nat4900
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George F. Will has long been one of the most articulate spokesperson for conservative causes. However, since Romney and now Trump, Will has become a lonely (and maligned) voice of reason for the GOP.
Here are some excerpts form his recent "opinion" piece and the demographic data regarding TX speak for themselves. (A reminder 270 electoral votes are all thatare needed to become president.)
Will Texas become another brick in the Democrats’ blue wall?
Texas is not wide-open spaces filled with cattle and cotton fields. Actually, it is 84.7 percent urban, making it the 15th-most-urban state. It has four of the nation’s 11 largest cities — Houston, San Antonio, Dallas and Austin. Texas’s growth is in its cities, where Republicans are doing worst.
Dallas has gone from solidly Republican to solidly Democratic. A recent poll showed Harris County (Houston), which is about 69 percent minority, with a majority identifying as Democrats. The San Antonio metropolitan area is about three-quarters minority. Travis County (Austin, seat of the state government, the flagship state university and a burgeoning tech economy attracting young people) voted 60.1 percent for
Asian Americans, Texas’s fastest-growing minority by percentage, were about 3 percent of Texans in 2000 and about 4 percent in 2010. They are projected to be more than 8 percent in 2040.
The “blue wall” — the 18 states and the District of Columbia that have voted Democratic in at least six consecutive presidential elections — today has 242 electoral votes. Texas, which is not a brick in this wall, has 38 electoral votes. After the 2020 Census, it probably will have 40, perhaps 41. Were Texas to become another blue brick, the wall — even if the 2020 Census subtracted a few electoral votes from the current 18 states — would have more than the 270 votes needed to elect a president.
Since 1994, when it passed New York (which has now sunk below Florida to fourth place), Texas has been the nation’s second-most-populous state. [Texas} is the Republican Party’s only large “anchor state.” The Democratic Party has two — California and New York, with a combined 84 electoral votes. Or three, if you count Illinois (20 electoral votes), which in the past four presidential elections has voted Democratic by an average of slightly more than 16 points.
George F. Will has long been one of the most articulate spokesperson for conservative causes. However, since Romney and now Trump, Will has become a lonely (and maligned) voice of reason for the GOP.
Here are some excerpts form his recent "opinion" piece and the demographic data regarding TX speak for themselves. (A reminder 270 electoral votes are all thatare needed to become president.)
Will Texas become another brick in the Democrats’ blue wall?
Texas is not wide-open spaces filled with cattle and cotton fields. Actually, it is 84.7 percent urban, making it the 15th-most-urban state. It has four of the nation’s 11 largest cities — Houston, San Antonio, Dallas and Austin. Texas’s growth is in its cities, where Republicans are doing worst.
Dallas has gone from solidly Republican to solidly Democratic. A recent poll showed Harris County (Houston), which is about 69 percent minority, with a majority identifying as Democrats. The San Antonio metropolitan area is about three-quarters minority. Travis County (Austin, seat of the state government, the flagship state university and a burgeoning tech economy attracting young people) voted 60.1 percent for
Asian Americans, Texas’s fastest-growing minority by percentage, were about 3 percent of Texans in 2000 and about 4 percent in 2010. They are projected to be more than 8 percent in 2040.
The “blue wall” — the 18 states and the District of Columbia that have voted Democratic in at least six consecutive presidential elections — today has 242 electoral votes. Texas, which is not a brick in this wall, has 38 electoral votes. After the 2020 Census, it probably will have 40, perhaps 41. Were Texas to become another blue brick, the wall — even if the 2020 Census subtracted a few electoral votes from the current 18 states — would have more than the 270 votes needed to elect a president.
Since 1994, when it passed New York (which has now sunk below Florida to fourth place), Texas has been the nation’s second-most-populous state. [Texas} is the Republican Party’s only large “anchor state.” The Democratic Party has two — California and New York, with a combined 84 electoral votes. Or three, if you count Illinois (20 electoral votes), which in the past four presidential elections has voted Democratic by an average of slightly more than 16 points.