Pundits prematurely declare victory for Obama

Discussion in 'Congress' started by CrimsonWhite, Oct 21, 2008.

  1. CrimsonWhite
    Offline

    CrimsonWhite *****istrator Emeritus Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Mar 13, 2006
    Messages:
    7,978
    Thanks Received:
    1,755
    Trophy Points:
    123
    Location:
    Guntucky
    Ratings:
    +1,757
    Something to ground the Jobamabots.

     
  2. elvis
    Offline

    elvis BANNED Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    25,882
    Thanks Received:
    4,303
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Ratings:
    +4,303
    counting chickens.
     
  3. DavidS
    Offline

    DavidS Anti-Tea Party Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2008
    Messages:
    9,811
    Thanks Received:
    766
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    New York, NY
    Ratings:
    +767
    Unless McCain wins Pennsylvania, it is over. He has given up on Colorado, New Mexico and Iowa.

    The best case scenario for the McCain campaign is winning New Hampshire and having a tie 269-269, in which Barack Obama would be president and Sarah Palin would be vice president.

    See my map below. Every single blue state that you see are states that McCain has pretty much given up on. Unfortunately, Obama is leading by 10 in Virginia and New Hampshire and leading outside the margin of error in a number of other states. All Obama has to do is win at least one of those red states and it's over.
     

    Attached Files:

    Last edited: Oct 21, 2008
  4. elvis
    Offline

    elvis BANNED Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    25,882
    Thanks Received:
    4,303
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Ratings:
    +4,303
    robert just posted that he's only given up on colorado.
     
  5. DavidS
    Offline

    DavidS Anti-Tea Party Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2008
    Messages:
    9,811
    Thanks Received:
    766
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    New York, NY
    Ratings:
    +767
    Do you really think New Mexico, with a far left governer Richardson, a sitting Democratic Senator and retiring Republican Senator in which the Democratic candidate is in the lead currently, is going to vote Republican?

    Additionally, Obama has held a consistent lead in Iowa for almost a year.

    RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Iowa: McCain vs. Obama

    Just to tickle your fancy, Obama leads by double digits in New Mexico and Colorado.
     
  6. Walkabout Jones
    Offline

    Walkabout Jones Rookie

    Joined:
    Oct 21, 2008
    Messages:
    20
    Thanks Received:
    3
    Trophy Points:
    1
    Location:
    Where the wind takes us.
    Ratings:
    +3
    It ain't over, but anyone can read the tea leaves on this one. It's more a question of whether they want to. McCain has to win all 7 battleground states to make it to 270. And a number of those states aren't looking very good for him. Obama is going to be able to spend in states like George and South Dakota, places where McCain should be spending no money to defend two weeks before the election. This takes resources away from running that table.

    Don't believe me. The same is being said privately (and in some cases on television) by Republican analysts. John McCain could win the election, but unless he's able to convincingly reinvent the Republican party's economic philosophy I don't see it happening.

    McCain didn't get into this race to deal with a financial collapse; he got in because of Iraq. I voted for McCain in the primary in 2000, but he just doesn't look up for the challenge in 2008.
     
  7. elvis
    Offline

    elvis BANNED Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    25,882
    Thanks Received:
    4,303
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Ratings:
    +4,303
    i have predicted for at least six months that Obama would win Iowa and New Mexico. In fact, when McCain was nominated, I knew Iowa was a longshot. but that isn't what your post was about.
     
  8. Luissa
    Offline

    Luissa Annoying Customer Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2008
    Messages:
    43,190
    Thanks Received:
    5,593
    Trophy Points:
    1,785
    Location:
    TARDIS
    Ratings:
    +5,664
    You won't hear me saying he has it in the bag! And neither should anyone else! We can wait two weeks!
     
  9. elvis
    Offline

    elvis BANNED Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    25,882
    Thanks Received:
    4,303
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Ratings:
    +4,303
    wise, if you don't mind me saying so.
     
  10. Epsilon Delta
    Offline

    Epsilon Delta Jedi Master

    Joined:
    Jul 16, 2008
    Messages:
    2,687
    Thanks Received:
    363
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    Central America
    Ratings:
    +364
    If it is true he's 'conceded' Iowa, NH, and NM, then the race is basically over. Obama only needs the Kerry States and these three to win. And McCain's problem doesn't even stop there if polls in republican strongholds like Montana, SD, Missouri, Indiana, and NC keep the way they've been going, he might win in a landslide.
     

Share This Page