Where's my Global Warming!

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

It's just weather.

Coldest November Weather in Decades Infiltrates Wyoming to Texas From the North Pole

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

It's just weather

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2014/11/sault-mi-receives-1-months-snow-in-1-day/

 

[Crick]

Where is all that cold air coming from? Is the Earth suddenly cooling off? No. The Polar Vortex is being deformed by Rossby Waves which are bringing typical Arctic air much further to the south in the eastern North American continent. Warm, sub-tropical air, west of the Rockies and throughout the eastern Pacific is being driven much further north than normal by the exact same phenomenon. Super Typhoon Nuri (?) being driven into the Aleutians is easily as unusual as the cold November weather in Georgia and Tennessee. The same pattern is being repeated around the planet.

 

[JimBowie1958]

Explanation of the Hockey Stick Fraud

 

[Crick]

The "decline" is about northern tree-rings, not global temperature
Phil Jones' email is often cited as evidence of an attempt to "hide the decline in global temperatures". This claim is patently false and shows ignorance of the science discussed. The decline actually refers to a decline in tree growth at certain high-latitude locations since 1960.

Tree-ring growth has been found to match well with temperature. Hence, tree-rings are used to plot temperature going back hundreds of years. However, tree-rings in some high-latitude locations diverge from modern instrumental temperature records after 1960. This is known as the "divergence problem". Consequently, tree-ring data in these high-latitude locations are not considered reliable after 1960 and should not be used to represent temperature in recent decades.

The "decline" has nothing to do with "Mike's trick".
Phil Jones talks about "Mike's Nature trick" and "hide the decline" as two separate techniques. However, people often abbreviate the email, distilling it down to "Mike's trick to hide the decline". Professor Richard Muller from Berkeley commits this error in a public lecture:

"A quote came out of the emails, these leaked emails, that said "let's use Mike's trick to hide the decline". That's the words, "let's use Mike's trick to hide the decline". Mike is Michael Mann, said "hey, trick just means mathematical trick. That's all." My response is I'm not worried about the word trick. I'm worried about the decline."

Muller quotes "Mike's nature trick to hide the decline" as if its Phil Jones's actual words. However, the original text indicates otherwise:

"I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) and from 1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline."

It's clear that "Mike's Nature trick" is quite separate to Keith Briffa's "hide the decline". "Mike's Nature trick" refers to a technique (a "trick of the trade") by Michael Mann to plot recent instrumental data along with reconstructed past temperature. This places recent global warming trends in the context of temperature changes over longer time scales.

There is nothing secret about "Mike's trick". Both the instrumental and reconstructed temperature are clearly labelled. Claiming this is some sort of secret "trick" or confusing it with "hide the decline" displays either ignorance or a willingness to mislead.

Figure 1: Northern Hemisphere mean temperature anomaly in °C (Mann et al 1999).

The "decline" has been openly and publicly discussed since 1995
Skeptics like to portray "the decline" as a phenomena that climate scientists have tried to keep secret. In reality the divergence problem has been publicly discussed in the peer-reviewed literature since 1995 (Jacoby 1995). The IPCC discuss the decline in tree-ring growth openly both in the 2001 Third Assessment Report and in even more detail in the 2007 Fourth Assessment Report.

The common misconception that scientists tried to hide a decline in global temperatures is false. The decline in tree-ring growth is plainly discussed in the publicly available scientific literature. The divergence in tree-ring growth does not change the fact that we are currently observing many lines of evidence for global warming. The obsessive focus on a misquote taken out of context, doesn't change the scientific case that human-caused climate change is real.

Clearing up misconceptions regarding hide the decline ​

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

It's just weather

We're only midway through November, and winter weather records in Boise are falling left and right.

Temperatures at the Boise Airport bottomed out at 6 degrees Monday morning, breaking a 134-year-old record of 7 degrees set on Nov. 17, 1880.

Record cold in Boise Monday morning 151 and possibly again Tuesday Boise Garden City Mountain Home Idahostatesman.com

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Where is all that cold air coming from? Is the Earth suddenly cooling off? No. The Polar Vortex is being deformed by Rossby Waves which are bringing typical Arctic air much further to the south in the eastern North American continent. Warm, sub-tropical air, west of the Rockies and throughout the eastern Pacific is being driven much further north than normal by the exact same phenomenon. Super Typhoon Nuri (?) being driven into the Aleutians is easily as unusual as the cold November weather in Georgia and Tennessee. The same pattern is being repeated around the planet.

 

[jc456]

Where is all that cold air coming from? Is the Earth suddenly cooling off? No. The Polar Vortex is being deformed by Rossby Waves which are bringing typical Arctic air much further to the south in the eastern North American continent. Warm, sub-tropical air, west of the Rockies and throughout the eastern Pacific is being driven much further north than normal by the exact same phenomenon. Super Typhoon Nuri (?) being driven into the Aleutians is easily as unusual as the cold November weather in Georgia and Tennessee. The same pattern is being repeated around the planet.

So what? Is there more cold air in the Northern Hemisphere as a result?

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

It's just weather.

Record Breaking Cold Blankets United States -- Coldest November Morning Since 1976

WeatherBELL Models Premium Weather Maps

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

It's just weather

Over the past 7 days if we look at the entire country there have been a lot of cold records being set. The chart below shows for example, 1360 daily low maximum records. This means those places had cold high temperatures which were records. Simply put, those cities and towns saw their coldest daily highs ever recorded.

