British Scientist Whose Doomsday COVID-19 Model Panicked Governments Repudiates His Model

[AzogtheDefiler]

This is rather stunning: Dr. Neil Ferguson, the British scientist whose scary COVID-19 model caused many governments to take drastic measures, has now repudiated his model. Ferguson predicted that 2.2 million Americans and 500,000 Brits would die from the virus if drastic measures were not taken. But now Ferguson is saying that British deaths will be no more than 20,000, which is 96% lower than his original prediction.

As of this morning, depending on which source you use, England has had between 463 and 578 COVID-19 deaths. To get to 20,000 deaths, England would have to see a dramatic spike in the death rate over the next 8 months. But, if Dr. Ferguson's revised prediction of 20,000 deaths (instead of 500,000 deaths) in England proves accurate, 20,000 deaths would be only 0.031% of England's population (66 million), or far below 1% of the population.

The Scientist Whose Doomsday Pandemic Model Predicted Armageddon Just Walked Back The Apocalyptic Predictions

After the U.S. and U.K. governments effectively shut down their citizens and economies, scientist Neil Ferguson is walking back his doomsday forecasts.

thefederalist.com

Ooops

 

[WEATHER53]

These worst casers presented as fact are the root of this overreaction
We’ve got the liberal ghouls talking about piles of bodies on every corner. That has not happened, is not happening, and very likely will not happen-Much to their disappointment

 

[Mac-7]

I dont know what the professor was basing his calculations on.

Exactly.

You don't.

Nor do you care. That's the problem

If we arent told then no one knows

but the realty is much less horrible than his dire predictions

 

[WEATHER53]

I dont know what the professor was basing his calculations on.

Exactly.

You don't.

Nor do you care. That's the problem

If we arent told then no one knows

but the realty is much less horrible than his dire predictions

A mere 98% reduction
Liberals need a different doomsday guru.

 

[LordBrownTrout]

So...the guy says that if countries do not lock people down the virus will kill millions...and thus countries lock people down and now the expected death count is far less...would that not show that locking people down was effective?

Do you believe China? They are communist, remember. Supposedly, only 3000 plus died and they locked down the country.

 

[Harpy Eagle]

So...the guy says that if countries do not lock people down the virus will kill millions...and thus countries lock people down and now the expected death count is far less...would that not show that locking people down was effective?

Do you believe China? They are communist, remember. Supposedly, only 3000 plus died and they locked down the country.

China is full of shit, that is for sure.

 

[Harpy Eagle]

This is rather stunning: Dr. Neil Ferguson, the British scientist whose scary COVID-19 model caused many governments to take drastic measures, has now repudiated his model. Ferguson predicted that 2.2 million Americans and 500,000 Brits would die from the virus if drastic measures were not taken. But now Ferguson is saying that British deaths will be no more than 20,000, which is 96% lower than his original prediction.

As of this morning, depending on which source you use, England has had between 463 and 578 COVID-19 deaths. To get to 20,000 deaths, England would have to see a dramatic spike in the death rate over the next 8 months. But, if Dr. Ferguson's revised prediction of 20,000 deaths (instead of 500,000 deaths) in England proves accurate, 20,000 deaths would be only 0.031% of England's population (66 million), or far below 1% of the population.

The Scientist Whose Doomsday Pandemic Model Predicted Armageddon Just Walked Back The Apocalyptic Predictions

After the U.S. and U.K. governments effectively shut down their citizens and economies, scientist Neil Ferguson is walking back his doomsday forecasts.

thefederalist.com

Ooops

Ooops indeed...

No, a COVID Scientist Didn’t Walk Back His Prediction | National Review

From the beginning he has said that lockdowns work.

www.nationalreview.com

 

[WEATHER53]

So he’s greatly reducing his dire number and two Stanford experts now agree
Unfortunately the salacious headlines of doom are on page One in bold caps and the corrections are on page 32.

 

[Harpy Eagle]

This is rather stunning: Dr. Neil Ferguson, the British scientist whose scary COVID-19 model caused many governments to take drastic measures, has now repudiated his model. Ferguson predicted that 2.2 million Americans and 500,000 Brits would die from the virus if drastic measures were not taken. But now Ferguson is saying that British deaths will be no more than 20,000, which is 96% lower than his original prediction.

As of this morning, depending on which source you use, England has had between 463 and 578 COVID-19 deaths. To get to 20,000 deaths, England would have to see a dramatic spike in the death rate over the next 8 months. But, if Dr. Ferguson's revised prediction of 20,000 deaths (instead of 500,000 deaths) in England proves accurate, 20,000 deaths would be only 0.031% of England's population (66 million), or far below 1% of the population.

The Scientist Whose Doomsday Pandemic Model Predicted Armageddon Just Walked Back The Apocalyptic Predictions

After the U.S. and U.K. governments effectively shut down their citizens and economies, scientist Neil Ferguson is walking back his doomsday forecasts.

thefederalist.com

More fake news from the fake news Price.

No, a COVID Scientist Didn’t Walk Back His Prediction | National Review

From the beginning he has said that lockdowns work.

www.nationalreview.com

 

[LordBrownTrout]

So...the guy says that if countries do not lock people down the virus will kill millions...and thus countries lock people down and now the expected death count is far less...would that not show that locking people down was effective?

Do you believe China? They are communist, remember. Supposedly, only 3000 plus died and they locked down the country.

China is full of shit, that is for sure.

I agree with that.

 

[Lesh]

A mere 98% reduction
Liberals need a different doomsday guru.

Because they practiced SOCIAL DISTANCING...you idiot

 

[WEATHER53]

A mere 98% reduction
Liberals need a different doomsday guru.

Because they practiced SOCIAL DISTANCING...you idiot

Yes this is the self fulfilling prophecy that I stated the libs would roll out.
There’s no way to prove the effect was due to the cause but it’s a great, unprovable, thing for libs to refer to.

 

[mikegriffith1]

Now Ferguson is denying that he has walked back his predictions, although he has raised the virus's reproduction numbers, which of course would imply a lower death rate.

No, British Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson Has Not 'Drastically Downgraded' His Worst-Case Projection of COVID-19 Deaths

But he has raised his estimate of the virus's reproduction number, which implies a lower fatality rate than his research group initially assumed.

reason.com