Discussion in 'Congress' started by CrimsonWhite, Oct 21, 2008.
Something to ground the Jobamabots.
Unless McCain wins Pennsylvania, it is over. He has given up on Colorado, New Mexico and Iowa.
The best case scenario for the McCain campaign is winning New Hampshire and having a tie 269-269, in which Barack Obama would be president and Sarah Palin would be vice president.
See my map below. Every single blue state that you see are states that McCain has pretty much given up on. Unfortunately, Obama is leading by 10 in Virginia and New Hampshire and leading outside the margin of error in a number of other states. All Obama has to do is win at least one of those red states and it's over.
robert just posted that he's only given up on colorado.
Do you really think New Mexico, with a far left governer Richardson, a sitting Democratic Senator and retiring Republican Senator in which the Democratic candidate is in the lead currently, is going to vote Republican?
Additionally, Obama has held a consistent lead in Iowa for almost a year.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Iowa: McCain vs. Obama
Just to tickle your fancy, Obama leads by double digits in New Mexico and Colorado.
It ain't over, but anyone can read the tea leaves on this one. It's more a question of whether they want to. McCain has to win all 7 battleground states to make it to 270. And a number of those states aren't looking very good for him. Obama is going to be able to spend in states like George and South Dakota, places where McCain should be spending no money to defend two weeks before the election. This takes resources away from running that table.
Don't believe me. The same is being said privately (and in some cases on television) by Republican analysts. John McCain could win the election, but unless he's able to convincingly reinvent the Republican party's economic philosophy I don't see it happening.
McCain didn't get into this race to deal with a financial collapse; he got in because of Iraq. I voted for McCain in the primary in 2000, but he just doesn't look up for the challenge in 2008.
i have predicted for at least six months that Obama would win Iowa and New Mexico. In fact, when McCain was nominated, I knew Iowa was a longshot. but that isn't what your post was about.
You won't hear me saying he has it in the bag! And neither should anyone else! We can wait two weeks!
wise, if you don't mind me saying so.
If it is true he's 'conceded' Iowa, NH, and NM, then the race is basically over. Obama only needs the Kerry States and these three to win. And McCain's problem doesn't even stop there if polls in republican strongholds like Montana, SD, Missouri, Indiana, and NC keep the way they've been going, he might win in a landslide.
Separate names with a comma.