7 Times Nate Silver Was Hilariously Wrong About Donald Trump

[Vigilante]

You can only be a Democrat shill for so long, and finally people catch up to your shit!

It’s been a rough election cycle for forecasting guru Nate Silver and his website FiveThirtyEight. Silver became a household name after he almost perfectly predicted the results of the 2008 and 2012 general elections, and his esteem was such that to some people he had removed almost all the suspense from elections.

Then Trump happened.

Nate Silver and his colleagues at FiveThirtyEight were extremely dismissive of Trump’s chances even after he rose to the top of the polls in the summer of 2015, and they repeatedly said as much. But ultimately, Trump proved to be a “black swan” event that was devastating to the retrospective models Silver relies upon to make predictions. Silver himself has been forthright about his failure...

(Excerpt) Read more at dailycaller.com

 

[2aguy]

Vote for Trump....save America.......

Thanks for the encouragement....

 

[The Breeze]

Bump for Trump, screw the haters.

 

[2aguy]

Vote for Trump....Save America...

And on election night.....find out where hilary keeps her coffin and put garlic in it......

 

[The Breeze]

It's time for real change.

 

[konradv]

Silver made his name in the generals. Trump had his day in the primaries. Say good night, Gracie

 

[Toro]

Silver has said he was wrong because he didn't believe the polls.

The polls had Trump winning the primary since August.

Now, the polls have Trump losing.

 

[Billy_Bob]

Silver has said he was wrong because he didn't believe the polls.

The polls had Trump winning the primary since August.

Now, the polls have Trump losing.

only the left wing BS polls have Hildabeast wining......

 

[Toro]

only the left wing BS polls have Hildabeast wining......

The lies you guys tell yourselves are hilarious.

 

[Vigilante]

only the left wing BS polls have Hildabeast wining......

The lies you guys tell yourselves are hilarious.

Tojo here knows better than everyone!...lolololololo

• Professor with Remarkable Track Record Predicts a Trump Election Win
  
  Fox News Insider ^ | 10/22/2016 | unknown
  Saturday on Fox & Friends, Tucker Carlson sat down with a college professor with a remarkable record of predicting election outcomes. Professor Helmut Norpoth, from Stony Brook University in New York State, has correctly predicted the outcomes of the last five presidential elections. This year, he steadfastly believes Donald Trump will win the election. Norpoth said he uses two "models" to make his prediction: One is the "primary" model, where he compares a candidate's strength in their respective primaries. "The candidate who does better in his party's primary beats the other guy who does less well," Norpoth said. Looking at...
• 
  
• Pollster John Zogby: Presidential Race Far From Over
  
  Newsmax ^ | 10/22/2016 | John Zogby
  It's still too early to say who will win the presidential election despite several polls and the national polling average tipping the scales toward Democrat Hillary Clinton, pollster John Zogby told Newsmax TV. During an appearance on "America Talks Live," Zogby told host J.D. Hayworth 18 days between now and election day is a long time. "I've been doing this a long, long time and these races go up and down and up and down," Zogby said. "We still have 18 days to go, that means 18, maybe 36 news cycles as well. "You see still a very passionate Donald...
• 
  
• What’s going on with the polls?
  
  American Thinker ^ | 22 Oct 2016 | Jared E. Peterson
  Something funny is happening in the major national polling department of this presidential race and no one’s talking about it. First, somehow the narrative seems to be developing that the polls show Clinton with a near insurmountable lead. Not so fast. Not so fast at all. There is a very large gap between Trump and Clinton’s current national standing, as revealed by Goebbels/Pravda (CBS, NBC, ABC/Washington Post), on the one hand, versus the picture painted by three respected polling organizations that are not part of the propaganda wing of the Democratic Party, on the other: Here are some of the...

 

[Billy_Bob]

ABC/Washington Post: 47-43, Clinton

NBC: 51-43, Clinton

CBS: 51-40, Clinton

Non-Propaganda Machine-affiliated (as reported on the afternoon of Friday, October 21, 2016):

IBT/TIPP: 41-40, Trump

LA Times/USC Tracking: 44.5-43.8, Trump

Rasmussen: 43-41, Trump


Read more: Blog: What’s going on with the polls?
Follow us: @AmericanThinker on Twitter | AmericanThinker on Facebook

 

[JimBowie1958]

Silver has said he was wrong because he didn't believe the polls.

The polls had Trump winning the primary since August.

Now, the polls have Trump losing.

Lol, great analysis, dude.

The polls have consistently under estimated Trumps vote.

That is going to bite the Dems in the ass.

 

[Toro]

Silver has said he was wrong because he didn't believe the polls.

The polls had Trump winning the primary since August.

Now, the polls have Trump losing.

Lol, great analysis, dude.

The polls have consistently under estimated Trumps vote.

That is going to bite the Dems in the ass.

Incorrect.

In the primaries, the polls over-estimated Trump's actual vote by about 1%. And that margin was greater prior to the New York primary.

