1st 2015 poll: Romney, Clinton dominate their fields

[Statistikhengst]

Well, Clinton absolutely dominates the DEM field, as she has the entire time. Romney has a healthy lead and is already 5 points higher than his monthly and bi-weekly average was in all GOP nomination polling from November 2009 to January 2012.

YouGov 2016 Republicans and Democrats prefer what they know

It's just one poll, now the 251st poll since December 2012: Clinton vs. names from the GOP field. And the Clinton vs. Bush from this poll is the 856th individual matchup that I have logged from these 251 polls.

YouGov, an English firm, does online polling. However, it does it much better than Zogby.

Here the results:


PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (YouGov)
Mitt Romney 28%
Jeb Bush 12%
Ben Carson 10%
Ted Cruz 9%
Mike Huckabee 8%
Rand Paul 8%
Scott Walker 6%
Paul Ryan 3%
Chris Christie 3%
Rick Perry 2%
Marco Rubio 2%
Lindsey Graham 0%

Margin: Romney +16

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (YouGov)
Hillary Clinton 61%
Elizabeth Warren 17%
Joe Biden 7%
Bernie Sanders 3%
Jim Webb 2%
Brian Schweitzer 1%
Martin O’Malley 0%

Margin: Clinton +44


PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (YouGov)
Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
Jeb Bush (R) 32%

Margin: Clinton (D) +11

Remember, it's just one poll. But more polls like these could maybe convince Romney to jump in again..

 

[Papageorgio]

Yeah, polls in 2015 mean nothing. Wasn't it Dean that was leading 04 and wasn't it Hillary in 08.

All polls are, are a snapshot in time, the will continually change and evolve.

McCain had Obama beat before the economy collapsed and he lost big.

Wasn't Ohio a Kerry state the day before the 04 election and he lost.

I won't make a decision on anyone until the primaries here, until then, it is all noise.

 

[JoeB131]

I'm a little dubious about an on-line poll. 28% for Romney probably just means his fellow Mormon Cultists flooded the lines.

 

[Statistikhengst]

Yeah, polls in 2015 mean nothing. Wasn't it Dean that was leading 04 and wasn't it Hillary in 08.

All polls are, are a snapshot in time, the will continually change and evolve.

McCain had Obama beat before the economy collapsed and he lost big.

Wasn't Ohio a Kerry state the day before the 04 election and he lost.

I won't make a decision on anyone until the primaries here, until then, it is all noise.

Uhm, no. In composite polling, Obama was ahead from March to November 2008. In polls published 10 days after the Palin pick, McCain pulled up close to Obama in some national polling and sparse and in less state polling.

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[Statistikhengst]

I'm a little dubious about an on-line poll. 28% for Romney probably just means his fellow Mormon Cultists flooded the lines.

I published a comparison of all end polls to the actual results from the 2012 race. Will publish the link again later when I am home. yougov actually did pretty darned well in 2012. I will get back with you later on this.

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[martybegan]

As per Ace of Spades HQ, you forgot one candidate. the SMOD.

Sweet Meteor of Death.

The other option between a Democrat and a RINO.

 

[Statistikhengst]

As per Ace of Spades HQ, you forgot one candidate. the SMOD.

Sweet Meteor of Death.

The other option between a Democrat and a RINO.

Ahah. .....

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[Nyvin]

Ted Cruz is above Scott Walker and Rand Paul...weird.

 

[LoneLaugher]

Weeeeeeeeeeee! Mittmentum!!

He's the front runner!! He's got to make an impact tonight. Otherwise....he's going to have to fund his own campaign.

 

[Statistikhengst]

Weeeeeeeeeeee! Mittmentum!!

He's the front runner!! He's got to make an impact tonight. Otherwise....he's going to have to fund his own campaign.

Where is he impacting tonight? Flying saucer landing?

 

[Mac1958]

.

Starting to look like Walker's in.

Holy crap, reminds me of those Wrestlemania™ matches where they had 20 guys in the ring at the same time.

Winner always walked out bloody and limping, though.

.

 

[Statistikhengst]

.

Starting to look like Walker's in.

Holy crap, reminds me of those Wrestlemania™ matches where they had 20 guys in the ring at the same time.

Winner always walked out bloody and limping, though.

.

If he jumps in, then surely there will be some polling for him vs. Hillary and so...

 

[LoneLaugher]

Walker is in. He's got to secure his retirement income.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Yeah, polls in 2015 mean nothing. Wasn't it Dean that was leading 04 and wasn't it Hillary in 08.

All polls are, are a snapshot in time, the will continually change and evolve.

McCain had Obama beat before the economy collapsed and he lost big.

Wasn't Ohio a Kerry state the day before the 04 election and he lost.

I won't make a decision on anyone until the primaries here, until then, it is all noise.

Starkey got all of his 2008 "Ready for Hillary!" posters out of storage

 

[Statistikhengst]

Yeah, polls in 2015 mean nothing. Wasn't it Dean that was leading 04 and wasn't it Hillary in 08.

All polls are, are a snapshot in time, the will continually change and evolve.

McCain had Obama beat before the economy collapsed and he lost big.

Wasn't Ohio a Kerry state the day before the 04 election and he lost.

I won't make a decision on anyone until the primaries here, until then, it is all noise.

Starkey got all of his 2008 "Ready for Hillary!" posters out of storage

Meanwhile, you can pull out your 1968 "Nixon's The One" posters.

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[Jroc]

The more establishment Republicans in the race the better hopefully they fill up the same space and a real conservative will get the nomination

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

Yeah, polls in 2015 mean nothing. Wasn't it Dean that was leading 04 and wasn't it Hillary in 08.

All polls are, are a snapshot in time, the will continually change and evolve.

McCain had Obama beat before the economy collapsed and he lost big.

Wasn't Ohio a Kerry state the day before the 04 election and he lost.

I won't make a decision on anyone until the primaries here, until then, it is all noise.

Starkey got all of his 2008 "Ready for Hillary!" posters out of storage

Meanwhile, you can pull out your 1968 "Nixon's The One" posters.

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The one with the pregnant hippie girl?

 

[Statistikhengst]

The more establishment Republicans in the race the better hopefully they fill up the same space and a real conservative will get the nomination

I think it will be an interesting year for your party's field. There could be some very, uh, jarring surprises.