The Weather Isn't Getting Weirder

Discussion in 'Environment' started by daveman, Feb 11, 2011.

  1. daveman
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    daveman Diamond Member

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    The Weather Isn't Getting Weirder
    Some climate alarmists would have us believe that these storms are yet another baleful consequence of man-made CO2 emissions. In addition to the latest weather events, they also point to recent cyclones in Burma, last winter's fatal chills in Nepal and Bangladesh, December's blizzards in Britain, and every other drought, typhoon and unseasonable heat wave around the world.

    But is it true? To answer that question, you need to understand whether recent weather trends are extreme by historical standards. The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project is the latest attempt to find out, using super-computers to generate a dataset of global atmospheric circulation from 1871 to the present.

    As it happens, the project's initial findings, published last month, show no evidence of an intensifying weather trend. "In the climate models, the extremes get more extreme as we move into a doubled CO2 world in 100 years," atmospheric scientist Gilbert Compo, one of the researchers on the project, tells me from his office at the University of Colorado, Boulder. "So we were surprised that none of the three major indices of climate variability that we used show a trend of increased circulation going back to 1871."

    In other words, researchers have yet to find evidence of more-extreme weather patterns over the period, contrary to what the models predict. "There's no data-driven answer yet to the question of how human activity has affected extreme weather," adds Roger Pielke Jr., another University of Colorado climate researcher.

    --

    Even rich countries can be caught off guard: Witness the thousands stranded when Heathrow skimped on de-icing supplies and let five inches of snow ground flights for two days before Christmas. Britain's GDP shrank by 0.5% in the fourth quarter of 2010, for which the Office of National Statistics mostly blames "the bad weather."

    Arguably, global warming was a factor in that case. Or at least the idea of global warming was. The London-based Global Warming Policy Foundation charges that British authorities are so committed to the notion that Britain's future will be warmer that they have failed to plan for winter storms that have hit the country three years running.​
     
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  2. Oddball
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    Oddball BANNED Supporting Member

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    Just more evidence of globalclimatecoolerwarmering. :rolleyes:
     
  3. daveman
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    daveman Diamond Member

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    I expect the refutations will consist primarily of "Nuh-UH!!"
     
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  4. Mr. H.
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    Mr. H. Diamond Member

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    Life was simpler and more worry free when we just had slide rules.
     
  5. 8236
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    8236 VIP Member

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    When detailed records only go back a hundred or so years, is it really surprising that monthly weather 'records' are are going to be broken every decade or so. (I'm thinking of the UK's December average temp being the the lowest ever.)
     
  6. Old Rocks
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    Old Rocks Diamond Member

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    Arctic Oscillation: Cause Of Very Cold Winter In The U.S.? | KATC.com | Acadiana-Lafayette, Louisiana

    The Arctic Oscillation is one of many climate patterns that can reach far around the globe to affect the day-to-day weather.

    The Arctic Oscillation (AO) has a significant influence on winter weather in the U.S. The northern U.S., eastern U.S., and as well as Western Europe. The AO refers to a seesaw pattern in atmospheric pressure between the polar regions and the middle latitudes. It fluctuates on the order of weeks and months, though it also shows some tendency to favor one phase or another for years at a time.
     
  7. daveman
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    daveman Diamond Member

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    Is that meant as a refutation? Because, you know, it isn't.
     
  8. Old Rocks
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    Old Rocks Diamond Member

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    Well let's see. Tennessee floods. Pakistani floods, Russian and East European heat wave and droughts, Australian floods, abnormally cold weather in our southern states, Chinese floods, and the floods in Sri Lanka. Each and every event affecting our food supply. But things are just peachy keen normal.

    Daveman, you are a fool.
     
  9. Oddball
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    Oddball BANNED Supporting Member

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    ^^^^^
    You called it, bud. :lol::lol::lol:
     
  10. Dont Taz Me Bro
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    Dont Taz Me Bro USMB Mod Staff Member Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    And we all know floods just started 20 years ago. There were never floods before that.

    Yep, it all sounds pretty normal to me.

    :badgrin::lol::lol:

    That has to be the most amusing thing you wrote. I mean, it's you, after all, who continues to believe in this nonsense ginned up by climate "scientists" who have pretty much been wrong about everything they have predicted for the last 40 years. You're as bad as some of the foot washing Baptists down here who believe every word in the Bible is literal.
     

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