Betting market has Trump up 31 points

[Faun]

Betting market has Trump up 31 points

And that means so much.

​

 

[Faun]

Most people who are putting up money are betting on Trump. That says ALOT.

Actually, it's just 4 accounts, suspected of being 1 person, who's bet $46 million on Trump, which is largely responsible for the disparity.

 

[Faun]

Where’s your evidence?

3 theories about the $46 million 'whale' moving betting odds in favor of Donald Trump

"Trump is uniquely popular amongst gamblers ever since the 2016 election," a betting-market commentator said.

www.businessinsider.com

 

[Thunderbird]

Google it. It is well known.

The same better just put another $13 million dollar bet on Trump....on top of the $30 million bet.

The Crypto Website Where the Election Odds Swing in Trump’s Favor

Donald Trump, Elon Musk and CNN have cited election predictions from Polymarket, a betting site where crypto enthusiasts have wagered more than $100 million on who will win the presidency.

www.nytimes.com

------------------
But Mr. Trump’s apparent lead may be an illusion. The odds on Polymarket began favoring him this month after just four accounts, with user names like Fredi9999 and PrincessCaro, bet more than $30 million on a Trump victory, according to an analysis of transaction records by Chaos Labs, a crypto data provider. Polymarket said on Thursday that all four accounts were controlled by one person, whom it described as a French national with a financial services background, without revealing the person’s identity.

The election betting has placed enormous scrutiny on Polymarket, a start-up based in New York that allows people to wager crypto on everything from sports to Taylor Swift’s romantic prospects. The legality of gambling on politics remains murky in the United States. Polymarket stopped offering its services to U.S.-based customers in 2022, after settling with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for operating without registration.


The bets that bolstered Mr. Trump’s odds have raised alarms that Polymarket could be vulnerable to manipulation. The trader who placed the wagers might have been “willing to take the losses in order to change public perceptions,” said Rajiv Sethi, an economics professor at Barnard College. “And possibly have an effect on things like donations and morale and volunteer support and turnout.”

The frenzy over Polymarket’s election odds has also prompted suspicions that gamblers may be circumventing the ban on U.S. users. A former employee, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive topic, said it was “an open secret” that U.S. customers could make bets by using virtual private networks, which obscure an internet user’s true location.

But the attention has also fueled Polymarket’s business and set it apart from other prediction websites that offer betting markets on politics. The start-up, which is backed by an investment firm of the conservative tech mogul Peter Thiel, is close to completing a new $50 million financing round that would value it at $300 million, a person with knowledge of the matter said. In July, the election prognostication expert Nate Silver joined the company as an adviser.

-------------------

On Oct. 11, Mr. Trump posted a screenshot of Polymarket that showed he had a 55.5 percent chance of winning the election. On Monday, he posted a new screenshot showing that his chances had increased to 64 percent.

The surge of attention has made Polymarket vulnerable to bad actors, said Cristian Perez Ramirez, who worked at the company from 2021 to 2023. “People with enough motivation and enough capital can easily manipulate it,” he said.

Polymarket’s spokesman said the user who placed the election bets “has agreed not to open further accounts without notice.”

If someone was making foolish bets on Trump other people would be betting heavily against Trump.

 

[Dragonlady]

You are a partisan stooge out of touch with reality.

Covid-19 Deaths under Biden Surpass Deaths during Trump Administration | National Review

It turns out that Joe Biden’s Secret Plan to End Covid worked about as well as when he promised to ‘cure cancer.’

www.nationalreview.com

U.S. Unemployment Rate Falls to 50-Year Low – The White House

trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov

Biden’s passivity about mass death in Gaza is a moral stain on his presidency | Mohamad Bazzi

Apparently, he can rush thousands of bombs to Israel, but can’t get Israel to unblock a US shipment of flour to Gazans

www.theguardian.com

The Left’s $7 Trillion Lie: Biden Far Outpaces Trump in Racking Up the National Debt

Projection is blaming someone else for your own bad behavior. We saw a classic case of projection in Thursday’s presidential debate, when President Biden—who is overseeing annual budget deficits of $2 trillion—asserted that his predecessor, Donald Trump, added more to the federal debt than...

www.heritage.org

More then 10 million Americans were sick with covid the day that Joe Biden took office, with more than 200,000 new cases per day. New variants were appearing faster than the vaccines to counter them.

 

[Dragonlady]

If someone was making foolish bets on Trump other people would be betting heavily against Trump.

The people are trying to manipulate this election so that even if Trump loses he can claim victory and challenge the results in the courts, and with the SC in hand, Trump really thinks he can get away with it.

He nearly pulled it off last time. He should not have been allowed to run again.

 

[Thunderbird]

More then 10 million Americans were sick with covid the day that Joe Biden took office, with more than 200,000 new cases per day. New variants were appearing faster than the vaccines to counter them.

And apparently Biden was unable to stop them from dying.

You make crazy statements like Peter Thiel is funding “all of these right wing polls”. When asked for proof you run away and hide.

You claim “Putin, Xi, and Iran” are working to elect Trump. Again without evidence.

You make the lunatic claim “Trump brought covid to the USA and spread it all over the country”.

You are unable to defend Kamala’s genocide in Gaza.

