A closer look at what this might mean outside of Arizona if a 2% fraud percentage with a normal 3% mail-in ballot rejection rate are both applied, and this is the minimum, as it would require a forensic ballot/envelope analysis to get all counterfeit ballots.
Data are from
With millions of Americans voting by mail during the pandemic, The Guardian and ProPublica are tracking the votes in critical states
www.theguardian.com
Georgia
Biden has a 12k vote lead
Requested means registered voters have mailed in an application or otherwise asked for a mail-in ballot to be sent to them.
7m registered voters
1.78m
Returned or accepted means a voter received a mail ballot and successfully returned it to the elections office to be counted.
7m registered voters
1.32m
Rejected means a ballot was not processed or counted because of a voter technical error. In some states, voters are notified and these ballots can be corrected.
2,689 rejected ballots (Normal rejection rate of 3% would have had 39k rejections)
A normal rejection rate + 2% fraudulent ballots would reject 65k ballots
Wisconsin
Biden ahead by
20,455 votes at this time
Requested means registered voters have mailed in an application or otherwise asked for a mail-in ballot to be sent to them.
3.58m registered voters
1.42m
Returned or accepted means a voter received a mail ballot and successfully returned it to the elections office to be counted.
3.58m
1.28m
Rejected means a ballot was not processed or counted because of a voter technical error. In some states, voters are notified and these ballots can be corrected.
No rejection data yet
Normal rejection rate +2% fraud ballots = 64k votes rejected
Pennsylvania
Biden leads by
80k votes
Requested means registered voters have mailed in an application or otherwise asked for a mail-in ballot to be sent to them.
8.9m registered voters
3.1m
Returned or accepted means a voter received a mail ballot and successfully returned it to the elections office to be counted.
8.9m
2.62m
Rejected means a ballot was not processed or counted because of a voter technical error. In some states, voters are notified and these ballots can be corrected.
1,009 rejected ballots (0.05%)
Normal rejection rate +2% fraud ballots = 140k votes rejected
Michigan
Biden has a
155k vote lead
Requested means registered voters have mailed in an application or otherwise asked for a mail-in ballot to be sent to them.
8.03m registered voters
3.32m
Returned or accepted means a voter received a mail ballot and successfully returned it to the elections office to be counted.
8.03m
2.84m
Rejected means a ballot was not processed or counted because of a voter technical error. In some states, voters are notified and these ballots can be corrected.
No rejection data yet
Normal rejection rate +2% fraud ballots = 160k votes rejected
It would be well worthwhile to do a forensic audit of mail-in ballots that are allowed, as this alone could flip all these states to Trump.
Also, I think SCOTUS should simply throw out all mail-in ballots that were accepted under unConstitutional COVID19 measures taken unilaterally by the state governor or Sec of States without legislative permission or in violation of their state constitution.