It's highly unlikely that the economy will improve between now and 2012 in a similar fashion to it's performance from 1983-1984. Even the Obama Administration is talking down expectations and claiming that it will take years for unemployment levels to be meaningfully reduced.
It's all about The Jobs. And on that front, Obamanomics is an Epic Fail.
The poll question, however, is also about Obama's own psychology. Is he the type that will run for re-election if there is a high risk that he will lose? I doubt it.
I put little faith in internet armchair psychologists.
Your diagnosis of all the personality traits that you place on Obama are not the slightest bit based in fact.