Dry Cold Into The Weekend But Is It Record Breaking - Weather Wisdom - Boston.com

 

[Billy_Bob]

A small group of alarmist morons, with EPA talking points, and no evidence to back up their claims want us to just 'believe them'... However we are still waiting for them to produce the science of what 120ppm has done to temps.

Then they are exposed in the lies when making huge changes to the climate record thinking that no one will mind or care.. 3 deg C or 6 deg F in change is a major change in the climactic record.

The raw data shows alarmists as liars, con-men, and fraudsters....

Even with their massive data manipulations they have been unable to win. Then we post facts which are provable by simple observations.

Below are two rates of warming from the Hadcrut3 lower troposphere. One is from the period 1900 through 1950 and the the other is 1951 through 2000. Below each is the rate of warming.

The trend for the period 1900-1950 is 0.51 deg C or 0.103/decade

This trend occurred before CO2 became a rapidly increasing according to the IPCC and is near or is the Natural Variational rate.

The trend for 1951-2000 is 0.50 deg C or 0.100 deg C/decade.

This means that the two rates of warming are statistically insignificant DESPITE the rapid rise in CO2 and equal to NATURAL VARIATION..

So by simple observation we can see the problem with the hypothesis of runaway temp caused by CO2. During the time they claim runway rise it was nothing of the sort and even given the rise in CO2 there was no discernible increase in that natural rise.

That Null Hypothesis falsified the AGW theroy.. killed it dead!

 

[Jroc]

Climatologist: 30-Year Cold Spell Strikes Earth

With nasty cold fronts thrusting an icy and early winter across the continental U.S. — along with last winter described by USA Today as "one of the snowiest, coldest, most miserable on record" — climatologist John L. Casey thinks the weather pattern is here to stay for decades to come.

In fact, Casey, a former space shuttle engineer and NASA consultant, is out with the provocative book "Dark Winter: How the Sun Is Causing a 30-Year Cold Spell," which warns that a radical shift in global climate is underway, and that Al Gore and other environmentalists have it completely wrong.

The earth, he says, is cooling, and cooling fast.

And unless the scientific community and political leaders act soon, cold, dark days are ahead.

Read Latest Breaking News from Newsmax.com http://www.Newsmax.com/Headline/dark-winter-cold-global-cooling/2014/11/16/id/607672/#ixzz3JUDiEa8d

 

[Saigon]

Actually, it looks like 2014 may be the hottest year on record.

My god, Jroc, what is it going to take for you to wake up? How can you be so out of touch?

You may have heard that September 2014 was the warmest September ever recorded and that the past six months were the hottest April through September in 130 years of records. NASA Earth Observatory readers sometimes ask: How much does it matter when a monthly or yearly temperature record is broken? And where does global temperature data come from?

NASA GISS Research Features Rising Temperatures A Month Versus a Decade

 

[Saigon]

A small group of alarmist morons,

I think you mean the entire scientific community, actually.

Of the 60 largest scientific organisations on earth - not one backs up your claims here. Some 59 confirm AGW.

It's also worth mentioning that recent polling around the world shows well over 80% of the public understanding climate change, plus an even higher percentage of business leaders.

 

[Kosh]

Actually, it looks like 2014 may be the hottest year on record.

My god, Jroc, what is it going to take for you to wake up? How can you be so out of touch?

You may have heard that September 2014 was the warmest September ever recorded and that the past six months were the hottest April through September in 130 years of records. NASA Earth Observatory readers sometimes ask: How much does it matter when a monthly or yearly temperature record is broken? And where does global temperature data come from?

NASA GISS Research Features Rising Temperatures A Month Versus a Decade

It is often reported that the temperature of the earth is higher the past 20 years than it has ever been in history. This is simply not true, nor has it ever been. Hundreds of research studies using ice cores, pollen sedimentation, tree rings, etc. have shown that there were dozens of periods in the past 11,000 years (the Holocene period) that earth's temperature was warmer than it is today. Earth's temperature was very much warmer at least four times during the current interglacial period.

 

[Politico]

Don't get too worked up guys. If the AGW guys hold in enough farts they will have to eventually defeat mother nature.

 

[Jroc]

Actually, it looks like 2014 may be the hottest year on record.

My god, Jroc, what is it going to take for you to wake up? How can you be so out of touch?

You may have heard that September 2014 was the warmest September ever recorded and that the past six months were the hottest April through September in 130 years of records. NASA Earth Observatory readers sometimes ask: How much does it matter when a monthly or yearly temperature record is broken? And where does global temperature data come from?

NASA GISS Research Features Rising Temperatures A Month Versus a Decade

You believe in your religion you're a pious man...As I said we've had the coldest summer on record here in MI...Wow!! Tampa FL got down to 37 degrees last night!!

 

[Saigon]

Jroc -

Try and post with a little common sense.

Firstly, weather is not climate. If you don't know the difference - find out.

Secondly, for most of us, science is science and politics is politics. This is science, so leave the politics out of it.

 

[PredFan]

What the mainstream media wont tell you about global warming Hot Air

 

[jc456]

A small group of alarmist morons,

I think you mean the entire scientific community, actually.

Of the 60 largest scientific organisations on earth - not one backs up your claims here. Some 59 confirm AGW.

It's also worth mentioning that recent polling around the world shows well over 80% of the public understanding climate change, plus an even higher percentage of business leaders.

making shit up!!!!