Tom Paine 1949
Diamond Member
- Mar 15, 2020
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If the war stalemates, Zelensky’s tough talk about not settling without Crimea will change. The history of Crimea is rather unique, not worth going into again here. Suffice it to say it is an issue that many Ukrainians could be willing to negotiate away to achieve peace. If things go very bad for Russia, then another “self-determination” referendum (supervised by the UN) may actually become part of a future settlement. An early cease fire need not try to resolve this issue completely. The tougher issue is the new lands taken in 2020 by the Russian state (and officially now part of the Russian Federation). To win back those lands the Ukrainians will fight harder and longer.
Also Zelensky is no fool. His original “peace program” envisioned working a deal with the Russians to refine and implement a version of the Minsk Agreements. This was vetoed not by the Americans and not by Europeans, but by the Ukrainian military already involved in the Donbas fighting. Internal political forces in Ukraine should not be ignored in re-telling this sad story.
Also Zelensky is no fool. His original “peace program” envisioned working a deal with the Russians to refine and implement a version of the Minsk Agreements. This was vetoed not by the Americans and not by Europeans, but by the Ukrainian military already involved in the Donbas fighting. Internal political forces in Ukraine should not be ignored in re-telling this sad story.
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