Warning to Dems from Washington Post

Discussion in 'Politics' started by red states rule, Aug 2, 2006.

  1. red states rule
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    red states rule Senior Member

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    The liberal media has told us daily it is all over. Conservatives might as well stay home on Election Day. The dems are going to sweep the elections and take back the House and senate.

    Oh really? Even the Washington Post is worried the dems are not going to win in November.


    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/08/01/AR2006080101332.html?sub=AR
    Democrats Scrambling To Organize Voter Turnout

    By Jim VandeHei
    Washington Post Staff Writer
    Wednesday, August 2, 2006; Page A01

    Top Democrats are increasingly concerned that they lack an effective plan to turn out voters this fall, creating tension among party leaders and prompting House Democrats to launch a fundraising effort aimed exclusively at mobilizing Democratic partisans.

    At a meeting last week, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (Calif.) criticized Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean for not spending enough party resources on get-out-the-vote efforts in the most competitive House and Senate races, according to congressional aides who were briefed on the exchange. Pelosi -- echoing a complaint common among Democratic lawmakers and operatives -- has warned privately that Democrats are at risk of going into the November midterm elections with a voter-mobilization plan that is underfunded and inferior to the proven turnout machine run by national Republicans.
    The Senate and House campaign committees are creating their own get-out-the-vote operations instead, using money that otherwise would fund television advertising and other election-year efforts. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Rahm Emanuel (Ill.) -- who no longer speaks to Dean because of their strategic differences -- is planning to ask lawmakers and donors to help fund a new turnout program run by House Democrats. He recruited Michael Whouley, a specialist in Democratic turnout, to help oversee it.

    "I am not waiting for anyone anymore who said they were going to" build a turnout operation, Emanuel said. "It has got to be done."

    Many Democrats said that despite a favorable political climate and record-setting fundraising, the campaign to recapture the House and Senate could fall short if the organizational problems persist. "What the party really needs is to get serious about local, volunteer-based" operations, said Jack Corrigan, a longtime Democratic operative. "The last-minute, throw-money-at-it approach . . . does not really solve the fundamental failure to organize that is there. The DNC is moving in the right direction, but needs to do more, fast," he said.

    Democrats consider the 2006 elections their best chance in a decade to recapture the House, with widespread unease over Iraq and with Republicans lagging in polls. Rep. Charles B. Rangel (N.Y.), who would become chairman of the Ways and Means Committee if Democrats picked up the 15 seats needed to regain the majority, said in an interview yesterday that he will quit Congress if the party does not capitalize on an unparalleled opportunity.

    Democrats' organizing has been slowed by a philosophical dispute between Dean, who argues that the party needs to rebuild its long-term infrastructure nationwide while trying to win back the House and Senate, and congressional Democrats, who want to use party resources for an all-out push this fall.

    Charles E. Schumer (N.Y.), chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, is less concerned about the Dean approach than House leaders are. "We are obviously concerned," a senior Senate Democratic strategist said, but Schumer moved ahead two months ago with a plan to fortify get-out-the-vote operations in 15 states, including targeting disgruntled Republicans. Democrats sympathetic to Dean said Emanuel and Pelosi are trying to blame the DNC chief in case they do not win back the House.

    In a letter sent to Democrats on Monday, Dean said: "We've got a big secret . . . and it is going to help us win." He asked Democratic donors for $25 a month to fund mobilization programs nationwide. "What many people do not realize is that . . . we are turning our operation into a 50-state, get-out-the-vote effort."

    Many Democrats are not convinced. "We are concerned in certain parts of the country, and that is why we want to have this insurance policy" of the DCCC effort run by Whouley, said Rep. Chris Van Hollen (Md.).

    Republicans are far more united in their approach, building on what both sides said worked well in 2002 and 2004. They are routing all turnout efforts through the Republican National Committee, which had $45 million in the bank -- four times as much as the DNC -- as of June 30.

    The RNC runs a strategy known in political circles as the 72-hour program. It focuses on using phone calls, polling data and personal visits to identify would-be GOP voters and their top issues early in the cycle. The information is then fed into a database, allowing party leaders to flood them with pro-Republican messages through e-mail, regular mail and local volunteers. On Election Day, they receive a phone call or a visit to remind them to vote.

    A GOP strategist involved in the effort said the RNC did a post-election review of every person it contacted, looking at how many times they were reached, which issues were discussed and whether they voted. This information was supplied to about 30 targeted states earlier this year, and RNC officials track the states to see whether they are reaching goals for adding new names and contacting old ones.

    Both parties credit this program with putting President Bush over the top in Ohio in 2004 by exceeding GOP turnout projections in key areas. "I think the best 21st-century turnout operation was Bush-Cheney '04," said Thomas M. Reynolds (N.Y.), chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee. But the political landscape has changed dramatically. Conservatives are less enthused about GOP lawmakers, polls show, and therefore may be less likely to vote in high numbers.

    Democrats said the June special election in California's 50th District signaled that it will take more than a favorable political environment to tip House races. In the special election to replace Rep. Randy "Duke" Cunningham, who resigned after admitting he took millions of dollars in bribes, Democrats were unable to increase turnout and lost the race.

