2025-2026 Deficit Tracking Thread.

[White 6]

Our deficit is down from last year.

Do you understand what those words mean?

Is that clear.

And many analysts say it is, in part, due to the tarriffs.

You got something different, put it up.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-13/us-deficit-shrank-to-1-7-trillion-in-2025-thanks-to-tariff-jump

It means we and companies we buy from, here in the United States paid enormously into government coffers for what we wanted to purchase?

 

[HikerGuy83]

It means we and companies we buy from, here in the United States paid enormously into government coffers for what we wanted to purchase?

That's what I said....we pay for it one way or the other.

It's a tax of sorts. I don't like it.

But the deficit is slowing.

NOW...they need to CUT SPENDING

Something Trump and Co don't seem keen on.

 

[White 6]

That's what I said....we pay for it one way or the other.

It's a tax of sorts. I don't like it.

But the deficit is slowing.

NOW...they need to CUT SPENDING

Something Trump and Co don't seem keen on.

I do not like it either, but Congress has the duty for tariffs and other taxes, but consistently shirk their duty to regulate and do their job, so here we are.

 

[HikerGuy83]

I do not like it either, but Congress has the duty for tariffs and other taxes, but consistently shirk their duty to regulate and do their job, so here we are.

You are discussing process and procedure.

I am simply pointing out that the deficit is slowing compared to last year.

That is why I started this thread. To track it.

That's it.

I don't disagree with your point, but it's going further and further away from what I intended.

 

[White 6]

You are discussing process and procedure.

I am simply pointing out that the deficit is slowing compared to last year.

That is why I started this thread. To track it.

That's it.

I don't disagree with your point, but it's going further and further away from what I intended.

I simply thought you dismissed where the money was coming from, the new tariff taxes on almost everything we buy, instead of taxes on everything we and companies generate that rolls into incomes.

 

[HikerGuy83]

I simply thought you dismissed where the money was coming from,

I think I added several links showing that it is coming from increased tarriff revenue.

the new tariff taxes on almost everything we buy,

Yes, they do.

But we:

1. Quit spending so much
2. Increase taxes.

Tarriffs are a good way to bypass taxes (which, once embedded we will never get rid of). I don't like paying more.

But the very definition of deficit says: you are spending to much and not taxing enough (some combo).

instead of taxes on everything we and companies generate that rolls into incomes.

Not sure exactly what you are saying....but if you are saying we lose income....does not matter....it would be taxed anyway.

We are NOT covering our costs.

Get our spineless congress to cut costs now and then we'll be closer to zero deficit.

You did read where we are paying 1.1 trillion a year in debt service. 1.1 TRILLION

Incredible.

 

[Hafar1014]

This thread will be used to report on a running (monthly if we can get it) basis....the deficit.

At the end of fiscal 2025, the deficit was revised down by 200 billion and some of that was attributed to the tariff revenue. I added that to my thread on the 2025 deficit.

This will be for something different.

As I said in my thread:

Thread '2025 Deficit comes in at 1.97 Trillion. This Is Way Out of Hand'

Oct 13, 2025

Well.....this is great news.

The 2025 deficit was 1.97 trillion. Total revenue was 4.69 trillion which means our deficit was 42% of total revenue and 29.5% of total spending.

I don't have an actual figure, but you can count on 1 trillion of spending on debt servicing alone. 1 FREAKING TRILLION.

In 2024 the deficit was 1.83 trillion.

AND NOBODY CARES (in government).

This is beyond reprehensible.

Your Guide to America’s Finances

Check out @FiscalService Fiscal Data’s new guide to America’s finances! #FiscalData

fiscaldata.treasury.gov

Total debt is 37.3 trillion. We'll be over 40 before Trump leaves.

We are selling our kids down the river.

• HikerGuy83
• Replies: 400
• Forum: Politics

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This has gotten way out of hand and we need to start kicking congress in the nuts to fix this and cut of their nuts off if they don't.

October prelim data to follow:

the deficit has dropped to 1.7 trillion today. In 2-3 years it will be zero

 

[HikerGuy83]

the deficit has dropped to 1.7 trillion today. In 2-3 years it will be zero

What do you mean?

The fiscal 2026 deficit better not be on track for that number.

 

[leftwinger]

AI shows down in JAN. $-35B. Revenue up $47B

Congress still spending, funding fraud. Maybe revenue will ramp up and Powell will lower rates.
*****


The U.S. federal government recorded a $94 billion deficit in January 2026, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). This was $35 billion less than the $129 billion deficit in January 2025.

• Revenues: $560 billion (up $47 billion from January 2025), driven by higher income and payroll tax collections and increased customs duties from tariff policies.
• Outlays: $654 billion (up $12 billion from January 2025), primarily due to mandatory spending and interest on the national debt.
• Timing Adjustments: The deficit would have been $87 billion if not for timing shifts, such as payments due on January 1 being made in December.

This deficit is part of a broader trend: the federal government has borrowed $696 billion in the first four months of fiscal year 2026, $143 billion less than the same period in 2025, largely due to strong revenue growth.