Your candidate serves billionaires, loves censorship, loves war, hates the American people.

‘Illiberal’ Kamala Harris joins the world’s autocrats to clamp down on free speech

Every two-bit authoritarian in history has justified censoring citizens as a way of protecting them from the menace of disinformation.

nypost.com

House Homeland Analysis: 4 Hard Truths for the Biden Administration About Jocelyn Nungaray’s Murder, Recent Illegal Alien Crime, and America’s Open Borders – Committee on Homeland Security

homeland.house.gov

Are you insane, do you really think Peter Thiel and Xi Jin Ping are involved in a vast conspiracy to elect Trump, or are you paid to spread ridiculous lies?

 

[Dragonlady]

And apparently Biden was unable to stop them from dying.

You make crazy statements like Peter Thiel is funding “all of these right wing polls”. When asked for proof you run away and hide.

You claim “Putin, Xi, and Iran” are working to elect Trump. Again without evidence.

You make the lunatic claim “Trump brought covid to the USA and spread it all over the country”.

You are unable to defend Kamala’s genocide in Gaza.

Your candidate serves billionaires, loves censorship, loves war, hates the American people.

‘Illiberal’ Kamala Harris joins the world’s autocrats to clamp down on free speech

Every two-bit authoritarian in history has justified censoring citizens as a way of protecting them from the menace of disinformation.

nypost.com

House Homeland Analysis: 4 Hard Truths for the Biden Administration About Jocelyn Nungaray’s Murder, Recent Illegal Alien Crime, and America’s Open Borders – Committee on Homeland Security

homeland.house.gov

Are you insane, do you really think Peter Thiel and Xi Jin Ping are involved in a vast conspiracy to elect Trump, or are you paid to spread ridiculous lies?

You're a real moron aren't you????

I guess that all of the reports from the CIA and the FBI that China, Russia and Iran are using the internet to exploit idiots like YOU, isn't evidence enough for you.

"Kamala's genocide in Gaza". It takes a special kind of stupid to blame Harris for Gaza. Netanyahu is responsible for Gaza.

Trump was warned that if he let the virus run wild, the USA would NEVER get it under control. By the time Biden took office, it was too late. Trump had already done the damage and there was no way to change the outcome. Of course, Republicans made it worse by refusing to take the vaccines.

There is no "vast conspiracy" to elect Donald Trump outside of the Republican Party's/Heritage Society's plans to overthrow this election when Trump loses - again.

Musk is definitely involved with Putin as was proven when he prevented the Ukrainians from sinking Russian ships. Musk thinks he can control Trump if he helps him. That's what the former leadership of the Republican Party thought too. How did that work out for Republicans?

The world's autocrats want to see the USA destroyed and Trump will do that for them. Billionaires want tax cuts and a total lack of regulation or labour laws. Trump will do that for them. Those who want Trump as President, are cheering for the destruction of the USA.

That includes morons like YOU.

 

[Thunderbird]

You're a real moron aren't you????

I guess that all of the reports from the CIA and the FBI that China, Russia and Iran are using the internet to exploit idiots like YOU, isn't evidence enough for you.

"Kamala's genocide in Gaza". It takes a special kind of stupid to blame Harris for Gaza. Netanyahu is responsible for Gaza.

Trump was warned that if he let the virus run wild, the USA would NEVER get it under control. By the time Biden took office, it was too late. Trump had already done the damage and there was no way to change the outcome. Of course, Republicans made it worse by refusing to take the vaccines.

There is no "vast conspiracy" to elect Donald Trump outside of the Republican Party's/Heritage Society's plans to overthrow this election when Trump loses - again.

Musk is definitely involved with Putin as was proven when he prevented the Ukrainians from sinking Russian ships. Musk thinks he can control Trump if he helps him. That's what the former leadership of the Republican Party thought too. How did that work out for Republicans?

The world's autocrats want to see the USA destroyed and Trump will do that for them. Billionaires want tax cuts and a total lack of regulation or labour laws. Trump will do that for them. Those who want Trump as President, are cheering for the destruction of the USA.

That includes morons like YOU.

What reports from the CIA? Link to them.

Where’s your evidence Thiel is funding the polls?

Face the facts you are a lunatic.

Don’t you see how they’ve made a fool of you? You’re taken in by every left-wing conspiracy theory.

Who supplied Natanyahu moron?

It was Biden and Harris.

US officials say thousands of 2,000-pound bombs shipped to Israel since Oct. 7

Over 14,000 MK-84s, which Biden paused a shipment of, are among the US munitions sent to Israeli forces fighting against Hamas and Hezbollah

www.timesofisrael.com

You admit that Biden was unable to prevent Covid deaths despite his promises and despite the fact that Trump had helped develop a vaccine.

https://thehill.com/opinion/healthcare/3517236-operation-warp-speed-was-a-tremendous-success-heres-why-it-wont-be-replicated-under-biden/

You’re such a dope you fell for another conspiracy theory. About Musk-Ukraine-Starlink: Elon Musk biographer admits suggestion SpaceX head blocked Ukraine drone attack was wrong

I’m sure you’ll cry like a baby when Trump ends the stupid Ukraine War.

Harris is the tool of autocrats and billionaires. It’s Harris vs the USA.