    Compounding concerns, liberal donors such as financier George Soros, who helped fund a $100 million get-out-the-vote program in 2004, have soured on what they regard as short-term fixes offered by party leaders, several major donors said. The $100 million drive was operated by America Coming Together and was aimed at identifying and getting voters to the polls. ACT helped increase turnout significantly in key states, including Ohio, but donors thought most of their money was wasted because the Bush-Cheney operation did better.

    This year, Democrats are relying on outside groups such as the AFL-CIO, which has budgeted $40 million for turnout efforts, and America Votes, an independent group that blossomed in 2004. Other special-interest groups representing labor, abortion rights, minority groups and other factions inside the Democratic Party are also working on turning out their own members.

    At the same time, a cottage industry of voter-targeting specialists is taking root. Ken Strasma of Strategic Telemetry, for instance, is using voter, marketing and demographic data to identify new voters for 25 House and Senate candidates. "I think we have definitely caught up with, if not exceeded, Republicans in terms of technology, but getting it implemented and into the field, that's another question," he said. Strasma -- like the Service Employees International Union, MoveOn.org and others -- draws much of his voter information from Data Warehouse, a company run by Democratic operatives Harold Ickes and Laura Quinn.

    In another independent effort to improve Democrats' performance, Washington real estate developer Herb Miller and other businessmen are creating an organization to study voter values, in part through using marketing techniques. The effort will share the information with party leaders this fall, said Clinton administration official Joshua Gotbaum, who will run it.

    Several Democratic lawmakers and strategists said the current overall approach is flawed because it is difficult to get groups to share information and divide assignments so that all of the key House and Senate races are covered.
     
  2. JeffWartman
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    JeffWartman Senior Member

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    The current poll numbers may look good to Democrats, but their constant lack of organization in elections may cost them their momentum dearly this time around.
     
  3. red states rule
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    red states rule Senior Member

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    This means the Dems will have to jack up the cemetary vote if they hope to win in November.
     
  4. Bullypulpit
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    Bullypulpit Senior Member

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    Actually, recent history has shown us that it is the Republicans that have resorted to caging lists, purges of voter rolls and other practices aimed at disenfranchising voters. If anyone votes the graves in November it will, yet again, be the Republicans.
     
  5. Annie
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    Annie Diamond Member

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    Wrong on this one Bully. Facts state the opposit, no matter how many yell, 'stolen.'
     
  6. red states rule
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    red states rule Senior Member

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    The ONLY people CONVICTED of election fraud have been Dems. Here is one example. I have more.


    Friday, July 01, 2005
    Convicting Democrats is New St. Louis Pastime

    At least 16 St. Louis area Democrats have been found guilty of election crimes in the last 7 months!


    The jury in the East St. Louis vote fraud case gave out guilty verdicts for all five defendents yesterday in the biggest vote fraud case in the St. Louis area's history:

    Convicted of one count of conspiracy to commit vote fraud during the Nov. 2 election was Charlie Powell Jr., head of the city's powerful Democratic Central Committee and a former city council member. He faces five years in prison.

    Convicted of conspiracy and vote fraud and facing five years on each count were:

    • Kelvin Ellis, a Democratic precinct committeeman and former East St. Louis city government department head who served a federal prison term for extortion in the early 1990s.

    • Yvette Johnson, secretary to the city Democratic organization.

    • Democratic precinct committeemen Sheila Thomas and Jesse Lewis.

    Rudy McIntosh lost his job as a police officer last month. He testified against the defendents in the vote fraud case. He has lost his job in the police department.

    The undercover tapes obtained by Rudy McIntosh convinced the jurors of guilt.

    With the authorities still investigating this may not be the end of the indictments.

    Democrats are saying the convictions announced Wednesday do not represent their party.

    I beg to differ!!

    In the last 7 months in the St. Louis Metro Area here is a slice of what we have witnessed:

    Nov. 18: Nine precinct committeemen appear before a federal grand jury probing vote fraud during the Nov. 2 election.

    December: In St. Louis Six volunteers pleaded guilty in December of dozens of election law violations for filling out the cards with names of the dead and other bogus information. One still faces charges.

    January 21: Kelvin Ellis, a top administrator at East St. Louis City Hall, was indicted for plotting to kill a witness in the year long East St. Louis, Illinois federal vote fraud investigation.

    February 10: In St. Louis Nonaresa Montgomery was found guilty by a jury of perjury in a trial in St. Louis Circuit Court in the St. Louis vote fraud trial.

    March 22: Precinct committeemen Leroy Scott Jr., 46; Lillie Nichols, 51; Terrance R. Stith, 43; and his wife, precinct worker Sandra Stith, 54; plead guilty to one count each of vote-buying.

    March 23: The chairman of the East St. Louis Democratic Central Committee and councilman Charles Powell Jr. is charged with conspiracy to commit election fraud. Charged with conspiracy as well as election fraud are East St. Louis City Hall employees Jesse Lewis, Sheila Thomas, Kelvin Ellis, and Yvette Johnson.

    June 29: All five defendants are convicted on all counts.

    That comes out to 16 different Democrats convicted of election violations in the last 7 months in the St. Louis area!

    That does not include all of the convictions.

    And, one Democrat is still being held for attempted murder (trial scheduled for Oct. 17) of a government witness!

    The Chicago Sun Times reported on the story yesterday.

    File this post under "As seen only in the blogs, right at that!"

    * Much more background on the latest conviction HERE. *

    http://gatewaypundit.blogspot.com/2005/07/convicting-democrats-is-new-st-louis.html
     

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