The worthlessness of the RCP Polling Averages...

The Purge

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Aug 16, 2018
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I just want to give everyone a sense of how bad the RCP Senate polls were this election.

Here are the final RCP averages vs the final results in each of the high profile Senate races.

TN - Final RCP Average Blackburn +5.2 Actual Blackburn +10.8 (5.6 Point bias in favor of Democrats.)

OH - Final RCP Average +13.25 Brown Actual Brown +6.4 (6.85 point bias in favor of Democrats.)

MI - Final RCP Average +8.3 Stabenow Actual +6.6 Stabenow (1.7 Point bias for Democrats.)

WV - Final RCP Average +5 Manchin Actual +3.2 Manchin (1.8 point bias in favor of democrats.)

ND - Final RCP Average +9 Cramer Actual +10.8 Cramer (1.8 point bias towards democrats.)

MT - Final RCP Average +3.3 Tester Actual +3.1 Tester (.2 point bias toward Democrats.)

TX - Final RCP Average +6.8 Cruz Actual +2.6 Cruz (4.2 point bias toward GOP.)

MO - Final RCP Average +0.6 Hawley Actual +6.0 Hawley (5.4 point bias toward Democrats.)

AZ - Final RCP Average +1.0 McSally Actual ????

FL - Final RCP Average +2.4 Nelson Actual Scott +0.2 (2.6 Point bias toward Democrats.)

IN - Final RCP Average +0.7 Donnelly Actual Braun +5.9 (6.6 point bias toward Democrats.)

RCP was biased toward the Democrats in almost all of the contested races, except for Arizona and Texas.

Read more at realclearpolitics.com .

Not only that, the polls throughout the course are much, much more biased and they set the talking points for the election. They are used to set a narrative. How many house GOP retired because the polls had the having absolutely no chance. If they didn’t retire the GOP would have kept the house rather easily, I do believe!
 
Damn Boi......

Most of their picks are spot on

They predicted Georgia, Florida and Arizona to be neck and neck and they couldn’t be closer
 
I just want to give everyone a sense of how bad the RCP Senate polls were this election.

Here are the final RCP averages vs the final results in each of the high profile Senate races.

TN - Final RCP Average Blackburn +5.2 Actual Blackburn +10.8 (5.6 Point bias in favor of Democrats.)

OH - Final RCP Average +13.25 Brown Actual Brown +6.4 (6.85 point bias in favor of Democrats.)

MI - Final RCP Average +8.3 Stabenow Actual +6.6 Stabenow (1.7 Point bias for Democrats.)

WV - Final RCP Average +5 Manchin Actual +3.2 Manchin (1.8 point bias in favor of democrats.)

ND - Final RCP Average +9 Cramer Actual +10.8 Cramer (1.8 point bias towards democrats.)

MT - Final RCP Average +3.3 Tester Actual +3.1 Tester (.2 point bias toward Democrats.)

TX - Final RCP Average +6.8 Cruz Actual +2.6 Cruz (4.2 point bias toward GOP.)

MO - Final RCP Average +0.6 Hawley Actual +6.0 Hawley (5.4 point bias toward Democrats.)

AZ - Final RCP Average +1.0 McSally Actual ????

FL - Final RCP Average +2.4 Nelson Actual Scott +0.2 (2.6 Point bias toward Democrats.)

IN - Final RCP Average +0.7 Donnelly Actual Braun +5.9 (6.6 point bias toward Democrats.)

RCP was biased toward the Democrats in almost all of the contested races, except for Arizona and Texas.

Read more at realclearpolitics.com .

Not only that, the polls throughout the course are much, much more biased and they set the talking points for the election. They are used to set a narrative. How many house GOP retired because the polls had the having absolutely no chance. If they didn’t retire the GOP would have kept the house rather easily, I do believe!
When you average biased pols, you're going to get biased averages.
 
I just want to give everyone a sense of how bad the RCP Senate polls were this election.

Here are the final RCP averages vs the final results in each of the high profile Senate races.

TN - Final RCP Average Blackburn +5.2 Actual Blackburn +10.8 (5.6 Point bias in favor of Democrats.)

OH - Final RCP Average +13.25 Brown Actual Brown +6.4 (6.85 point bias in favor of Democrats.)

MI - Final RCP Average +8.3 Stabenow Actual +6.6 Stabenow (1.7 Point bias for Democrats.)

WV - Final RCP Average +5 Manchin Actual +3.2 Manchin (1.8 point bias in favor of democrats.)

ND - Final RCP Average +9 Cramer Actual +10.8 Cramer (1.8 point bias towards democrats.)

MT - Final RCP Average +3.3 Tester Actual +3.1 Tester (.2 point bias toward Democrats.)

TX - Final RCP Average +6.8 Cruz Actual +2.6 Cruz (4.2 point bias toward GOP.)

MO - Final RCP Average +0.6 Hawley Actual +6.0 Hawley (5.4 point bias toward Democrats.)

AZ - Final RCP Average +1.0 McSally Actual ????

FL - Final RCP Average +2.4 Nelson Actual Scott +0.2 (2.6 Point bias toward Democrats.)

IN - Final RCP Average +0.7 Donnelly Actual Braun +5.9 (6.6 point bias toward Democrats.)

RCP was biased toward the Democrats in almost all of the contested races, except for Arizona and Texas.

Read more at realclearpolitics.com .

Not only that, the polls throughout the course are much, much more biased and they set the talking points for the election. They are used to set a narrative. How many house GOP retired because the polls had the having absolutely no chance. If they didn’t retire the GOP would have kept the house rather easily, I do believe!
When you average biased pols, you're going to get biased averages.
What is biased?
 
I just want to give everyone a sense of how bad the RCP Senate polls were this election.

Here are the final RCP averages vs the final results in each of the high profile Senate races.

TN - Final RCP Average Blackburn +5.2 Actual Blackburn +10.8 (5.6 Point bias in favor of Democrats.)

OH - Final RCP Average +13.25 Brown Actual Brown +6.4 (6.85 point bias in favor of Democrats.)

MI - Final RCP Average +8.3 Stabenow Actual +6.6 Stabenow (1.7 Point bias for Democrats.)

WV - Final RCP Average +5 Manchin Actual +3.2 Manchin (1.8 point bias in favor of democrats.)

ND - Final RCP Average +9 Cramer Actual +10.8 Cramer (1.8 point bias towards democrats.)

MT - Final RCP Average +3.3 Tester Actual +3.1 Tester (.2 point bias toward Democrats.)

TX - Final RCP Average +6.8 Cruz Actual +2.6 Cruz (4.2 point bias toward GOP.)

MO - Final RCP Average +0.6 Hawley Actual +6.0 Hawley (5.4 point bias toward Democrats.)

AZ - Final RCP Average +1.0 McSally Actual ????

FL - Final RCP Average +2.4 Nelson Actual Scott +0.2 (2.6 Point bias toward Democrats.)

IN - Final RCP Average +0.7 Donnelly Actual Braun +5.9 (6.6 point bias toward Democrats.)

RCP was biased toward the Democrats in almost all of the contested races, except for Arizona and Texas.

Read more at realclearpolitics.com .

Not only that, the polls throughout the course are much, much more biased and they set the talking points for the election. They are used to set a narrative. How many house GOP retired because the polls had the having absolutely no chance. If they didn’t retire the GOP would have kept the house rather easily, I do believe!
One trick ponies with very low learning curves. They keep pulling the same shit election after election.
 

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