Well, nothing you have presented is evidence of anything. Why should anyone else have to live up to a standard higher than the one you apply to yourself?
There is a funny story about two economics students. One announced his intent to switch majors to physics. His friend replies, “When you do, the average IQ for the physics department will go up and the average for the economics department will go down.” There is no “law of averages” that requires the average to be higher.
I've already provided my response to the presented article.
It is true that people whom would not have otherwise buy medical insurance will be paying more in terms of medical insurance. Not buying insurance doesn't have a direct insurance cost associated with it.
It is true that people that would not have purchased medical insurance and are lucky enough to not need substantial medical care will end up paying more than they might otherwise have, during the period of time for which they would not have otherwise purchased insurance.
Not purchasing health insurance and not getting sick or being in a sever accident doesn't have either insurance or medical costs associated with it.
The article sited doesn't definitively predict health care premiums. It does provide some insight into some of the effects that will affect health care premiums.
So, What evidence do you think can possibly be provided that will definitively predict prices in the future?
The community rating mandate does that. It perfectly predicts what will happen to the price of premiums. Again it's simply math. It's a mandate that requires insurance companies to avg. premiums across a given risk pool. Therefore some permiums MUST go up. That this regulation exists is your evidence that premiums are and must go up.
Oh billshit. You complain when others make statements without evidence, then you make a sweeping claim based on nothing except some unstated assumptions. Your math is simple, for sure. Unfortunately, it doesn't represent reality.
My question was, "what evidence do you think can possibly be provided that will definitively predict prices in the future?"
And your response makes it clear that evidence doesn't mean anything to you. You continue on this oversimplistic and inappropriately applied average.