientists were left with two choices: either the atmosphere wasn't warming up, or something was wrong with the data.




LOL!!!

Satellite and balloon data was highly correlated as it should be. There was no reason to question it. There was a HUGE motive TO FUDGE IT.


Option 1 = admit Co2 does nothing, lose job, file for unemployment

Option 2 = fudge data, lie, and keep bilking the taxpayer