Lucy Hamilton
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- Oct 30, 2015
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The 2016 Election Popular Vote was Hillary 48.6% Trump 46.1%
This Zogby Poll just released is the second poll that is showing Joe Biden's lead below 3%, I posted the other poll in a thread the other night that was the IBD/TIPP Poll that has Joe Biden on 48.6% and The Donald on 45.9%
The significance of this poll is that it was taken on Friday night AFTER The Donald was taken to Walter Reed Hospital, like the other poll I posted the other night it also obviously was taken AFTER the Debate.
Okay so let's look into the poll some more:
^^^^ My initial thoughts about the above numbers, a few striking things appear:
I. The Donald has at LEAST 34% of Hispanics saying they are going to vote for him. II. The Donald has at LEAST 11% of Blacks saying they are going to vote for him and both these numbers are actually pretty good with relation to the Electoral College Vote. Since the 2016 Election The Donald has increased his support with Hispanics and his vote with Blacks has remained largely the same.
As of now The Donald is winning 51%-46% with Roman Catholics and 68%-32% with Evangelicals and 54%-40% with parents with children under the age of 17 living at home, so The Donald has a 14% lead in this poll with YOUNG FAMILIES.
To me the below is the most INTERESTING part of the poll:
Joe Biden and The Donald are both at 44% with Independents. In my opinion The Donald needs NOT to play so much to his Base now, because they will vote him already, he needs to play towards that 12% of Undecided Independents, he doesn't NEED all 12%, he needs approx 5% of them.
The above two Dr. Jo Jorgensen and Howie Hawkins will get a percentage of the vote, just like what happened in 2016 with Gary Johnson and Jill Stein and again with this counted in Joe Biden's lead is still 2% against The Donald, something very like what happened with Hillary vs The Donald.
johnzogbystrategies.com
This Zogby Poll just released is the second poll that is showing Joe Biden's lead below 3%, I posted the other poll in a thread the other night that was the IBD/TIPP Poll that has Joe Biden on 48.6% and The Donald on 45.9%
The significance of this poll is that it was taken on Friday night AFTER The Donald was taken to Walter Reed Hospital, like the other poll I posted the other night it also obviously was taken AFTER the Debate.
Okay so let's look into the poll some more:
^^^^ My initial thoughts about the above numbers, a few striking things appear:
I. The Donald has at LEAST 34% of Hispanics saying they are going to vote for him. II. The Donald has at LEAST 11% of Blacks saying they are going to vote for him and both these numbers are actually pretty good with relation to the Electoral College Vote. Since the 2016 Election The Donald has increased his support with Hispanics and his vote with Blacks has remained largely the same.
As of now The Donald is winning 51%-46% with Roman Catholics and 68%-32% with Evangelicals and 54%-40% with parents with children under the age of 17 living at home, so The Donald has a 14% lead in this poll with YOUNG FAMILIES.
To me the below is the most INTERESTING part of the poll:
Joe Biden and The Donald are both at 44% with Independents. In my opinion The Donald needs NOT to play so much to his Base now, because they will vote him already, he needs to play towards that 12% of Undecided Independents, he doesn't NEED all 12%, he needs approx 5% of them.
The above two Dr. Jo Jorgensen and Howie Hawkins will get a percentage of the vote, just like what happened in 2016 with Gary Johnson and Jill Stein and again with this counted in Joe Biden's lead is still 2% against The Donald, something very like what happened with Hillary vs The Donald.
Biden Leads Trump 49%-47%; New John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Solutions Poll Taken After President Checks Into Walter Reed - John Zogby Strategies
In a new poll of 1006 likely voters nationwide, former Vice-President Joe Biden holds on to a two-point lead over President Donald Trump, 49% to 47% with 4% not sure. The random sample online poll was taken on Friday beginning after 7 PM and has an overall margin-of-sampling error of +/-3.2...
johnzogbystrategies.com
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