 

[Toro]

only the left wing BS polls have Hildabeast wining......

The lies you guys tell yourselves are hilarious.

Tojo here knows better than everyone!...lolololololo

• Professor with Remarkable Track Record Predicts a Trump Election Win
  
  Fox News Insider ^ | 10/22/2016 | unknown
  Saturday on Fox & Friends, Tucker Carlson sat down with a college professor with a remarkable record of predicting election outcomes. Professor Helmut Norpoth, from Stony Brook University in New York State, has correctly predicted the outcomes of the last five presidential elections. This year, he steadfastly believes Donald Trump will win the election. Norpoth said he uses two "models" to make his prediction: One is the "primary" model, where he compares a candidate's strength in their respective primaries. "The candidate who does better in his party's primary beats the other guy who does less well," Norpoth said. Looking at...
• 
  
• Pollster John Zogby: Presidential Race Far From Over
  
  Newsmax ^ | 10/22/2016 | John Zogby
  It's still too early to say who will win the presidential election despite several polls and the national polling average tipping the scales toward Democrat Hillary Clinton, pollster John Zogby told Newsmax TV. During an appearance on "America Talks Live," Zogby told host J.D. Hayworth 18 days between now and election day is a long time. "I've been doing this a long, long time and these races go up and down and up and down," Zogby said. "We still have 18 days to go, that means 18, maybe 36 news cycles as well. "You see still a very passionate Donald...
• 
  
• What’s going on with the polls?
  
  American Thinker ^ | 22 Oct 2016 | Jared E. Peterson
  Something funny is happening in the major national polling department of this presidential race and no one’s talking about it. First, somehow the narrative seems to be developing that the polls show Clinton with a near insurmountable lead. Not so fast. Not so fast at all. There is a very large gap between Trump and Clinton’s current national standing, as revealed by Goebbels/Pravda (CBS, NBC, ABC/Washington Post), on the one hand, versus the picture painted by three respected polling organizations that are not part of the propaganda wing of the Democratic Party, on the other: Here are some of the...

I'm just looking at the polls.

It's Trump supporters who make things up so you can feel better about yourselves.

You guys have learned absolutely nothing from four years ago.

 

[Vigilante]

only the left wing BS polls have Hildabeast wining......

The lies you guys tell yourselves are hilarious.

Tojo here knows better than everyone!...lolololololo

• Professor with Remarkable Track Record Predicts a Trump Election Win
  
  Fox News Insider ^ | 10/22/2016 | unknown
  Saturday on Fox & Friends, Tucker Carlson sat down with a college professor with a remarkable record of predicting election outcomes. Professor Helmut Norpoth, from Stony Brook University in New York State, has correctly predicted the outcomes of the last five presidential elections. This year, he steadfastly believes Donald Trump will win the election. Norpoth said he uses two "models" to make his prediction: One is the "primary" model, where he compares a candidate's strength in their respective primaries. "The candidate who does better in his party's primary beats the other guy who does less well," Norpoth said. Looking at...
• 
  
• Pollster John Zogby: Presidential Race Far From Over
  
  Newsmax ^ | 10/22/2016 | John Zogby
  It's still too early to say who will win the presidential election despite several polls and the national polling average tipping the scales toward Democrat Hillary Clinton, pollster John Zogby told Newsmax TV. During an appearance on "America Talks Live," Zogby told host J.D. Hayworth 18 days between now and election day is a long time. "I've been doing this a long, long time and these races go up and down and up and down," Zogby said. "We still have 18 days to go, that means 18, maybe 36 news cycles as well. "You see still a very passionate Donald...
• 
  
• What’s going on with the polls?
  
  American Thinker ^ | 22 Oct 2016 | Jared E. Peterson
  Something funny is happening in the major national polling department of this presidential race and no one’s talking about it. First, somehow the narrative seems to be developing that the polls show Clinton with a near insurmountable lead. Not so fast. Not so fast at all. There is a very large gap between Trump and Clinton’s current national standing, as revealed by Goebbels/Pravda (CBS, NBC, ABC/Washington Post), on the one hand, versus the picture painted by three respected polling organizations that are not part of the propaganda wing of the Democratic Party, on the other: Here are some of the...

I'm just looking at the polls.

View attachment 94853

It's Trump supporters who make things up so you can feel better about yourselves.

You guys have learned absolutely nothing from four years ago.

Damn Tojo, you get more dishonest everyday. You know by looking at the internals the demographic are skewed heavily in most cases DemoRAT...but you keep your delusions going. that's all you have.

 

[JimBowie1958]

Incorrect.

In the primaries, the polls over-estimated Trump's actual vote by about 1%. And that margin was greater prior to the New York primary.

Bullshit.

The Track Record of Bad Polling on Trump From The Primaries

 

[JimBowie1958]

I'm just looking at the polls.

View attachment 94853

It's Trump supporters who make things up so you can feel better about yourselves.

You guys have learned absolutely nothing from four years ago.

Yeah, 24 GIGO polls is just a mountain of GIGO.